Drafty-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-25 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-1

Sports

37% 0% $-1

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$868	434	434	+0	open	—	03-18 15:29
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$838	420	420	+0	open	—	03-19 04:58
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$832	417	417	+0	open	—	04-06 14:40
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$638	358	283	+75	open	—	02-17 20:19
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$581	291	291	+0	open	—	02-10 17:29
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$566	283	283	+0	open	—	02-13 05:22
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$538	270	270	+0	open	—	03-16 23:13
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$531	267	267	+0	No	$-1	02-27 13:27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$528	264	264	+0	open	—	04-15 22:50
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$526	264	264	+0	open	—	03-27 21:52
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$518	260	260	+0	open	—	04-06 12:06
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$512	256	256	+0	open	—	02-27 06:28
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$512	256	256	+0	open	—	04-18 04:20
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	2	$510	255	255	+0	open	—	03-27 00:34
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$508	255	255	+0	open	—	03-16 03:12
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$492	246	246	+0	No	$-0	04-06 17:46
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	04-21 00:06
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$482	242	242	+0	open	—	04-16 05:01
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$476	239	239	+0	No	$-0	04-06 09:51
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	02-27 20:24
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$470	235	235	+0	No	$-0	03-18 22:16
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$462	231	231	+0	open	—	02-24 10:15
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$462	231	231	+0	open	—	02-10 00:38
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$462	232	232	+0	open	—	04-02 10:03
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$461	231	231	+0	open	—	03-23 02:33
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-16 16:32
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$454	227	227	+0	open	—	03-18 02:01
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	03-02 04:38
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	02-12 14:30
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$420	210	210	+0	No	$-0	04-02 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 05:20:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x92bd9c…
05-24 16:08:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xa1be46…
04-29 07:35:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x5ce11c…
04-22 18:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x111a91…
04-22 13:09:54	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x227a22…
04-22 09:55:54	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x0fbf46…
04-21 00:06:02	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xec5e14…
04-20 19:24:24	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xfead24…
04-20 09:27:36	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x4c8fdb…
04-20 07:52:28	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf98a47…
04-18 04:20:34	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0xbb68e4…
04-17 22:03:32	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x4f4a57…
04-17 20:31:02	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x62057e…
04-17 16:23:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x307471…
04-17 06:04:32	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$186	0xe98b50…
04-16 22:34:18	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x6393b3…
04-16 05:01:10	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x29e58e…
04-16 01:20:26	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xd1a895…
04-15 22:50:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0xb63b22…
04-15 20:02:04	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x04dda7…
04-13 01:36:55	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xb7afb4…
04-12 19:18:17	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x5a6b67…
04-06 17:46:07	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0xdf0207…
04-06 14:40:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x9cf499…
04-06 14:40:41	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x1d24da…
04-06 12:06:53	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x076e9c…
04-06 12:06:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x1beae4…
04-06 09:51:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x8e6ece…
04-06 09:51:27	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0xaaacd2…
04-06 05:45:31	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0xd9a733…
04-02 13:56:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xff5ba7…
04-02 10:04:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa49511…
04-02 10:03:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0xc7181c…
04-02 05:38:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x8a6365…
04-01 12:21:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0xca451e…
04-01 08:13:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x482dca…
04-01 00:54:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x9863eb…
03-31 20:56:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x4daf62…
03-31 12:34:59	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x53cce6…
03-31 08:19:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe99408…
03-31 03:12:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0xa7c2e3…
03-30 22:57:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0x5cbcd0…
03-30 18:52:41	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8e0694…
03-29 06:43:46	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xd664e5…
03-29 02:29:20	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x365585…
03-27 21:52:37	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0xb914dd…
03-27 13:52:17	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0xd3f069…
03-27 07:13:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x4defbd…
03-27 00:34:41	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x223656…
03-27 00:34:21	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0x03d74f…
03-26 17:51:25	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xf53944…
03-23 15:51:57	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xda64f9…
03-23 09:11:19	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xa3f0df…
03-23 02:33:33	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0x29acd2…
03-23 01:46:49	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0x754b43…
03-23 01:24:57	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xfb1c98…
03-23 01:23:01	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8f51ec…
03-19 04:58:23	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x09151d…
03-18 22:17:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x350e63…
03-18 22:16:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x32ff63…
03-18 15:29:59	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x344704…
03-18 15:29:41	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x5ee186…
03-18 08:46:05	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x083b2b…
03-18 02:01:05	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x32ac28…
03-17 19:08:47	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xfa9831…
03-16 23:13:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0x016043…
03-16 16:32:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x7a014d…
03-16 16:32:09	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xe7361c…
03-16 09:51:45	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xb99390…
03-16 03:12:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0xd3ec2d…
03-15 20:31:33	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x6167db…
03-15 20:31:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x087eb7…
03-15 13:54:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x5a42ce…
03-12 23:57:31	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0x201d6f…
03-12 23:57:01	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xf624de…
03-11 19:17:03	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xa27711…
03-11 12:39:01	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xba47a8…
03-10 19:59:47	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x716e2a…
03-08 23:57:37	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xcd54b9…
03-03 16:42:53	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0x747d95…
03-03 16:42:19	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x5fc1d6…
03-02 04:38:49	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x5c7ce6…
03-01 21:38:47	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xfe618d…
02-27 20:24:45	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x35c178…
02-27 13:28:11	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x5c9a8c…
02-27 13:27:53	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$265	0xef6494…
02-27 06:29:22	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x92281e…
02-27 06:28:44	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0x30dae8…
02-26 13:47:48	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x7b63c0…
02-24 21:49:48	nba orl lal 2026 02 24	Lakers	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd6bb16…
02-24 21:49:20	nba bos phx 2026 02 24	Celtics	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x3a38d3…
02-24 21:48:50	nba gsw nop 2026 02 24	Warriors	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xeb1ee6…
02-24 10:15:02	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0xcb4686…
02-21 22:39:34	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80be81…
02-17 20:19:59	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xd9a958…
02-14 09:09:15	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x31e976…
02-13 05:22:19	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xf6cd87…
02-12 14:31:07	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x41eee8…
02-12 14:30:47	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x2d7a1b…
02-12 01:10:33	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x9a4da2…