Lone-Cayenne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-09 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773855000	5	$99	357	296	+61	open	—	03-18 17:35
btc updown 5m 1773863700	3	$72	83	0	+83	open	—	03-18 19:59
btc updown 5m 1773901500	1	$72	83	0	+83	open	—	03-19 06:29
btc updown 5m 1773903300	10	$71	136	122	+13	open	—	03-19 06:59
btc updown 5m 1773858000	5	$71	73	5	+68	open	—	03-18 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773857100	4	$69	74	6	+68	open	—	03-18 18:09
btc updown 5m 1773856500	6	$68	71	7	+64	open	—	03-18 17:59
btc updown 5m 1773905100	5	$67	139	139	+0	open	—	03-19 07:29
btc updown 5m 1773863400	1	$66	72	0	+72	open	—	03-18 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773863100	1	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	03-18 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	8	$63	77	77	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 07:14
btc updown 5m 1773866700	2	$52	54	0	+54	open	—	03-18 20:49
btc updown 5m 1773861900	5	$50	73	16	+56	open	—	03-18 19:28
btc updown 5m 1773862800	2	$49	65	0	+65	open	—	03-18 19:41
btc updown 5m 1773879600	4	$46	27	26	+0	open	—	03-19 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$43	41	41	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 07:06
btc updown 5m 1773866400	2	$41	53	0	+53	open	—	03-18 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773864600	3	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	03-18 20:11
btc updown 5m 1773865800	9	$39	242	15	+227	open	—	03-18 20:33
btc updown 5m 1773866100	4	$37	49	8	+41	open	—	03-18 20:37
btc updown 5m 1773854700	5	$36	84	78	+6	open	—	03-18 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773898200	5	$34	45	45	+1	open	—	03-19 05:34
btc updown 5m 1773899400	3	$33	2,317	17	+2,300	open	—	03-19 05:55
btc updown 5m 1773865200	5	$32	43	0	+43	open	—	03-18 20:23
btc updown 5m 1773896400	4	$32	49	20	+29	open	—	03-19 05:04
btc updown 5m 1773867300	4	$31	51	0	+51	open	—	03-18 20:58
btc updown 5m 1773855600	7	$28	217	217	+0	open	—	03-18 17:43
btc updown 5m 1773897600	6	$26	48	40	+8	open	—	03-19 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$25	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:47
btc updown 5m 1773882300	2	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	03-19 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 07:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8337ee…
05-09 07:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x21fdb1…
05-09 07:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x129840…
05-09 07:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa6337f…
05-09 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8af344…
05-09 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc38df3…
05-09 07:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x7b42fe…
05-09 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3f962…
05-09 07:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x228d93…
05-09 07:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe85615…
05-09 07:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0x64330a…
05-09 07:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x06cc7c…
05-09 07:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x705f82…
05-09 07:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xee3a6a…
05-09 07:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x048549…
05-09 07:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc70164…
05-09 07:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x65849e…
05-09 07:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe2cd9e…
05-09 06:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7801e4…
05-09 06:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8d3128…
05-09 06:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xdedb92…
05-09 06:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xa00dd1…
05-09 06:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x246753…
05-09 06:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x589e48…
05-09 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x5f3cc1…
05-09 06:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x76d82b…
05-09 06:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x54420d…
05-09 06:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xd2f3de…
05-09 06:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x102171…
05-09 06:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x5fa5d2…
05-09 06:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x48107e…
05-09 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x7f2bee…
05-09 06:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e2961…
05-09 06:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x6d7e8c…
05-09 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6e69ad…
05-09 06:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xae0b8a…
05-09 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x13cd6f…
05-09 06:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8817f4…
05-09 06:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcf501e…
05-09 06:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x95166b…
05-09 06:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb0c9c5…
05-09 06:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe078dc…
05-09 06:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67acf2…
05-09 06:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa79a4f…
05-09 06:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x95422a…
05-09 06:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x12b45b…
05-09 06:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x832555…
05-06 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xded952…
05-06 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c9b15…
05-06 17:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf267f4…
05-06 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8b3664…
05-06 17:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x270243…
05-06 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6deb19…
05-06 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xa860a7…
05-06 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4433c4…
05-06 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc7bfab…
05-06 17:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6cc98f…
05-06 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa06f92…
05-06 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x25907a…
05-06 17:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a7eb1…
05-06 17:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x06c0da…
05-06 17:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x3c7ca5…
05-06 17:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x44a9b4…
05-06 17:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5e5d8d…
05-06 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xc67582…
05-06 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfee1d1…
05-06 17:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x41cfd9…
05-06 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xadb880…
05-06 17:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfae29d…
05-06 17:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd0f518…
05-06 17:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x64458e…
05-06 17:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa2c876…
05-06 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd11450…
05-06 16:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x06f43d…
05-06 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x310143…
05-06 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x45de04…
05-06 16:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa23fb5…
05-06 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x35027f…
05-06 16:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb06d7f…
05-06 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c3b8f…
05-06 16:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xea42dd…
05-06 16:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6395c8…
05-06 16:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x328432…
05-06 16:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xefad00…
05-06 16:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa47c3d…
05-06 16:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x02ad6e…
05-06 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x13feea…
05-06 16:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x186c19…
05-06 16:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3e6070…
05-06 16:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd2ed6d…
05-06 16:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x1dfaef…
05-06 16:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66c6a2…
05-06 15:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4e74fc…
05-06 15:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xe19ec5…
05-06 15:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x8dd409…
05-06 15:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc24a3…
05-06 15:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92530b…
05-06 15:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43595d…
05-06 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x102194…
05-06 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x43af28…