Frail-Crosscontamination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$5	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$4	9	4	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-07 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	5	$3	9	6	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-07 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$2	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$2	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	50	50	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-07 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-08 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-07 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	+$6	05-07 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	+$10	05-07 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-07 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-07 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$2	102	0	+102	Down	$-2	05-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-07 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-07 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x989e7b…
05-08 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ebca8…
05-08 22:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe8062b…
05-08 21:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x378853…
05-08 21:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x62ba46…
05-08 21:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb44b48…
05-08 20:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb39234…
05-08 20:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe8b3e9…
05-08 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb97885…
05-08 20:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fff38…
05-08 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa90acd…
05-08 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x34145f…
05-08 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87095f…
05-08 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x113863…
05-08 06:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0ea593…
05-08 06:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x184f48…
05-08 05:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0902e1…
05-08 05:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf38744…
05-08 02:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x40dcda…
05-08 02:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x19b9dc…
05-08 02:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x16e693…
05-08 02:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x188140…
05-08 02:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b18e3…
05-08 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ae10a…
05-08 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb62ac8…
05-08 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc11ecc…
05-08 01:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb62fb…
05-08 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x43eb31…
05-08 01:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x70d8e1…
05-08 01:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbb417b…
05-08 01:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5b2ed5…
05-08 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x450c7c…
05-07 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaee364…
05-07 23:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x94c52b…
05-07 23:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0fbb59…
05-07 23:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x098114…
05-07 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd54320…
05-07 22:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1a3bb5…
05-07 22:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7cca90…
05-07 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x90112f…
05-07 22:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3c7d24…
05-07 22:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98d993…
05-07 22:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x40dad5…
05-07 22:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xbf61dd…
05-07 22:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1c9fcf…
05-07 22:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xc3800b…
05-07 22:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc9fd48…
05-07 22:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf86ef6…
05-07 22:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x603b43…
05-07 22:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xed2a34…
05-07 22:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5623bb…
05-07 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xca58b1…
05-07 22:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23ed2c…
05-07 21:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1fd129…
05-07 21:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3262dd…
05-07 21:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x39e581…
05-07 21:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3648ca…
05-07 21:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x11f14e…
05-07 21:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0cd6ac…
05-07 21:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa8777c…
05-07 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2074a…
05-07 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb738d6…
05-07 21:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa9a4a0…
05-07 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe7cfe1…
05-07 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78c367…
05-07 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfc9306…
05-07 21:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb89864…
05-07 21:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x64eaed…
05-07 20:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa882a1…
05-07 20:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa4161d…
05-07 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcc6734…
05-07 20:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeb87f1…
05-07 20:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd0e4b3…
05-07 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x864e1f…
05-07 20:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6c683e…
05-07 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1e78d8…
05-07 20:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe6dbf3…
05-07 20:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa62ef4…
05-07 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc34c0c…
05-07 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x082e2e…
05-07 20:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x64a72c…
05-07 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcdb87d…
05-07 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcdeb1d…
05-07 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ac198…
05-07 19:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb4f55d…
05-07 19:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xb8c7e2…
05-07 19:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9c05fa…
05-07 19:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x88d0d7…
05-07 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7ba9c4…
05-07 19:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf4b39f…
05-07 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x59dd8f…
05-07 19:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa3d8df…
05-07 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x238544…
05-07 16:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x402552…
05-07 16:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x24155f…
05-07 16:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4bf486…
05-07 16:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2f765b…
05-07 15:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xa6347f…
05-07 15:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xff02fa…
05-07 15:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf0baae…