Favorable-Soundness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-19 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 60% $-26

Other

8% 67% +$11

Politics

4% 0% $-2

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$16	30	28	+1	Down	$-5	05-19 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	8	$15	25	12	+13	Down	$-11	05-19 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$13	18	0	+18	Down	$-13	05-08 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$11	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	05-08 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$11	16	5	+11	Down	+$1	05-08 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$10	18	7	+11	Up	+$1	05-08 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-19 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$9	14	5	+9	Up	+$0	05-08 19:07
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-29 17:01
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	2	$6	16	16	+0	Yes	$-2	04-29 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	04-30 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$5	6	3	+4	Up	+$0	04-28 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	04-29 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	04-30 10:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	$-1	04-28 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	04-28 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	04-29 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	04-28 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	04-28 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	04-28 18:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$2	11	0	+11	Yes	+$9	04-29 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	04-28 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-08 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	04-28 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	04-29 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	04-28 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	04-28 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	04-28 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd187fe…
05-19 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbe16fb…
05-19 19:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x11ef30…
05-19 19:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x261632…
05-19 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x94eb4c…
05-19 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5b380a…
05-19 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe8031c…
05-19 19:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7fd9ea…
05-19 19:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa41330…
05-19 19:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0be441…
05-19 19:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xe520da…
05-19 19:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe20dfe…
05-19 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1125ca…
05-19 19:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x0f2d89…
05-19 19:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb2ce70…
05-08 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5c1de5…
05-08 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1202f2…
05-08 21:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7b5c29…
05-08 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5921b1…
05-08 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x062e1b…
05-08 21:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcf2ff1…
05-08 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7127b5…
05-08 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x591dfa…
05-08 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x330e05…
05-08 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xab5bd2…
05-08 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x142cb1…
05-08 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf5671f…
05-08 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3de1be…
05-08 21:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x143040…
05-08 21:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x729df2…
05-08 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33a6a7…
05-08 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3681d1…
05-08 21:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6c97b9…
05-08 21:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x05efdd…
05-08 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6d8555…
05-08 19:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xeebdf6…
05-08 19:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3a9877…
05-08 19:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x271b23…
05-08 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb2aff9…
05-08 19:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5707c0…
04-30 10:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xa6256f…
04-30 10:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x20829b…
04-30 10:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8297d7…
04-30 10:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe2cd0c…
04-29 19:18:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f1470…
04-29 18:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x025ea5…
04-29 18:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54281a…
04-29 18:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x403f33…
04-29 18:49:16	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xc3ef80…
04-29 17:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf9f3fd…
04-29 17:01:54	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x298874…
04-29 16:34:14	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x1ce839…
04-29 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5d42af…
04-28 23:31:16	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa28cd0…
04-28 23:28:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x43b9ca…
04-28 18:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5bd31…
04-28 18:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x686660…
04-28 18:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xd706c3…
04-28 18:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x62e707…
04-28 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x354c83…
04-28 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x45ab97…
04-28 18:11:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xde0db6…
04-28 17:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd24cd3…
04-28 17:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x05c26f…
04-28 17:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa2d554…
04-28 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7a21c6…
04-28 17:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x81402e…
04-28 17:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x95a9e2…
04-28 17:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee9b84…
04-28 17:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x873d0d…
04-28 17:09:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0dff46…
04-28 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf49a8e…