Which-Formula — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-12 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% $-10

Politics

15% — —

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$7	20	0	+20	Up	$-7	05-12 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-12 12:42
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-11 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 27?	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 15:29
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-04 13:09
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x20d4c3…
05-12 12:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe530fe…
05-12 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9780b1…
05-12 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8c8988…
05-12 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6be243…
05-12 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1755b…
05-12 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3c328…
05-12 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xca96ec…
05-12 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8c06b8…
05-11 04:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcbed91…
05-11 04:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31e724…
05-11 03:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7271f3…
05-08 23:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xa21520…
05-08 23:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa4644…
05-04 13:09:16	ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9b8b34…
05-03 10:49:52	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x5532b1…
05-03 10:49:38	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x313500…
04-26 15:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x09d785…
04-26 13:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3ccf46…