Frightened-Velocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

233

Trades

1,519

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-15 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-29

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$156	196	191	+5	open	—	05-14 16:31
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$89	58	58	+0	open	—	01-21 05:37
will solana dip to 120 in january 2026	13	$82	69	69	+0	open	—	01-21 23:39
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	6	$48	42	26	+17	open	—	01-22 00:23
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	6	$46	29	29	+0	open	—	01-21 04:38
will xrp dip to 1pt8 in january 2026	1	$43	84	0	+84	open	—	01-21 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	14	$39	35	35	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	13	$37	65	0	+65	Up	+$23	05-13 06:07
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	4	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	01-22 00:14
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	4	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	01-19 07:33
bitcoin up or down january 18 10pm et	2	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	01-19 03:50
btc updown 5m 1776041100	13	$29	60	0	+60	open	—	04-13 00:47
btc updown 5m 1776053100	12	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 04:07
btc updown 5m 1776047100	8	$23	35	0	+35	open	—	04-13 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	10	$21	30	24	+6	Up	+$1	05-07 05:17
btc updown 5m 1776039000	12	$19	45	0	+45	open	—	04-13 00:13
btc updown 5m 1776046500	8	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 02:18
btc updown 5m 1776038100	9	$17	40	0	+40	open	—	04-12 23:59
will dkiti be played at the super bowl halftime show	4	$16	35	0	+35	open	—	02-06 20:02
will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	6	$16	441	227	+214	open	—	01-21 05:38
btc updown 5m 1776048000	8	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	8	$15	18	17	+1	Up	$-7	05-07 05:11
will xrp dip to 1pt6 in january 2026	3	$15	82	43	+39	open	—	01-21 05:37
btc updown 15m 1768799700	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	01-19 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776040500	7	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:33
btc updown 5m 1776039300	7	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 00:16
eth updown 5m 1776043500	18	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	04-13 01:26
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	4	$13	87	87	+0	open	—	01-19 07:33
eth updown 5m 1776045900	8	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	04-13 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xec0782…
05-15 17:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x395ca7…
05-15 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x6eff8d…
05-15 17:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x17f6ff…
05-15 17:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3f87f4…
05-15 16:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb2d347…
05-15 16:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x504cc5…
05-15 16:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa2b569…
05-15 16:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3392b3…
05-15 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xba0d66…
05-15 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf4aefb…
05-15 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x3c248a…
05-15 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x81817d…
05-15 01:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc210a1…
05-15 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe50af2…
05-15 01:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3b0fe2…
05-15 01:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x56ee81…
05-15 01:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1cc16c…
05-15 01:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdbe319…
05-15 01:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x037e3a…
05-15 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7dbdf1…
05-15 01:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x958fec…
05-15 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x47aa06…
05-15 00:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe2d2f9…
05-15 00:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5d86af…
05-15 00:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xef8a26…
05-15 00:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x095c3e…
05-15 00:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8388f0…
05-15 00:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6e44e4…
05-15 00:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c4ea6…
05-15 00:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe008ef…
05-15 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdfea83…
05-15 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x21c7d0…
05-15 00:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x33c52b…
05-15 00:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x02976d…
05-14 23:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4d8f7b…
05-14 23:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x39f8a9…
05-14 23:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcfa4c0…
05-14 23:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8e4b8f…
05-14 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xca78ff…
05-14 23:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x277b0c…
05-14 23:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc0bfbe…
05-14 23:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7969ba…
05-14 22:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6218ac…
05-14 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x770ec1…
05-14 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x710f7e…
05-14 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd04458…
05-14 22:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe6817d…
05-14 22:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5530fe…
05-14 21:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0255e2…
05-14 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcd1fe4…
05-14 21:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x349929…
05-14 21:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x923d0f…
05-14 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xb7bc27…
05-14 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3ebb1d…
05-14 20:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5a3961…
05-14 20:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6fa0a4…
05-14 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xef7d66…
05-14 20:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa7cd07…
05-14 20:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x17ad16…
05-14 19:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x19df9b…
05-14 19:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x623088…
05-14 19:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc64909…
05-14 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd254f4…
05-14 19:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x016a82…
05-14 19:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4ae937…
05-14 19:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c677c…
05-14 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3f8cba…
05-14 19:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x82feae…
05-14 19:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x99265b…
05-14 18:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x29d20a…
05-14 18:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc6f21a…
05-14 18:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4706c2…
05-14 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc1c79d…
05-14 18:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6ca9b2…
05-14 18:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f89fd…
05-14 18:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf39bd6…
05-14 18:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x416092…
05-14 18:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2d6c3c…
05-14 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7bf377…
05-14 17:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x98957f…
05-14 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe975a2…
05-14 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x87bcae…
05-14 17:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4727d2…
05-14 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x667d20…
05-14 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe7b5c0…
05-14 17:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x861761…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7df403…
05-14 17:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd77bf1…
05-14 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd98444…
05-14 17:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x268c9c…
05-14 17:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x492fb2…
05-14 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xf6d516…
05-14 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x17d463…
05-14 17:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xfaca04…
05-14 17:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x02bf14…
05-14 16:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8666ef…
05-14 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x539a1d…
05-14 16:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf518e0…
05-14 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x69bc4b…