Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.12K

Open exposure

$1.91K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-03 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$2

Other

31% 100% +$11

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+1,913	$1,902	100¢	$1.9K	+$9	07-03 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$1.9K	1,913	+1,913	open	—	07-03 03:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$1.9K	1,896	+1,896	open	—	06-21 20:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	5	$1.9K	1,892	+1,892	open	—	06-18 20:10
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$1.9K	1,889	+1,889	open	—	06-17 22:58
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	1	$1.9K	1,875	+1,875	open	—	06-12 19:32
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,874	+1,874	open	—	06-12 04:47
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$1.9K	1,872	+1,872	open	—	06-08 01:58
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.9K	1,868	+1,868	open	—	06-05 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,862	+1,862	open	—	06-02 05:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1.8K	1,855	+1,855	open	—	05-23 21:44
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.8K	1,849	+1,849	open	—	05-20 23:22
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	2	$1.8K	1,834	+1,834	open	—	05-17 12:13
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$1.8K	1,832	+1,832	open	—	05-14 07:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1.8K	1,823	+1,823	No	+$5	05-11 06:02
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,817	+1,817	No	+$2	05-06 22:15
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.8K	1,815	+1,815	Yes	+$5	05-02 08:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$1.8K	1,810	+1,810	open	—	04-18 15:51
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,769	+1,769	open	—	04-14 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.8K	1,767	+1,767	open	—	04-09 17:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.8K	1,765	+1,765	open	—	04-06 02:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1.7K	1,761	+1,761	open	—	03-19 18:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.7K	1,717	+1,717	open	—	03-16 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 03:52:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	789	99¢	$785	0x861436…
07-03 03:49:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$321	0x55daf6…
07-03 03:48:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	781	100¢	$777	0x6ba543…
07-03 03:19:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3717ff…
06-21 20:12:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1,896	100¢	$1,892	0x889ae3…
06-18 20:10:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x743cf6…
06-18 20:10:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x232e44…
06-18 20:10:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9b01c3…
06-18 20:10:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x209112…
06-18 20:10:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	1,795	100¢	$1,791	0xf5c5fc…
06-17 22:58:02	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,889	100¢	$1,885	0x4423b9…
06-12 19:32:42	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1,875	100¢	$1,874	0x03ab7d…
06-12 04:47:31	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,874	100¢	$1,872	0x706e34…
06-08 01:58:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,872	100¢	$1,868	0x6fdf6a…
06-05 19:45:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,868	100¢	$1,863	0x9ae470…
06-02 05:27:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,862	100¢	$1,855	0x1acaa8…
05-23 21:44:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,855	100¢	$1,849	0xf6febb…
05-20 23:22:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x54c650…
05-20 23:10:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,566	100¢	$1,558	0x7cc75a…
05-20 23:03:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	261	99¢	$260	0x62316f…
05-17 12:13:16	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0x892d3c…
05-17 11:48:11	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	467	100¢	$467	0xba5372…
05-14 07:38:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1,832	100¢	$1,822	0x106809…
05-11 06:02:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,823	100¢	$1,817	0xfe7bd6…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1,817	100¢	$1,816	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 08:45:40	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xd87056…
05-02 08:36:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf79c7c…
05-02 08:05:42	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x3c154b…
05-02 07:46:58	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x4adff5…
05-02 07:42:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x6feb2c…
04-18 15:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	1,810	98¢	$1,769	0x6cfdc3…
04-14 19:38:24	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,769	100¢	$1,767	0xe4f30d…
04-09 17:54:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,767	100¢	$1,765	0x8a9657…
04-06 02:58:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,765	100¢	$1,761	0xea5f9b…
03-19 18:08:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,761	98¢	$1,717	0xdc672a…
03-16 20:38:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,717	99¢	$1,709	0xeb1201…