Intrepid-Fly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 50% $-2

Other

30% — —

Politics

15% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	05-05 09:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-27 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-23 06:55
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-17 09:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 10	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-09 08:45
ethereum above 1700 on april 2	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-02 07:24
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-28 06:15
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-22 02:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$93	94	+94	open	—	03-13 08:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-06 03:02
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	02-15 05:40
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	02-05 03:10
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 240plus	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	02-27 02:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	05-27 06:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	05-23 03:17
bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	06-09 08:33
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-12 02:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 6	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-05 09:06
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	01-18 05:51
ethereum above 2400 on march 3	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	03-02 09:43
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	03-02 09:42
nba tor lal 2026 01 18	1	$19	35	+35	open	—	01-18 03:57
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	open	—	06-09 08:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	$-2	05-10 03:20
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	01-18 05:47
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 190 214	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-27 02:16
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 215 239	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-27 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:33:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x217f9b…
06-09 08:32:42	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xa2b86c…
05-27 06:43:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3962f2…
05-23 03:17:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcc2cc4…
05-10 03:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x9168fc…
05-05 09:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x290845…
04-27 07:49:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x315e2c…
04-23 06:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6ea90e…
04-17 09:11:06	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4041ae…
04-09 08:45:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 10	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x16fb90…
04-02 07:24:51	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xaa1467…
03-28 06:15:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb1ae6b…
03-22 02:51:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4351ec…
03-13 08:15:27	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x9e099f…
03-06 03:02:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6debe2…
03-02 09:43:01	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x82d885…
03-02 09:42:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf90aa2…
02-27 02:16:36	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 190 214	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40da35…
02-27 02:16:16	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d47b4…
02-27 02:16:02	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 240plus	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa20803…
02-15 05:40:53	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x801fdb…
02-05 03:10:57	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x35782c…
01-18 05:51:44	bitcoin above 90k on january 18	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x44dce2…
01-18 05:47:50	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x0548f7…
01-18 03:57:54	nba tor lal 2026 01 18	Lakers	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x0bb6b0…
01-12 02:28:30	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa214f7…
01-05 09:06:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 6	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xfe29a4…