Judicious-Demand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$850

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-09 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% $-3

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	9	$58	51	34	+17	open	—	04-25 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	9	$52	72	42	+31	open	—	04-25 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$42	42	30	+12	open	—	04-25 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$40	50	30	+20	open	—	04-25 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$34	21	20	+0	open	—	04-25 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$27	41	13	+28	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	7	$27	84	0	+84	open	—	04-25 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	04-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-25 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-25 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$19	42	0	+42	open	—	04-25 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$15	49	0	+49	open	—	04-25 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$15	21	8	+13	open	—	04-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$14	34	0	+34	open	—	04-25 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$13	46	0	+46	open	—	04-25 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$13	32	0	+32	open	—	04-25 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	10	$12	22	9	+13	open	—	04-26 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$11	25	24	+1	open	—	04-25 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-25 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 05:44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-25 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-25 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-25 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 03:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x58d4b2…
05-05 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e8b8b…
05-05 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e2ef8…
05-05 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3e556c…
05-05 02:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b084b…
05-05 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdc5cc5…
05-03 03:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x50fb33…
05-03 03:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe6bf25…
05-03 03:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xde94e9…
04-30 15:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbbe8b1…
04-30 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf13aae…
04-30 14:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x90c921…
04-30 14:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9feb87…
04-30 14:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x85b81b…
04-30 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x466459…
04-30 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7ff470…
04-30 09:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbd5900…
04-30 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb97d5e…
04-30 08:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf4b1eb…
04-30 08:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9b2461…
04-30 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaa22bc…
04-30 08:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10cfba…
04-30 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8048a6…
04-30 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x56b5d2…
04-30 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90127a…
04-30 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1904db…
04-30 07:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaf9b08…
04-30 07:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86d663…
04-30 07:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf11077…
04-30 07:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x955438…
04-30 07:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf5885c…
04-30 07:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf86669…
04-30 07:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa5c0fa…
04-30 06:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x80ae88…
04-30 06:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf2ae82…
04-30 06:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x508bc9…
04-30 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8db213…
04-30 06:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc6438e…
04-30 06:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xffccbf…
04-30 06:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x06dd9c…
04-30 06:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5f3f89…
04-30 06:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9df80f…
04-30 06:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a93b5…
04-30 05:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa87ffe…
04-30 05:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3fddc1…
04-30 05:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9bfb17…
04-30 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d3809…
04-30 05:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x06ff61…
04-30 05:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x89c2bf…
04-30 05:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe405bc…
04-30 05:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x77e60f…
04-30 04:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x882c34…
04-30 03:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa9e1f9…
04-30 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb56641…
04-30 02:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xecd4fa…
04-29 07:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x82aaa5…
04-29 04:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x950c05…
04-26 05:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6d2369…
04-26 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87c31b…
04-26 05:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe42e8d…
04-26 05:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x67be8d…
04-26 05:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10fbad…
04-26 05:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe711c1…
04-26 05:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa1afa…
04-26 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e2f3f…
04-26 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa55a54…
04-26 05:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x89d756…
04-26 05:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe370c2…
04-26 05:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x74f0a7…
04-26 05:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x006d69…
04-26 05:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3434fb…
04-26 05:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x612ad3…
04-26 05:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x52e624…
04-26 05:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x99a2e0…
04-26 05:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4536b7…
04-26 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0ffae8…
04-26 05:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdab0b8…
04-26 05:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9c390a…
04-26 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa22505…
04-26 05:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0e7668…
04-26 05:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xff2096…
04-26 05:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5e6d3b…
04-26 05:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x424f79…
04-26 04:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd2d627…
04-26 04:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7da64a…
04-26 04:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x055a9c…
04-26 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x45c2c9…
04-26 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5c328d…
04-26 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbd2c56…
04-26 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa93370…
04-26 04:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a24ed…
04-26 04:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4a5ffe…
04-26 04:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa2a3b7…
04-26 04:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x420ba2…
04-26 04:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7a56d5…
04-26 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x4d48e9…
04-26 04:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31c7a8…
04-26 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe09902…
04-26 04:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf432ed…
04-26 04:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb4b2a1…