Elaborate-Bail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,219

lifetime

Volume

$445.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-02 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% $-59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773149400	5	$1.3K	1,432	0	+1,432	open	—	03-10 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$1.3K	1,294	0	+1,294	Down	+$13	05-06 20:32
btc updown 5m 1772913000	5	$1.0K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	03-07 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773048600	4	$953	972	0	+972	open	—	03-09 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$782	797	0	+797	open	—	05-04 16:08
btc updown 5m 1776636000	3	$735	520	263	+257	open	—	04-19 22:03
btc updown 5m 1773709500	5	$731	742	0	+742	open	—	03-17 01:08
btc updown 5m 1773178500	5	$693	712	0	+712	open	—	03-10 21:38
btc updown 5m 1775601300	4	$549	344	229	+116	open	—	04-07 22:39
btc updown 5m 1773672600	4	$524	529	0	+529	open	—	03-16 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$515	349	342	+7	open	—	04-26 21:55
btc updown 5m 1773149700	3	$514	544	0	+544	open	—	03-10 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$476	272	267	+5	open	—	05-04 15:52
btc updown 5m 1773756300	3	$464	476	0	+476	open	—	03-17 14:08
btc updown 5m 1776966600	2	$463	474	0	+474	open	—	04-23 17:53
btc updown 5m 1776903300	2	$457	247	243	+5	open	—	04-23 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$451	272	266	+5	open	—	05-01 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776691800	2	$451	263	257	+5	open	—	04-20 13:32
btc updown 5m 1774228500	3	$449	331	167	+165	open	—	03-23 01:19
btc updown 5m 1776954300	2	$432	253	248	+5	open	—	04-23 14:28
btc updown 5m 1776824400	2	$420	238	233	+5	open	—	04-22 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776436800	4	$400	266	262	+3	open	—	04-17 14:44
btc updown 5m 1776500100	5	$399	257	253	+4	open	—	04-18 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$397	268	263	+5	Down	$-128	05-05 20:08
btc updown 5m 1774948200	2	$395	225	221	+5	open	—	03-31 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$377	382	0	+382	open	—	05-15 13:38
btc updown 5m 1774950600	4	$374	221	219	+2	open	—	03-31 09:54
btc updown 5m 1774828200	2	$371	223	218	+4	open	—	03-29 23:54
btc updown 5m 1775095500	3	$371	216	213	+3	open	—	04-02 02:08
btc updown 5m 1774964400	2	$367	216	212	+4	open	—	03-31 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 12:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xded1c9…
06-02 10:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeaefe2…
06-02 09:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7b9e60…
06-02 09:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x367216…
06-02 08:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x06c7cb…
06-02 07:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4fc1ca…
06-02 07:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe795c1…
06-02 07:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x974e31…
06-02 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb50b53…
06-02 07:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb1a118…
06-02 06:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4fe86…
06-02 05:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd9cdc9…
06-02 02:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7dc5b5…
06-02 02:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb6468e…
06-02 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdac6c2…
06-02 02:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3cec44…
06-02 02:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa86cce…
06-02 01:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc75096…
06-02 01:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x39fedb…
06-02 01:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e0dca…
06-01 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x423523…
06-01 22:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x30613d…
06-01 22:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6aaaac…
06-01 16:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x4f9f01…
06-01 16:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xabbd54…
06-01 15:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2f2405…
06-01 15:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x83aa3d…
06-01 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x69eb00…
06-01 14:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2c8a85…
06-01 13:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x29d188…
06-01 12:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2c0740…
06-01 12:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0f468…
06-01 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c2ba3…
06-01 02:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbd1f9…
05-29 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2d184c…
05-29 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8d936e…
05-29 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7f29b0…
05-29 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x51ca80…
05-29 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9456c2…
05-28 14:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4aa990…
05-28 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x42766a…
05-28 14:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf434b0…
05-28 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x9a4ac6…
05-28 14:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xebb250…
05-28 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x05431e…
05-28 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5b2c80…
05-28 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4f4ca…
05-28 03:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cbc68…
05-28 03:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba51de…
05-28 01:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x636cc2…
05-27 23:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb30d97…
05-27 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd7a888…
05-27 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7079e8…
05-27 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xddc3a6…
05-27 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x240f15…
05-27 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7e724d…
05-26 15:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd56c0c…
05-26 15:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xee0eaf…
05-26 14:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x47547c…
05-26 14:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x8d2de8…
05-26 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2c72a6…
05-26 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3da93e…
05-26 14:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfc5df8…
05-26 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xd25d40…
05-26 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x587e7a…
05-26 13:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0d79d1…
05-24 22:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9cbcdf…
05-24 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd464ff…
05-24 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x083e58…
05-24 14:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5a1920…
05-24 10:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2f912a…
05-23 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdf23c3…
05-23 19:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9c6d30…
05-23 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2e42a7…
05-23 07:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xabe1da…
05-23 00:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xfe6af5…
05-23 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xeb0991…
05-22 15:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x87647c…
05-22 13:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8fd3c8…
05-21 17:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xb8a8c2…
05-21 17:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x928874…
05-21 17:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2554c7…
05-21 17:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2f1c96…
05-21 14:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x84ada1…
05-21 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd3eb57…
05-21 13:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfad8ec…
05-21 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe60402…
05-21 00:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbcb711…
05-20 20:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3ff43e…
05-20 15:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x853c20…
05-20 14:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe8f925…
05-20 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$9	0xd2f58f…
05-20 14:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x643a51…
05-20 13:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5d2d00…
05-20 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x6a1280…
05-20 13:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x29db3e…
05-19 14:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x811713…
05-19 14:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	143	91¢	$130	0x8810fa…
05-19 14:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x1ec95a…
05-19 13:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0x631def…