Excited-Eyestrain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$49.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-10 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Sports

41% 76% +$2,583

Politics

36% 27% +$97

Other

22% 87% +$428

Crypto

0% 100% +$21

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes		+50	$26	71¢	$35	+$9	10-10 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	42	$17.3K	10,577	9,699	+878	Yes	+$112	01-30 12:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	22	$5.5K	4,269	4,269	+0	Yes	+$1	01-31 01:54
nba mia chi 2026 01 29	22	$3.8K	2,884	2,884	+0	Heat	+$224	01-30 03:23
nba por nyk 2026 01 30	16	$3.6K	2,881	881	+2,000	Knicks	+$84	01-31 02:37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	25	$3.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	Cavaliers	-$561	05-14 03:01
nba lal cle 2026 01 28	77	$2.3K	2,932	2,450	+482	Cavaliers	+$64	01-29 02:05
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$1.8K	3,755	0	+3,755	Spurs	+$1,004	05-30 03:45
nba sas hou 2026 01 28	27	$1.5K	2,473	288	+2,185	Spurs	+$858	01-29 08:08
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$1.1K	780	780	+0	Thunder	-$46	05-12 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$986	1,013	0	+1,013	No	+$27	05-12 00:54
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	2	$985	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$15	01-30 11:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	7	$902	970	0	+970	Yes	+$68	05-11 11:32
nba cle phx 2026 01 30	36	$857	1,072	1,063	+9	Suns	+$114	01-31 02:43
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$804	1,362	0	+1,362	Spurs	+$558	05-27 23:30
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	3	$780	1,200	0	+1,200	Minnesota Lynx	+$420	05-29 05:45
nba lac den 2026 01 30	11	$718	740	170	+570	Nuggets	+$152	01-31 04:15
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	5	$603	498	498	+0	Yes	+$5	01-29 05:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$360	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	01-28 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$297	298	0	+298	No	+$1	05-11 10:41
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	4	$203	402	0	+402	Washington Mystics	-$203	06-02 03:47
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	8	$184	200	200	+0	Down	$0	01-31 09:10
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$171	250	250	+0	No	-$18	06-09 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$171	173	0	+173	Yes	+$2	05-13 13:19
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	4	$149	500	500	+0	No	+$49	01-29 17:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	5	$130	200	200	+0	No	+$34	01-30 11:10
nba sac hou 2026 02 25	1	$113	128	0	+128	Rockets	+$15	02-25 11:22
nba okc min 2026 01 29	8	$102	203	0	+203	Timberwolves	+$101	01-30 04:53
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 13:48
nba was atl 2026 02 24	1	$94	110	0	+110	Hawks	+$16	02-24 23:48
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	1	$93	97	0	+97	No	+$4	02-24 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 06:44:13	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xf16f33…
09-24 04:07:57	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x7d185c…
09-09 15:29:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdcedf4…
08-26 02:41:36	israel military action against syria by september 30 2026 21	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xb93887…
08-19 06:51:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfbdec5…
08-08 06:00:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd3b78f…
07-26 02:15:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb28af2…
07-19 05:56:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x336e70…
07-09 14:25:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3c4015…
07-02 06:46:28	Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8e8f02…
06-22 13:50:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xe839a0…
06-22 13:49:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x137ea7…
06-22 13:48:59	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xcdde3b…
06-16 10:15:25	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8491da…
06-11 09:30:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa7dc16…
06-09 07:57:03	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	160	38¢	$61	0xd46d69…
06-09 02:02:58	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0x22ae7d…
06-04 04:29:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd98a52…
06-02 03:47:09	Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	Chicago Sky	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x5f8ab5…
06-02 03:45:50	Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	Chicago Sky	BUY	170	51¢	$87	0x9442f3…
06-02 03:45:08	Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	Chicago Sky	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x9fb6dc…
06-02 03:45:08	Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	Chicago Sky	BUY	170	50¢	$85	0x88f44b…
05-30 03:45:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2,758	43¢	$1,186	0xfaeddb…
05-29 23:56:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	996	57¢	$568	0x60342c…
05-29 05:45:35	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	53	65¢	$34	0xf8ba3f…
05-29 05:37:34	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xc4e667…
05-29 05:13:13	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	1,112	65¢	$723	0x652daf…
05-27 23:30:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,362	59¢	$804	0x5ee3cd…
05-20 07:23:17	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	38¢	$94	0x081d22…
05-14 03:01:31	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x642d0a…
05-14 02:46:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	395	57¢	$226	0xb95df8…
05-14 02:46:49	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7beacc…
05-14 02:46:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xfefa09…
05-14 02:46:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xdf06f7…
05-14 02:46:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x243f35…
05-14 02:46:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1adced…
05-14 02:46:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	87	57¢	$50	0xdc33e8…
05-14 02:46:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x690f22…
05-14 02:46:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x2d4d34…
05-14 02:46:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x22ebba…
05-14 02:46:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x8c8faa…
05-14 02:46:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x699bde…
05-14 02:36:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	160	90¢	$144	0xd34b03…
05-14 02:36:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x236b31…
05-14 02:35:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x6dfad5…
05-14 02:35:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd0f47d…
05-14 02:35:50	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x98de3b…
05-14 02:35:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd9d4dd…
05-14 02:35:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3fe971…
05-14 02:34:29	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x63bf03…
05-14 02:24:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0xef73c9…
05-14 02:09:29	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0x707182…
05-14 00:51:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	700	74¢	$518	0x91072d…
05-13 13:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x2686f7…
05-13 03:35:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,700	62¢	$1,054	0xdf733b…
05-12 04:56:07	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	400	55¢	$220	0xd70022…
05-12 04:33:57	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x78d831…
05-12 03:19:47	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	380	82¢	$312	0x11d2d2…
05-12 03:17:21	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	380	73¢	$277	0x29bbd7…
05-12 00:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xdac1d3…
05-12 00:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$292	0x61b325…
05-12 00:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xd58e55…
05-12 00:33:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x5217d3…
05-12 00:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4beb5f…
05-11 11:32:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0x9cddea…
05-11 10:43:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	93¢	$76	0xc64606…
05-11 10:43:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc8fa9b…
05-11 10:42:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0xdc1c14…
05-11 10:41:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x7a0605…
05-11 10:41:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x091d25…
05-11 10:37:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xd9348f…
05-11 10:37:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	93¢	$293	0xe6442b…
02-25 11:22:52	nba sac hou 2026 02 25	Rockets	BUY	128	88¢	$113	0x23db31…
02-24 23:48:18	nba was atl 2026 02 24	Hawks	BUY	110	85¢	$94	0x71164c…
02-24 08:53:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	No	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0xfa7ffa…
02-20 20:35:14	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x9a61a9…
01-31 09:10:12	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	79	46¢	$36	0x09f9ed…
01-31 08:35:38	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	95	46¢	$44	0xe87f34…
01-31 08:26:46	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x27a196…
01-31 07:52:42	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x3c763e…
01-31 07:39:36	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x987dab…
01-31 07:10:02	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x934e97…
01-31 06:31:04	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	BUY	29	46¢	$14	0x4b9376…
01-31 06:30:40	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	BUY	171	46¢	$78	0x087a64…
01-31 04:15:50	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc8ee7d…
01-31 03:55:22	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	117	80¢	$94	0x638e7c…
01-31 03:54:12	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	83	80¢	$66	0xe6b130…
01-31 03:49:00	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	SELL	170	88¢	$150	0x30fb89…
01-31 03:46:56	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xc6abcd…
01-31 03:46:54	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x8efe7a…
01-31 03:46:54	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x1e1c32…
01-31 03:46:52	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x86d9f9…
01-31 03:46:46	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0xae3c08…
01-31 03:46:40	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x6af950…
01-31 02:43:54	nba cle phx 2026 01 30	Suns	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xcc9087…
01-31 02:37:26	nba por nyk 2026 01 30	Knicks	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x293314…
01-31 02:24:14	nba cle phx 2026 01 30	Suns	SELL	132	46¢	$61	0x185ef0…
01-31 02:19:12	nba por nyk 2026 01 30	Knicks	SELL	600	96¢	$576	0xc63b39…
01-31 02:01:02	nba cle phx 2026 01 30	Suns	SELL	103	46¢	$47	0xe72a1f…
01-31 02:00:58	nba cle phx 2026 01 30	Suns	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xf6049d…