Guilty-Irrigation-Authentication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$589

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-05 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	11	$33	22	20	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	10	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$28	24	13	+11	Up	$-8	05-05 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	6	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$20	14	9	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$19	16	13	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	17	$19	71	22	+49	open	—	05-02 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	8	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	7	$17	12	10	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	8	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$13	50	7	+43	Down	$-3	05-04 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	10	$13	11	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$13	10	7	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	11	$12	33	3	+30	open	—	05-02 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9AM ET	9	$11	22	5	+17	open	—	05-02 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	7	$11	11	4	+6	Down	$-3	05-04 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	7	$11	32	11	+21	open	—	05-02 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$10	11	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$9	38	0	+38	open	—	05-02 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$8	6	4	+2	Down	$-2	05-05 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 10:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x99753d…
05-05 10:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x077a9b…
05-05 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0x435975…
05-05 10:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xcfed76…
05-05 09:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xca570b…
05-05 09:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x90c3d3…
05-05 09:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x2a00e4…
05-05 09:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x30c82b…
05-05 09:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x40c39c…
05-05 09:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcecb45…
05-05 09:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd80ed7…
05-05 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd3e55c…
05-05 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xcc5485…
05-05 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9f7a47…
05-05 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xbc989a…
05-05 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6cad7a…
05-05 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcbb7e6…
05-05 09:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x577257…
05-05 09:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6326dd…
05-05 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9c658f…
05-05 09:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x2ae909…
05-05 09:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe1762d…
05-05 09:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6f505b…
05-05 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xf41a08…
05-05 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7febc7…
05-05 09:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9601dc…
05-05 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x3a1454…
05-05 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4235a0…
05-05 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x764aaf…
05-05 09:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x15fd2e…
05-05 09:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x978a27…
05-05 09:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5b1306…
05-05 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xf4f78b…
05-05 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x15fd8a…
05-05 09:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x4a9947…
05-05 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x886e0a…
05-05 09:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa211ac…
05-05 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5331e9…
05-05 09:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4a5d23…
05-05 09:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb7d35a…
05-05 09:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x4086cc…
05-05 09:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x711b81…
05-05 09:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x7f518f…
05-05 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9cf468…
05-05 09:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb6975b…
05-05 09:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x106074…
05-05 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6f4bbc…
05-05 09:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x300581…
05-05 09:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5eeeba…
05-05 09:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x6d4e51…
05-05 09:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5a2833…
05-05 09:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbee903…
05-05 09:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdf63b0…
05-05 09:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x21d587…
05-05 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc29f3a…
05-05 09:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x64da39…
05-05 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x187aa2…
05-05 09:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x86bc13…
05-05 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1356f6…
05-05 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0da85e…
05-05 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3dde4f…
05-05 08:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xe25c7f…
05-05 08:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07a2a0…
05-05 08:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcbe825…
05-05 08:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x15c019…
05-05 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2f1528…
05-05 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x71f5ec…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x492a44…
05-05 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x88d70d…
05-05 08:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x78805d…
05-05 08:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3be2a…
05-05 08:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x18499b…
05-05 08:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x876b23…
05-05 08:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x570276…
05-05 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaa665d…
05-05 08:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x56c437…
05-05 08:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x10a50f…
05-05 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4971bd…
05-05 08:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfaf746…
05-05 08:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfad9c2…
05-05 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x37eec5…
05-05 08:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb24fe1…
05-05 08:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0bd128…
05-05 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x45fc0c…
05-05 08:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xee1397…
05-05 08:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xcff985…
05-05 08:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9e8e6c…
05-04 23:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0x2acdbb…
05-04 23:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xeb6aba…
05-04 23:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3a3515…
05-04 23:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x64fc41…
05-04 23:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb13cfc…
05-04 23:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x4a53f9…
05-04 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x24ca6b…
05-04 23:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x137302…
05-04 23:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f83af…
05-04 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8e009…
05-04 23:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0cc60c…
05-04 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3aba21…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x483fa5…