Old-Fashioned-Soil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.4%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$2.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-13 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

68% 20% $-10

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	26	$346	427	427	+0	open	—	03-16 06:32
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	5	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	02-19 18:51
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 22:25
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$160	500	500	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-10 03:00
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	3	$115	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 06:40
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	2	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	02-14 11:43
will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837	3	$104	0	104	-104	open	—	02-26 10:57
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	3	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	02-14 11:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	4	$81	200	100	+100	open	—	03-16 12:21
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 11:59
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	04-26 20:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-25 14:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-25 14:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	04-25 14:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	3	$45	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 02:59
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$41	56	0	+56	open	—	02-06 12:28
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	2	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 21:43
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	3	$40	100	99	+1	open	—	04-27 03:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	2	$36	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-28 01:03
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-21 11:20
Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 20:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	3	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 01:00
Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 20:10
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-10 03:59
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-21 11:23
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-13 23:40
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-13 22:37
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	4	$21	80	80	+0	open	—	05-02 00:41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$20	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 06:40
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$20	40	20	+20	open	—	05-13 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 23:40:51	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x49ab19…
05-13 23:40:41	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xcaa5b7…
05-13 23:28:15	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x248c38…
05-13 23:20:28	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xff5954…
05-13 23:11:31	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x7072ab…
05-13 23:11:27	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x736fdd…
05-13 23:11:05	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3d4d12…
05-13 23:10:56	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x92789e…
05-13 23:05:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x88b34d…
05-13 23:05:27	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xab1a54…
05-13 23:05:22	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x9a49da…
05-13 23:05:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4d76ea…
05-13 22:54:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x020df1…
05-13 22:48:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xbc420b…
05-13 22:42:40	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xef0bb1…
05-13 22:42:33	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaf29c9…
05-13 22:37:30	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x3e8d20…
05-13 22:37:16	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x668ada…
05-10 03:59:32	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xd07c4c…
05-10 03:57:33	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2ff5d5…
05-10 03:00:14	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	DetonatioN FocusMe	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0x6dfaae…
05-10 03:00:05	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xe77a99…
05-08 02:59:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x3240b0…
05-08 02:59:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x471c5c…
05-08 02:59:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x26aec0…
05-08 01:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9fe0bb…
05-08 01:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe3dc5b…
05-08 01:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x5a142c…
05-02 00:41:06	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x344aa5…
05-02 00:41:02	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3ee517…
04-30 12:47:50	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xf68c4f…
04-29 02:29:22	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x0ac8ce…
04-28 22:25:54	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0e3ba0…
04-28 22:24:42	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0x195e98…
04-28 22:23:28	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xed139d…
04-28 22:22:32	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x682abe…
04-28 10:58:40	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x182faa…
04-28 04:51:44	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x34593e…
04-28 01:03:32	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x1e32fd…
04-28 01:03:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2e7157…
04-27 14:18:28	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1da325…
04-27 14:17:52	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8f2d39…
04-27 13:42:02	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x0a158a…
04-27 13:42:00	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xefcc71…
04-27 11:59:40	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x958c29…
04-27 11:59:08	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x283ffe…
04-27 11:48:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x404668…
04-27 11:48:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdb6754…
04-27 03:28:44	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x70f65d…
04-27 03:28:22	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	99	22¢	$21	0x03797b…
04-27 03:27:08	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x060b4a…
04-27 00:42:34	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x837cc4…
04-27 00:42:14	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbedb5c…
04-26 21:22:10	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa6cdcb…
04-26 20:44:34	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe07cfb…
04-26 20:12:14	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x9445b8…
04-26 20:12:00	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xfadb3a…
04-26 20:10:42	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x7296a7…
04-26 16:11:22	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x473586…
04-26 15:24:58	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9423d2…
04-26 14:57:34	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0db7c8…
04-26 12:49:24	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xb4b9bb…
04-26 12:49:08	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xaf0f47…
04-26 06:40:48	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0xe3b839…
04-26 06:40:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xe50fba…
04-26 06:05:56	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	433	12¢	$52	0xb502b2…
04-26 06:01:14	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6c0f00…
04-26 05:57:40	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x73d1aa…
04-26 05:49:22	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x242e8d…
04-26 05:45:12	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x07a3d2…
04-26 05:42:52	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb75275…
04-26 05:36:22	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6657fc…
04-26 05:36:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x7d720d…
04-26 05:35:16	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x257b21…
04-26 05:34:12	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x58abe8…
04-26 05:29:52	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb7f11c…
04-26 05:27:24	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xe634e6…
04-26 05:26:36	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x524303…
04-26 05:25:32	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x371259…
04-26 05:24:26	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9b5041…
04-26 05:23:22	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xaa8784…
04-26 05:22:16	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x403690…
04-26 05:21:12	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x981af0…
04-26 05:17:56	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbe6c2d…
04-26 05:16:52	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x364ef2…
04-26 05:15:48	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5e9f6e…
04-26 05:13:38	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0ca69c…
04-26 05:12:32	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2f500a…
04-26 05:11:28	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe5a676…
04-26 05:06:02	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x184dc7…
04-26 05:03:54	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x45322a…
04-26 05:01:44	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0996a5…
04-26 05:00:38	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb819c4…
04-26 04:57:22	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x691923…
04-26 04:56:18	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xfb88d0…
04-26 04:55:12	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x581a00…
04-26 04:54:08	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0704aa…
04-26 04:53:02	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbe1176…
04-26 04:50:52	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x505203…
04-26 04:49:48	Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	RTT100	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x862a96…