Quarterly-Clarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

261

Trades

1,076

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-12 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777037400	7	$24	26	19	+7	open	—	04-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$22	18	18	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	6	$20	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:49
btc updown 5m 1777015500	4	$19	13	12	+0	open	—	04-24 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-25 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$17	13	12	+0	open	—	04-25 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-25 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$15	13	12	+0	open	—	04-25 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 22:59
btc updown 5m 1777045500	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-24 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$13	13	12	+0	open	—	04-25 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x635267…
05-12 22:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x47b915…
05-12 19:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x7b51a4…
05-12 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x2707f1…
05-12 19:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xc80e1a…
05-12 19:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf76d21…
05-12 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x789e8b…
05-12 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xc59807…
05-12 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x936394…
05-12 13:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xf38155…
05-12 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x614063…
05-12 13:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf1df03…
05-12 13:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xeeb17b…
05-12 13:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb1c973…
05-12 13:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x25cdd3…
05-12 13:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x60e0eb…
05-12 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x0d2e11…
05-12 13:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x974040…
05-12 13:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xd08bd8…
05-12 13:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0xc4b706…
05-12 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x3a78f4…
05-12 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x29b3c2…
05-12 12:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2a6507…
05-12 12:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x97ec45…
05-12 12:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x5a156c…
05-12 12:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x5e31bc…
05-12 12:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x00eb80…
05-12 11:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x6b5f60…
05-12 11:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x795c8c…
05-12 10:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x924ab6…
05-12 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x6da213…
05-12 09:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb268fc…
05-12 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x480258…
05-12 09:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x28ed8d…
05-12 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x80a0a0…
05-12 08:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x70a703…
05-12 07:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9a75d9…
05-12 07:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x6a395f…
05-12 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xdc6afb…
05-12 06:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x73d2fe…
05-12 06:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x06c270…
05-12 06:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc50b39…
05-12 06:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x59b4fb…
05-12 06:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x916b68…
05-12 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc05a59…
05-12 06:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$5	0x612aef…
05-12 06:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd8f9dd…
05-12 06:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x474f9d…
05-12 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd71ce5…
05-12 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x490c3c…
05-12 04:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7ace9e…
05-12 04:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x1a7cb1…
05-12 04:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x8ca408…
05-12 04:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x950115…
05-12 04:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4e780b…
05-12 04:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x98928c…
05-12 03:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xe06998…
05-12 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x579678…
05-12 01:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x5c11ac…
05-12 01:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7b0c99…
05-12 01:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x063ea1…
05-12 01:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x63e5b7…
05-12 00:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x806895…
05-12 00:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xdc76bf…
05-11 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x7e3d68…
05-11 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1c7ce8…
05-11 23:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x49224e…
05-11 23:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa81654…
05-11 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeee6df…
05-11 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa53a65…
05-11 21:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x709734…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x231976…
05-11 20:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0abd69…
05-11 19:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x273ec5…
05-11 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7bc92f…
05-11 17:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x993e4f…
05-11 17:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1d9e8b…
05-11 16:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc39c8c…
05-11 16:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x1a3916…
05-11 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xd5738e…
05-11 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3e7ddd…
05-11 13:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x6da7a2…
05-11 13:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x95878b…
05-11 11:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x4c4182…
05-11 11:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x800c72…
05-11 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xd83f95…
05-11 11:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7a4916…
05-11 11:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x7c2ad1…
05-11 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x5a00c3…
05-11 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x1aa8d9…
05-11 11:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x901bd1…
05-11 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0b1204…
05-11 10:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x51c77d…
05-11 10:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x77109a…
05-11 10:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x6e4aef…
05-11 09:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x80c195…
05-11 09:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x20d1d6…
05-11 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xdafcbd…
05-11 08:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x96e270…
05-11 07:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x478fa3…