Nocturnal-Publisher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 09:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$12	1,002	2	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-05 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$8	12	2	+10	Up	+$4	05-06 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$7	114	0	+114	Down	$-7	05-06 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$6	12	4	+8	Down	$-2	05-05 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$5	9	3	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$5	21	2	+19	Up	$-1	05-06 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	Up	$-0	05-06 00:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$3	24	14	+10	Down	$-1	05-05 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$3	154	0	+154	Up	$-3	05-05 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-3	05-05 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-06 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-05 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	15	0	+15	Down	$-1	05-05 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-06 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0b6d65…
05-06 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x632dd8…
05-06 09:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x806c79…
05-06 09:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2c2d4e…
05-06 09:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd78dc7…
05-06 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x881d8a…
05-06 09:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x392bc9…
05-06 09:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf03711…
05-06 09:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x475342…
05-06 09:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2dc467…
05-06 09:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x191e69…
05-06 09:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4fdf26…
05-06 09:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x54c86c…
05-06 09:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6ee98d…
05-06 09:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x369b2b…
05-06 09:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1dfcab…
05-06 09:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xba7166…
05-06 09:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x6cdcc8…
05-06 09:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xa138ed…
05-06 09:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd14f39…
05-06 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc07017…
05-06 09:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x32374b…
05-06 09:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb814a1…
05-06 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf329b7…
05-06 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd618a4…
05-06 08:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8d8627…
05-06 08:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdc12a8…
05-06 08:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x059df6…
05-06 08:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2b02cf…
05-06 00:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x96f27a…
05-06 00:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x119d0a…
05-06 00:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xda87df…
05-06 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8de1fb…
05-06 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x05be12…
05-06 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x92cc2f…
05-06 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x854532…
05-06 00:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x202573…
05-06 00:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa2070a…
05-06 00:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeb9552…
05-06 00:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa69bc3…
05-05 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd9f0df…
05-05 23:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4c3053…
05-05 23:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd502e7…
05-05 23:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf34aa9…
05-05 23:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xe26c9f…
05-05 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x64f965…
05-05 23:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xfab10f…
05-05 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3c9353…
05-05 23:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7f7ede…
05-05 23:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x288ab4…
05-05 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa3b4c3…
05-05 23:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x00e713…
05-05 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdce391…
05-05 23:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x975902…
05-05 23:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe09755…
05-05 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x60a62f…
05-05 23:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc7ca96…
05-05 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb6ecd…
05-05 23:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x46f763…
05-05 23:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5855ce…
05-05 23:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x35f532…
05-05 23:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x5045bc…
05-05 23:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa7456…
05-05 23:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e9039…
05-05 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x146241…
05-05 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9e6f9f…
05-05 23:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x16ffe4…
05-05 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x702b7b…
05-05 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe8f37f…
05-05 22:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6ae208…
05-05 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fc75b…
05-05 22:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x5a1f0b…
05-05 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8552fa…
05-05 22:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdbe67c…
05-05 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x783717…
05-05 22:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67b457…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	31	$78.0K	3,067	05-06 09:23
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	31	$27.6K	3,522	05-06 09:23
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	31	$14.6K	704	05-06 09:26
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	31	$13.4K	1,070	05-06 09:23
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	31	$11.1K	331	05-06 09:23
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	31	$8.66K	1,362	05-06 09:23
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	31	$8.37K	2,369	05-06 09:23
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	31	$7.58K	2,178	05-06 09:23