Untrue-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$71

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-09 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 9% $-38

Politics

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$15	101	0	+101	open	—	01-31 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$6	50	0	+50	Down	$-6	05-07 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$5	37	3	+33	Up	+$1	05-07 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Up	$-5	05-07 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-07 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	35	0	+35	Down	$-5	05-07 09:21
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	01-31 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	25	0	+25	Down	$-2	05-07 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-09 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Down	$-2	05-09 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$2	21	0	+21	Down	$-2	05-09 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	21	0	+21	Down	$-2	05-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$2	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-08 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-09 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-07 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-09 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-08 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-09 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-09 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 05:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5961df…
05-09 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5865e5…
05-09 05:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x88c7a7…
05-09 05:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf5e0c7…
05-09 04:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x717161…
05-09 04:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6b5aa9…
05-09 04:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa3bc3a…
05-09 04:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1cebd…
05-09 04:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd87087…
05-09 03:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xecb819…
05-09 03:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf95ddb…
05-09 03:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5da399…
05-09 03:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x56c0e1…
05-09 03:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdcef00…
05-08 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfbd2ec…
05-08 01:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc5c3eb…
05-07 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1aa3b1…
05-07 09:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc4e663…
05-07 09:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x87c121…
05-07 09:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x0e7d51…
05-07 09:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9d6893…
05-07 09:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb0220…
05-07 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd5a025…
05-07 09:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x57a366…
05-07 09:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9532df…
05-07 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6db762…
05-07 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x681d42…
05-07 09:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7c7d54…
05-07 08:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x246ffc…
05-07 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x202cad…
05-07 08:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ed4d9…
05-07 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x16e216…
01-31 16:04:02	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x581ccd…
01-31 16:03:24	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0xbfda0a…