Watery-Blame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

164

Trades

1,164

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-09 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-89

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768978800	56	$669	674	485	+189	open	—	01-21 07:03
btc updown 15m 1769603400	51	$248	241	225	+16	open	—	01-28 12:41
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	35	$225	193	173	+20	open	—	01-31 10:43
btc updown 5m 1775434200	1	$135	296	0	+296	open	—	04-06 00:10
btc updown 15m 1771482600	4	$124	147	145	+2	open	—	02-19 06:34
btc updown 15m 1768974300	23	$108	148	0	+148	open	—	01-21 05:53
btc updown 15m 1768979700	27	$100	556	170	+386	open	—	01-21 07:29
btc updown 15m 1768526100	7	$96	119	0	+119	open	—	01-16 01:27
btc updown 15m 1768527000	2	$94	150	0	+150	open	—	01-16 01:37
btc updown 15m 1771478100	3	$91	156	0	+156	open	—	02-19 05:28
btc updown 15m 1771477200	3	$80	189	0	+189	open	—	02-19 05:13
btc updown 15m 1768497300	2	$75	138	0	+138	open	—	01-15 17:16
btc updown 15m 1771476300	3	$73	168	0	+168	open	—	02-19 04:58
btc updown 15m 1771473600	3	$71	180	0	+180	open	—	02-19 04:12
btc updown 15m 1771479000	3	$69	168	0	+168	open	—	02-19 05:41
btc updown 15m 1771475400	3	$66	169	0	+169	open	—	02-19 04:41
btc updown 15m 1771474500	3	$65	179	0	+179	open	—	02-19 04:22
btc updown 15m 1769601600	30	$59	252	0	+252	open	—	01-28 12:13
btc updown 15m 1769859000	14	$58	86	25	+61	open	—	01-31 11:28
btc updown 15m 1770091200	3	$55	180	0	+180	open	—	02-03 04:14
btc updown 15m 1772617500	3	$53	80	0	+80	open	—	03-04 09:56
btc updown 15m 1772532900	2	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	03-03 10:16
btc updown 15m 1771481700	1	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	02-19 06:15
btc updown 15m 1768976100	2	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	01-21 06:24
btc updown 15m 1771479900	1	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	02-19 05:45
btc updown 15m 1771480800	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	02-19 06:00
btc updown 15m 1769849100	10	$46	14,884	10	+14,874	open	—	01-31 09:00
btc updown 15m 1770006600	9	$45	35	25	+10	open	—	02-02 04:43
btc updown 15m 1772614800	2	$43	77	0	+77	open	—	03-04 09:00
btc updown 15m 1772597700	2	$42	70	0	+70	open	—	03-04 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xa8bacb…
05-09 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7ef077…
05-09 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3cce14…
05-09 18:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x915589…
05-09 18:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1087ea…
05-09 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaf7d94…
05-09 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb2b7ea…
05-09 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x32aa25…
05-09 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x1cb667…
05-09 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xc220bb…
05-09 18:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7a4a2e…
05-09 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x3ee23b…
05-09 17:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xef0591…
05-09 17:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1e69a7…
05-09 16:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3236a3…
05-09 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa17a21…
05-09 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x652272…
05-09 13:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x29071c…
05-09 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5157cb…
05-09 12:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2c0d8b…
05-09 12:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xcee0f1…
05-09 12:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb8025e…
05-09 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x8e8aa3…
05-09 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf720ab…
05-09 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x9c3a46…
05-09 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x8cfa6e…
05-09 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4bc3ec…
05-09 12:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xa63e27…
05-09 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcde94e…
05-09 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x9ab8b3…
05-09 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x23c6d6…
05-09 11:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xad29dc…
05-09 11:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xebd58b…
05-09 11:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x359e6b…
05-09 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8748c3…
05-09 11:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x56cfff…
05-09 11:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x30f130…
05-09 10:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2942f0…
05-09 10:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x990c85…
05-09 10:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2be9e0…
05-09 09:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x56e796…
05-09 09:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x121216…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xee8723…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaf34da…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x95fe75…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x45d406…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x1cc278…
05-09 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x04632f…
05-09 09:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x780db7…
05-09 09:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb6a830…
05-09 09:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x6fe50d…
05-09 08:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8630c3…
05-09 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x295eff…
05-09 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x1949ab…
05-09 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x1495d0…
05-09 08:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xc570e4…
05-09 08:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa2b46c…
05-09 08:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x342466…
05-09 08:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x36bce6…
05-09 07:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x987bfb…
05-09 07:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6d43c6…
05-09 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x1d8888…
05-09 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x9294af…
05-09 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xa7dc3c…
05-09 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb488b4…
05-09 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x45dc23…
05-09 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xda68e1…
05-09 05:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6d2ed5…
05-09 05:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x392e32…
05-09 05:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xea3d41…
05-09 05:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd10ddd…
05-09 05:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb6b357…
05-09 05:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x964b68…
05-09 05:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x64e8cf…
05-09 05:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xe67a23…
05-09 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x140f43…
05-09 05:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x15285b…
05-09 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe68508…
05-09 05:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb0ba4e…
05-09 03:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x43a6c4…
05-09 03:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xbd0e09…
05-09 03:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd54d6d…
05-09 03:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7c82e4…
05-09 03:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xbf4f0f…
05-09 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd601f8…
05-09 02:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xccc57f…
05-09 00:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7d6f41…
05-09 00:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x6d2fbd…
05-09 00:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x218b25…
05-09 00:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xf9efce…
05-09 00:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5b96f2…
05-09 00:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb4c307…
05-08 23:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf4ae2c…
05-08 23:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xaca0ff…
05-08 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x58ef9f…
05-08 23:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x449669…
05-08 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x24f816…
05-08 22:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc1a0b4…
05-08 22:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9a7468…
05-08 22:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x55ff73…