Previous-Instrumentalist-Ellipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-04 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	8	$65	88	88	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$48	59	51	+8	Down	+$15	05-10 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	05-16 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$35	49	49	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$27	22	22	+0	Up	+$17	05-10 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$26	38	24	+14	open	—	05-22 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$22	19	19	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 02:45
btc updown 5m 1783170000	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	07-04 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$19	48	12	+36	open	—	05-19 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	05-10 00:25
btc updown 5m 1775349900	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	04-05 00:47
btc updown 5m 1783170300	3	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	07-04 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	7	$18	146	7	+140	Up	$-12	05-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$15	42	0	+42	Up	$-15	05-10 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	05-23 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$15	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$14	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 03:33
btc updown 5m 1780763400	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$13	39	11	+28	open	—	05-23 00:37
btc updown 5m 1783172100	1	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	07-04 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$12	22	12	+10	open	—	05-18 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$12	33	0	+33	open	—	05-23 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$12	74	0	+74	Down	$-12	05-10 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$12	38	0	+38	open	—	05-16 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 01:00
btc updown 5m 1780762500	3	$11	15	10	+5	open	—	06-06 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 14:05:31	btc updown 5m 1783173900	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xbb132d…
07-04 14:03:40	btc updown 5m 1783173600	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xb5105d…
07-04 14:02:22	btc updown 5m 1783173600	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xaf47f5…
07-04 13:35:35	btc updown 5m 1783172100	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x6568ee…
07-04 13:30:20	btc updown 5m 1783171800	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x96d837…
07-04 13:27:49	btc updown 5m 1783171500	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4d7f35…
07-04 13:27:31	btc updown 5m 1783171500	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x18de82…
07-04 13:15:07	btc updown 5m 1783170600	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x25fe03…
07-04 13:10:23	btc updown 5m 1783170300	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x480bfa…
07-04 13:08:14	btc updown 5m 1783170300	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xddc9b1…
07-04 13:08:08	btc updown 5m 1783170300	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0fbcd6…
07-04 13:04:23	btc updown 5m 1783170000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a4743…
07-04 13:00:20	btc updown 5m 1783170000	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x17463c…
07-04 12:58:02	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0633c0…
07-04 12:57:10	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x36558d…
07-04 12:56:58	btc updown 5m 1783169700	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe15698…
07-04 12:53:37	btc updown 5m 1783169400	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa2e06a…
07-04 12:47:52	btc updown 5m 1783169100	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x658a90…
07-04 12:45:26	btc updown 5m 1783169100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa44e3e…
07-04 12:45:19	btc updown 5m 1783169100	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x32af76…
07-04 12:44:07	btc updown 5m 1783168800	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x93641f…
07-04 12:30:46	btc updown 5m 1783168200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8166ac…
07-04 12:18:19	btc updown 5m 1783167300	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x569911…
07-04 12:17:38	btc updown 5m 1783167300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x753755…
07-04 11:58:08	btc updown 5m 1783166100	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8e3aa1…
07-04 11:56:23	btc updown 5m 1783166100	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8fcbaa…
06-06 17:01:46	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x63ae06…
06-06 16:57:49	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x302068…
06-06 16:55:51	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4437df…
06-06 16:51:40	btc updown 5m 1780764600	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa247c1…
06-06 16:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x09db3e…
06-06 16:47:55	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0d9ea7…
06-06 16:45:37	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x584631…
06-06 16:41:43	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x54ffb5…
06-06 16:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x166ce9…
06-06 16:36:09	btc updown 5m 1780763700	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x7a75d8…
06-06 16:33:13	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xca1932…
06-06 16:32:25	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x695f3e…
06-06 16:31:09	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x415c79…
06-06 16:30:28	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7ab657…
06-06 16:26:25	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x34bdf6…
06-06 16:25:42	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb801bb…
06-06 16:17:30	btc updown 5m 1780762500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7954a5…
06-06 16:16:36	btc updown 5m 1780762500	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xc822da…
06-06 16:15:37	btc updown 5m 1780762500	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x931987…
06-06 16:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780762200	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x91750a…
05-23 01:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x07c81f…
05-23 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6515c8…
05-23 01:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7b730c…
05-23 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2722a8…
05-23 01:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x61fa31…
05-23 01:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9bdc5d…
05-23 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x20bec0…
05-23 00:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xda1648…
05-23 00:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3a94ab…
05-23 00:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x520bfd…
05-23 00:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x258f27…
05-23 00:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb14d98…
05-23 00:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe91eae…
05-23 00:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x34ab26…
05-23 00:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xcc869d…
05-23 00:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa31cfa…
05-23 00:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$4	0xb18e5f…
05-23 00:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x583338…
05-23 00:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x244d63…
05-23 00:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3aa143…
05-23 00:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0xdce606…
05-23 00:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd1dee6…
05-22 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa6a5b0…
05-22 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xa9a0e8…
05-22 21:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe122f9…
05-22 21:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xd711ec…
05-22 21:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd859c1…
05-22 21:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	68¢	$13	0xef4e04…
05-22 21:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x893c65…
05-22 21:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaad1d4…
05-22 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x94dcfb…
05-22 21:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8b1cb3…
05-19 01:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb6d4ae…
05-19 01:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x794fe3…
05-19 01:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x57140f…
05-19 01:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xdd7273…
05-19 01:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2d932a…
05-19 01:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf6d0ee…
05-19 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x45619c…
05-19 01:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb03d7a…
05-19 01:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x866730…
05-19 01:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7b0691…
05-19 01:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x21dbd5…
05-19 01:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x527d61…
05-19 01:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6dde9e…
05-19 00:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x205dfd…
05-19 00:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x92882e…
05-19 00:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x81e9db…
05-19 00:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x7fb999…
05-18 23:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb84fa5…
05-18 23:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf4f29b…
05-18 23:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3508c4…
05-18 21:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x05f779…
05-18 21:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cd0e9…