Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,397

lifetime

Volume

$125.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-30 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

72% 71% -$54

Politics

16% 81% -$25

Tech

10% 60% -$20

Crypto

2% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	284	$25.1K	13,137	12,748	+389	Yes	-$2	06-17 18:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	101	$12.2K	6,688	5,894	+794	No	+$10	03-31 15:39
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	76	$8.3K	4,485	3,826	+658	No	+$7	04-22 23:03
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	395	$6.6K	3,386	3,386	+0	No	+$3	02-27 06:28
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	237	$6.2K	3,134	3,194	-61	No	-$1	01-30 14:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	372	$6.2K	3,179	3,219	-40	Yes	+$5	02-27 06:42
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	252	$6.0K	2,920	3,252	-332	Yes	-$10	01-31 12:25
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	171	$5.6K	4,030	2,252	+1,778	Yes	+$9	03-18 18:00
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	67	$3.4K	1,828	1,542	+286	No	+$3	03-29 05:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	318	$3.1K	1,631	1,573	+58	Yes	+$3	03-31 14:56
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	126	$2.5K	1,275	1,235	+40	No	+$2	01-31 13:40
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	97	$2.5K	1,214	1,276	-62	No	+$0	01-31 05:24
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	117	$2.2K	1,086	1,144	-59	No	+$1	02-27 07:24
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	87	$2.2K	926	1,303	-377	No	-$4	03-04 16:08
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	90	$2.2K	1,127	1,185	-57	No	-$7	01-30 02:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$2.1K	1,038	1,038	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	33	$1.9K	1,037	960	+77	No	$0	07-30 08:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	37	$1.9K	936	936	+0	No	+$1	07-01 10:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	97	$1.8K	920	940	-20	No	+$2	01-31 21:16
iran leadership change by march 31	199	$1.8K	920	917	+3	No	+$1	04-01 05:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	73	$1.7K	905	905	+0	Yes	+$3	02-27 04:35
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	66	$1.6K	783	783	+0	No	+$1	01-31 06:50
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	91	$1.5K	777	777	+0	No	+$1	02-08 23:45
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	73	$1.5K	751	921	-170	No	-$18	01-24 00:18
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	65	$1.4K	744	720	+24	Yes	+$0	01-23 08:28
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	71	$1.4K	696	741	-45	No	$0	02-01 01:36
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	45	$1.1K	525	625	-100	No	-$14	01-21 07:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	58	$1.0K	550	520	+30	Yes	-$29	02-06 14:33
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	92	$961	562	536	+26	No	+$6	02-26 05:51
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	39	$873	456	432	+24	No	+$0	02-24 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 03:10:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x6a1292…
08-29 13:04:03	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x255cb3…
08-29 13:03:09	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x408dae…
08-29 13:01:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcc5eac…
08-29 13:00:51	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x865225…
08-29 13:00:16	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x246e87…
08-29 12:59:57	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x8232bf…
08-29 10:07:54	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xbc9361…
08-14 07:15:52	will us withdraw from nato by august 31	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc5d2f5…
08-10 08:01:42	will us withdraw from nato by august 31	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x6e763b…
08-08 22:08:22	will us withdraw from nato by august 31	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5b4d77…
08-01 04:52:27	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x807a2d…
07-31 04:42:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x055913…
07-30 08:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x9f7e91…
07-30 06:16:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe6638f…
07-30 04:58:00	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbf3308…
07-29 21:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4844d8…
07-29 20:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xd9bc71…
07-29 17:40:24	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5dec4…
07-29 16:37:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8f739d…
07-28 21:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x83028e…
07-28 03:37:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7a6cac…
07-28 01:32:33	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3473ff…
07-27 11:28:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x1ec369…
07-27 10:42:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x676d65…
07-27 09:47:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x74aae2…
07-27 06:52:40	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaf87f8…
07-26 19:38:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xcd3ca5…
07-26 19:37:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0xa9c8de…
07-25 03:35:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xc4f95e…
07-24 18:34:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x3972a3…
07-24 16:20:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xe1ace4…
07-24 03:08:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x0874e5…
07-23 20:11:54	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x331684…
07-22 16:55:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x28d53e…
07-22 16:37:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xa0560c…
07-22 14:59:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xe3f9bd…
07-22 14:50:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x7602cc…
07-22 12:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6c463b…
07-22 10:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xdbb979…
07-19 11:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe99a69…
07-19 11:31:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7b79e6…
07-19 11:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0be8a3…
07-19 11:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x25a6ae…
07-19 11:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96796e…
07-19 11:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3e01c7…
07-19 11:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1c5510…
07-19 11:30:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xa995be…
07-19 10:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x9cbd5f…
07-19 09:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x14bf27…
07-19 07:42:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xa6f3f7…
07-19 06:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x68f2e9…
07-01 10:25:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x99687e…
07-01 07:31:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xc5ff43…
07-01 04:50:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x68a466…
07-01 00:03:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x869ab4…
06-30 23:05:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x47af63…
06-30 09:15:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3761cd…
06-29 12:08:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x9cc19d…
06-29 11:48:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c455d…
06-29 04:49:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x818bb9…
06-29 04:17:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe919c5…
06-29 02:09:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x456181…
06-28 23:34:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x065f5d…
06-28 13:16:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb2f550…
06-28 13:12:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf311f…
06-28 12:35:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1b6d66…
06-28 12:25:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x031cfb…
06-28 11:53:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x45ac39…
06-28 10:29:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa92135…
06-28 09:02:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x371271…
06-28 08:11:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x33a7af…
06-28 05:45:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x245b30…
06-28 03:47:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64e695…
06-27 22:06:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8bfa6d…
06-27 15:37:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4bc215…
06-27 09:28:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa06aeb…
06-27 09:22:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0x647fb0…
06-27 09:19:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4ab2de…
06-27 06:43:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa71f6e…
06-27 03:18:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe31a38…
06-27 00:33:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c118b…
06-27 00:28:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x69ba5b…
06-26 19:17:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x462388…
06-26 18:29:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x228006…
06-26 17:23:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf7500c…
06-26 15:48:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x97c6d1…
06-26 15:10:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x04e3ab…
06-26 14:28:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfe2664…
06-26 13:39:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x42b6af…
06-26 13:02:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4025b5…
06-26 12:46:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9c761d…
06-26 12:40:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaada12…
06-26 11:58:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xf6e133…
06-26 07:41:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd522cc…
06-26 06:44:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4f3275…
06-26 03:55:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c076d…
06-25 18:36:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc9af2e…
06-25 17:02:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x4a3e99…
06-25 16:30:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x02d0ce…