Old-Fashioned-Soil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.4%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-19 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 20% $-10

Politics

24% — —

Tech

14% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	26	$346	427	427	+0	open	—	03-16 06:32
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	5	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	02-19 18:51
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 22:25
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	18	$174	200	109	+91	open	—	06-14 13:08
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$160	500	500	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-10 03:00
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	4	$141	100	100	+0	open	—	06-15 15:29
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	6	$139	150	150	+0	open	—	06-19 16:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	6	$119	150	150	+0	open	—	06-28 23:05
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	3	$115	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 06:40
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	2	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	02-14 11:43
will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837	3	$104	0	104	-104	open	—	02-26 10:57
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	4	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 20:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 15:16
yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	2	$85	49	49	+0	open	—	07-17 06:22
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	3	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	02-14 11:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	4	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 21:21
us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 16:04
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	4	$81	200	100	+100	open	—	03-16 12:21
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 11:59
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-19 06:39
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	04-26 20:12
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	3	$71	50	100	-50	open	—	06-11 08:24
will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 05:07
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 23:07
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 00:43
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	2	$63	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 01:35
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 00:43
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 15:18
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	3	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 03:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-25 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:18:28	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x73285b…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x95f494…
07-18 03:45:43	will timothee chalamet attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357134	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x5f1fbb…
07-18 03:17:42	will timothee chalamet attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357134	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xd8224d…
07-18 01:26:19	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x060c55…
07-18 01:25:58	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x42aba1…
07-17 07:53:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x757d1a…
07-17 06:22:09	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	SELL	49	87¢	$43	0xd2f7de…
07-17 06:22:03	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x33ced4…
07-17 03:58:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xac18c6…
07-16 09:01:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x2d9df0…
07-16 07:53:34	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xcda8b3…
07-16 06:12:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x345642…
07-16 00:49:44	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xdc21cc…
07-15 02:56:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x9b0112…
07-15 02:15:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x8bd9e0…
07-14 03:07:44	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x044737…
07-14 01:31:53	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x230679…
07-14 01:30:58	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x4724c9…
07-14 00:43:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x48e1c1…
07-14 00:43:22	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x3443cd…
07-14 00:43:14	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x8a7ffc…
07-13 23:47:41	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x7b6487…
07-13 23:12:05	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xf3030b…
07-13 23:09:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x874795…
07-12 08:55:35	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x70d5c0…
07-12 08:04:25	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x87616f…
06-28 23:07:26	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x57e772…
06-28 23:05:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0559e0…
06-28 21:44:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9a826e…
06-28 21:33:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x537021…
06-28 21:21:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0x8f8c81…
06-28 21:20:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2576c0…
06-28 20:32:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xe1d858…
06-28 19:56:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xc55b7d…
06-28 19:52:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x191c03…
06-28 19:52:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x191c03…
06-28 19:46:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x100870…
06-28 18:45:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x500c70…
06-28 15:16:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x5bd5f0…
06-28 15:15:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xf26acb…
06-20 05:07:52	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x7c5707…
06-20 04:48:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca1417…
06-20 00:09:58	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x5cb619…
06-19 16:33:23	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xef7db3…
06-19 16:24:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x74264a…
06-19 14:14:26	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x7eac71…
06-19 10:39:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xed8fd1…
06-19 06:50:20	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x0b319d…
06-19 06:50:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x18d810…
06-19 06:39:26	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xcb6fe2…
06-19 06:39:22	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x8becdb…
06-19 05:38:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x861387…
06-19 05:38:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1ee44c…
06-19 00:24:46	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x100bd0…
06-15 15:29:33	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xe1e69d…
06-14 21:50:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xe1223b…
06-14 20:11:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x46859b…
06-14 18:44:21	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x7e15e9…
06-14 16:12:48	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xeca927…
06-14 16:11:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xfbe961…
06-14 16:04:00	us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x2eb69d…
06-14 14:52:09	us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x78e8d4…
06-14 14:33:25	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xc93b77…
06-14 13:08:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6be19a…
06-14 13:07:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x46a45d…
06-14 12:56:06	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x8f988a…
06-14 12:40:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xf6e2ac…
06-14 12:38:51	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x046d6a…
06-14 12:37:43	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2b6495…
06-14 12:26:39	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8b7845…
06-14 12:26:28	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd05fa6…
06-14 12:26:28	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x1a3574…
06-14 12:26:28	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x0374e5…
06-14 12:26:27	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xce4a3b…
06-14 12:26:27	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x0a1963…
06-14 12:25:36	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x78ccfc…
06-14 10:42:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0xf86629…
06-14 10:42:03	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xa0c779…
06-14 10:40:21	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xbca672…
06-14 10:36:10	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x25fe82…
06-14 08:12:36	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc66598…
06-14 06:30:25	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xe043d9…
06-14 05:55:42	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x9b3365…
06-14 05:51:34	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x7d4516…
06-14 00:27:51	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x9331df…
06-14 00:13:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xaff20f…
06-13 23:43:10	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb0b675…
06-11 08:24:12	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xbe583f…
06-11 01:35:06	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xc5e6f4…
06-11 01:01:18	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe60c29…
06-11 00:42:34	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x78a9f9…
06-11 00:41:27	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xe4ab69…
05-13 23:40:51	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x49ab19…
05-13 23:40:41	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xcaa5b7…
05-13 23:28:15	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x248c38…
05-13 23:20:28	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xff5954…
05-13 23:11:31	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x7072ab…
05-13 23:11:27	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x736fdd…
05-13 23:11:05	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3d4d12…