Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$953

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-09 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 33% $-11

Other

34% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+68	$50	70¢	$48	$-2	06-09 04:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	125	+125	open	—	05-01 16:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	159	+159	open	—	05-14 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$100	159	+159	open	—	04-13 12:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$100	116	+116	open	—	05-01 16:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$61	84	+84	open	—	04-21 15:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$51	62	+62	open	—	04-21 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$50	68	+68	open	—	06-09 04:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	69	+69	open	—	04-13 12:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$50	68	+68	open	—	05-14 15:35
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$50	59	+59	No	+$9	05-06 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$50	53	+53	open	—	05-01 16:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$41	146	+146	open	—	04-21 15:32
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$40	53	+53	open	—	05-14 15:31
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	1	$40	52	+52	open	—	04-09 01:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$30	40	+40	open	—	04-09 01:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$20	50	+50	open	—	04-09 01:50
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	62	+62	No	$-10	04-09 01:47
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	25	+25	No	$-10	04-09 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:50:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x496777…
05-14 15:35:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xe43259…
05-14 15:31:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xae9231…
05-14 07:01:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x86f64b…
05-06 14:41:21	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xf25daf…
05-01 16:13:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x586da6…
05-01 16:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5b458c…
05-01 16:10:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9154a1…
04-21 15:32:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	146	28¢	$41	0xfee57c…
04-21 15:28:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0xd0e8a3…
04-21 15:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	73¢	$61	0x873b4f…
04-13 12:31:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xd9e36a…
04-13 12:30:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xfc83fb…
04-09 01:56:29	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x66b584…
04-09 01:53:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x88686a…
04-09 01:50:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf8c1c5…
04-09 01:47:57	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9158a2…
04-09 01:47:51	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6ec256…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	18	$204.1K	17,135	06-08 17:39
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	18	$33.0K	496	06-09 08:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	18	$14.1K	1,273	05-29 22:06
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	16	$16.5M	25,053	06-09 18:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	16	$437.2K	6,425	06-09 15:17
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	16	$108.0K	1,424	06-08 16:40
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	16	$8.57K	3,163	06-09 14:33
Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4	16	$6.91K	775	05-31 01:17