Disastrous-Improvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-29 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-0

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

17% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$550	276	276	+0	open	—	04-03 04:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	4	$538	269	269	+0	open	—	04-02 09:27
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$502	252	252	+0	open	—	04-11 20:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$486	244	244	+0	open	—	03-16 04:55
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	4	$483	242	242	+0	open	—	03-14 11:16
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$470	235	235	+0	open	—	03-22 07:37
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	03-23 07:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$344	172	172	+0	open	—	03-04 15:32
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$340	170	170	+0	No	$-0	03-11 17:11
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$286	143	143	+0	open	—	03-29 05:47
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$282	141	141	+0	open	—	03-30 16:00
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$276	138	138	+0	open	—	03-25 21:06
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	03-24 20:26
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$268	134	134	+0	open	—	03-16 23:00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$-0	03-18 11:23
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$-0	04-17 08:09
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	04-08 02:59
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	03-24 14:16
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	04-18 02:06
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-16 19:34
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-16 01:41
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	04-05 08:09
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	3	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-14 17:07
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	03-03 17:17
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	03-16 16:56
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-28 10:39
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-26 12:16
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	03-02 11:25
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	03-26 21:43
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	03-29 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 14:49:00	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x478069…
04-18 02:06:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x017651…
04-17 23:29:22	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x4d318a…
04-17 08:09:42	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x4ded62…
04-17 01:26:52	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x577fff…
04-16 19:34:46	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x017607…
04-16 14:47:56	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xd052fc…
04-16 01:41:42	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xca79d2…
04-15 22:43:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x06316d…
04-14 10:17:05	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x016fbb…
04-13 19:39:13	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xa16dde…
04-11 20:04:11	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x2e2097…
04-11 17:21:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x78dc0f…
04-08 02:59:25	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x8e2768…
04-07 23:45:19	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x33c864…
04-07 22:30:11	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xb546e6…
04-07 13:45:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x19a69b…
04-07 00:11:53	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x77faee…
04-06 14:05:29	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x28a6ac…
04-06 13:37:47	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5d8e03…
04-06 13:36:47	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf8e67e…
04-05 21:35:11	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xc6056a…
04-05 10:18:09	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3e828a…
04-05 08:09:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x755ca7…
04-05 03:54:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xaadb41…
04-03 04:17:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0xed268b…
04-03 01:00:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x87a2da…
04-02 09:27:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xcbb1cf…
04-02 03:00:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x3ed097…
03-31 14:09:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf141a5…
03-30 16:00:03	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x6133d9…
03-30 10:56:48	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x7258e2…
03-29 22:25:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xd624de…
03-29 18:14:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x729939…
03-29 05:47:10	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x66a75a…
03-29 00:42:48	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x0c013f…
03-29 00:42:22	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x138acd…
03-28 20:35:54	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa83ef2…
03-26 21:43:15	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3706ab…
03-26 15:35:39	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9bc26d…
03-25 21:06:23	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x0e6e9f…
03-25 14:53:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x6426ff…
03-25 14:52:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x3ac764…
03-25 08:46:47	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x9ff7f9…
03-24 20:26:15	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x13e86c…
03-24 14:17:17	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x047d23…
03-24 14:16:57	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x8e52ed…
03-24 08:10:01	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x9bd319…
03-23 07:50:31	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xf2e535…
03-23 01:46:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2ee340…
03-22 13:41:29	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xef1963…
03-22 07:38:15	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xeca8a1…
03-22 07:37:57	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x698130…
03-22 01:31:21	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x2783cb…
03-18 11:23:13	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x42868e…
03-18 05:22:55	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x621f7a…
03-17 23:16:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x11049f…
03-17 17:04:37	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x76bcfc…
03-16 23:00:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x23a7b8…
03-16 16:57:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4b594f…
03-16 16:56:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x7699cb…
03-16 10:54:09	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc640f1…
03-16 04:55:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x8dcf7b…
03-15 22:56:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x415c32…
03-14 23:03:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xbe134a…
03-14 17:08:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x706930…
03-14 17:07:59	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x2c8291…
03-14 16:54:19	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc5282…
03-14 16:47:19	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe52cfe…
03-14 11:16:47	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xebcc79…
03-14 10:45:09	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xe805d2…
03-13 23:31:43	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xd0d287…
03-13 17:40:43	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8cd9ef…
03-12 23:34:47	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0xc653bd…
03-12 23:34:11	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	55	63¢	$35	0x6bb965…
03-11 17:11:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x79110d…
03-11 11:11:39	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xe6c9e0…
03-10 19:35:45	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Wizards	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x077103…
03-10 19:35:15	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Hornets	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0xbe1dd7…
03-10 19:34:45	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x3e628c…
03-08 18:24:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4812c9…
03-07 16:48:51	will ethereum dip to 1400 march 2 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef3b79…
03-05 08:44:59	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x85b709…
03-05 05:55:03	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x0ca0e8…
03-04 22:22:29	nba atl mil 2026 03 04	Hawks	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x665e0f…
03-04 22:21:57	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Pacers	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x110cab…
03-04 22:21:25	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Knicks	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0x8e7299…
03-04 15:32:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x8938c4…
03-04 07:28:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xeed83a…
03-03 17:18:05	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x256c05…
03-03 17:17:39	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x7c349f…
03-03 06:32:55	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4fa269…
03-02 11:25:11	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x817c27…
03-02 05:10:43	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x54e6b9…
03-02 05:10:21	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x579481…
03-01 22:45:11	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xe8a0f8…
03-01 16:21:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x2a2e5e…
03-01 04:40:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x20b35f…
02-28 10:39:55	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x133258…
02-28 10:39:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8f35f3…