Prize-Mainland-Covariate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-19 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% $-415

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$437	421	179	+243	open	—	05-03 01:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$253	358	0	+358	open	—	04-19 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$245	288	0	+288	open	—	05-03 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$229	331	219	+112	Up	$-29	05-08 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$200	394	0	+394	open	—	05-03 02:02
btc updown 5m 1781908800	12	$183	346	13	+333	open	—	06-19 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$145	114	114	+0	Down	+$25	05-07 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$145	105	105	+0	open	—	05-03 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$143	209	189	+21	Down	+$23	05-04 21:54
btc updown 5m 1781124000	7	$136	102	102	+0	open	—	06-10 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$135	194	0	+194	open	—	05-03 17:59
btc updown 5m 1781907900	11	$135	297	0	+297	open	—	06-19 22:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$115	2,946	0	+2,946	open	—	02-11 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$111	141	65	+76	Down	$-1	05-04 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$110	208	0	+208	open	—	05-03 01:27
btc updown 5m 1781908500	11	$110	173	0	+173	open	—	06-19 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$34	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$100	194	0	+194	Up	$-100	05-08 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$100	208	0	+208	Down	$-100	05-08 22:57
btc updown 5m 1780773000	8	$90	179	0	+179	open	—	06-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$88	187	16	+171	open	—	05-03 17:27
btc updown 5m 1781907300	8	$87	229	0	+229	open	—	06-19 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$86	117	0	+117	Up	$-86	05-08 22:25
btc updown 5m 1781733600	7	$85	231	0	+231	open	—	06-17 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$80	138	0	+138	Up	$-80	05-08 21:57
btc updown 5m 1781460900	9	$80	197	0	+197	open	—	06-14 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$79	146	146	+0	Down	$-73	05-08 22:39
btc updown 5m 1781732700	7	$79	141	0	+141	open	—	06-17 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$79	66	66	+0	open	—	05-03 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$75	171	0	+171	Down	+$96	05-08 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 22:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x3ad732…
06-19 22:43:44	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x84a778…
06-19 22:43:20	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xdc2d33…
06-19 22:42:52	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x55519f…
06-19 22:41:53	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x654338…
06-19 22:41:22	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf86824…
06-19 22:41:07	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5c9ee2…
06-19 22:40:43	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x7dc183…
06-19 22:40:37	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x5288e5…
06-19 22:40:10	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xd81706…
06-19 22:40:10	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xaef3d3…
06-19 22:40:10	btc updown 5m 1781908800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x077fce…
06-19 22:37:01	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcbccf5…
06-19 22:36:34	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x30b895…
06-19 22:36:29	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9ee383…
06-19 22:36:28	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7b2a5e…
06-19 22:36:16	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7a6264…
06-19 22:36:08	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7b3558…
06-19 22:36:01	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2265f2…
06-19 22:35:52	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd01f96…
06-19 22:35:43	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xabe9c4…
06-19 22:35:28	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5f3db7…
06-19 22:35:14	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xd40b66…
06-19 22:34:43	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0c7826…
06-19 22:34:08	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x46d24e…
06-19 22:33:59	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x19e8c3…
06-19 22:33:44	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeaf5c4…
06-19 22:33:43	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf4402a…
06-19 22:33:38	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4ccd6c…
06-19 22:33:26	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe0a80c…
06-19 22:33:04	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb74b77…
06-19 22:31:40	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3f2033…
06-19 22:31:25	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7cd4a3…
06-19 22:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbed975…
06-19 22:30:13	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa8a2f8…
06-19 22:28:52	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x508f15…
06-19 22:27:04	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x34f829…
06-19 22:26:31	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xbe753d…
06-19 22:26:13	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9b57b6…
06-19 22:26:10	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x19c640…
06-19 22:25:49	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x471d41…
06-19 22:25:32	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa23539…
06-19 22:25:29	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xeb2ed9…
06-19 22:25:28	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x84b4d7…
06-19 22:25:14	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2aeb25…
06-19 22:25:10	btc updown 5m 1781907900	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa0e635…
06-19 22:21:55	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x03af5e…
06-19 22:20:55	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf79407…
06-19 22:20:46	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x4c3b26…
06-19 22:20:37	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf36953…
06-19 22:20:25	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x784c9c…
06-19 22:20:17	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7304d1…
06-19 22:20:17	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x29e0a2…
06-19 22:20:13	btc updown 5m 1781907600	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x89bcd9…
06-19 22:17:44	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x695aef…
06-19 22:16:56	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x01375b…
06-19 22:16:16	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1f520d…
06-19 22:15:56	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x353c41…
06-19 22:15:34	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa0f76e…
06-19 22:15:31	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x53f30e…
06-19 22:15:17	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x182ba2…
06-19 22:15:08	btc updown 5m 1781907300	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5bb933…
06-19 22:14:07	btc updown 5m 1781907000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcccd29…
06-19 22:13:56	btc updown 5m 1781907000	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa2e7cf…
06-19 22:12:08	btc updown 5m 1781907000	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xca3d99…
06-19 22:11:22	btc updown 5m 1781907000	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x3be34a…
06-19 19:18:43	btc updown 5m 1781896500	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2f8f77…
06-19 19:16:50	btc updown 5m 1781896500	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6fa98d…
06-19 19:16:46	btc updown 5m 1781896500	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x97f0c2…
06-19 19:15:44	btc updown 5m 1781896500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x83db9a…
06-19 19:15:26	btc updown 5m 1781896500	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x39b452…
06-19 19:12:40	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x15b5c1…
06-19 19:11:43	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x179e25…
06-19 19:11:13	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x38c6e6…
06-19 19:10:53	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x961600…
06-19 19:10:47	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd96b7c…
06-19 19:10:38	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x002f0c…
06-19 19:06:07	btc updown 5m 1781895900	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x76a4f7…
06-19 19:01:28	btc updown 5m 1781895600	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcd085b…
06-19 19:00:56	btc updown 5m 1781895600	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x87405c…
06-19 19:00:43	btc updown 5m 1781895600	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3f7e51…
06-19 19:00:20	btc updown 5m 1781895600	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4b54ae…
06-19 19:00:16	btc updown 5m 1781895600	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5b3413…
06-19 18:58:38	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc9e97b…
06-19 18:58:31	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4fc9a2…
06-19 18:58:25	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7963cc…
06-19 18:58:16	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa1ca40…
06-19 18:58:14	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc1208a…
06-19 18:58:08	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1d3367…
06-19 18:57:44	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x542b9f…
06-19 18:57:22	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x74a578…
06-19 18:56:37	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc3706c…
06-19 18:56:32	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0ab1e1…
06-19 18:55:38	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf175af…
06-19 18:55:34	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc2a4a8…
06-19 18:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea69d1…
06-19 18:52:41	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7056a3…
06-19 18:51:52	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x30e07f…
06-19 18:51:49	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf75ef3…
06-19 18:51:11	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb81fef…