Flawless-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-15 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

31% 100% +$0

Other

27% 50% +$0

Politics

23% — —

Sports

19% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773672000	2	$2	6	+6	open	—	03-16 14:41
btc updown 5m 1773582000	2	$2	4	+4	open	—	03-15 13:40
btc updown 5m 1773581100	2	$2	5	+5	open	—	03-15 13:26
btc updown 5m 1773581700	2	$2	10	+10	open	—	03-15 13:39
btc updown 5m 1773671700	2	$2	6	+6	open	—	03-16 14:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-01 17:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-27 16:49
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-14 17:16
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	03-18 22:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-01 17:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	1	$1	2	+2	Luciano Darderi	$-1	05-13 17:51
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-14 17:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-01 17:17
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$1	5	+5	Sean Strickland	+$4	05-08 21:32
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-15 15:14
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-01 17:37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-15 15:12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$1	3	+3	Legacy	+$2	05-13 17:49
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$1	1	+1	Astralis	+$0	05-13 17:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-26 16:14
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-15 15:17
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-14 17:13
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$1	2	+2	Baltimore Orioles	$-1	05-13 17:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-08 16:40
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-14 17:20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-17 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-02 16:15
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-08 21:32
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$1	3	+3	GamerLegion	$-1	05-13 17:50
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-17 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:17:18	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xea19fe…
05-15 15:14:09	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x98d903…
05-15 15:12:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc8810f…
05-14 17:20:27	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf1278a…
05-14 17:16:34	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9eb767…
05-14 17:15:52	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc2da60…
05-14 17:13:39	Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3ee26e…
05-14 17:12:31	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x881f92…
05-13 17:51:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7666ea…
05-13 17:50:37	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf3347d…
05-13 17:49:47	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Astralis	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb666d2…
05-13 17:49:10	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa18d55…
05-13 17:43:22	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x318d94…
05-08 21:32:51	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x451752…
05-08 21:32:00	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb231c4…
04-17 15:25:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x02aa1d…
04-17 15:17:38	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5ed6ba…
04-17 15:16:56	Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac8362…
04-15 17:05:36	cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	Team Falcons	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x032b37…
04-13 20:34:39	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe6a462…
04-13 20:34:35	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf6f8c…
04-13 20:34:35	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x11acd3…
04-08 16:40:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd729a8…
04-07 17:31:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2fd2ff…
04-02 16:15:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0f0810…
04-01 17:46:21	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf82978…
04-01 17:38:19	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x948f84…
04-01 17:37:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ecf9c…
04-01 17:29:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x04495f…
04-01 17:28:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8017d1…
04-01 17:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb65927…
04-01 17:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa83c9f…
03-27 17:00:35	Will USD/CAD hit 1.39 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e35d5…
03-27 16:50:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1e69cc…
03-27 16:49:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08c510…
03-27 16:48:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x984b0b…
03-26 16:19:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xad7baf…
03-26 16:19:35	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf79715…
03-26 16:17:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9258b0…
03-26 16:14:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4da27b…
03-18 22:06:19	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6f5dd8…
03-16 14:41:53	btc updown 5m 1773672000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa17ac0…
03-16 14:40:15	btc updown 5m 1773672000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ea10e…
03-16 14:38:57	btc updown 5m 1773671700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xffd6bd…
03-16 14:35:15	btc updown 5m 1773671700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x83ebd2…
03-15 13:40:29	btc updown 5m 1773582000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b73e6…
03-15 13:40:21	btc updown 5m 1773582000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb82719…
03-15 13:39:25	btc updown 5m 1773581700	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4c25f8…
03-15 13:35:25	btc updown 5m 1773581700	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3ca094…
03-15 13:26:11	btc updown 5m 1773581100	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x030fb8…
03-15 13:25:31	btc updown 5m 1773581100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ff8ff…
03-15 13:21:33	btc updown 5m 1773580800	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc0e2c2…