Downright-Ecumenist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-11 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-6

Crypto

34% 100% +$0

Other

16% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$521	329	329	+0	Yes	$-6	02-28 07:15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	30	$72	174	181	-7	open	—	05-11 13:25
sol updown 15m 1770165000	3	$60	41	21	+20	open	—	02-04 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	05-11 11:28
sol updown 5m 1772581200	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-03 23:44
btc updown 5m 1772580600	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-03 23:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-11 11:14
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	03-04 20:11
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	2	$20	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 23:54
sol updown 15m 1770164100	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 00:23
xrp updown 15m 1770165000	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 00:42
eth updown 15m 1770165900	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 00:57
sol updown 15m 1770165900	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 00:57
eth updown 15m 1770164100	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 00:23
nothing ever happens microstrategy	1	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	03-04 08:09
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 09:25
btc updown 15m 1770165900	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	02-04 00:57
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	02-24 23:17
btc updown 15m 1770165000	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	02-04 00:42
will violet bridgerton get engaged in bridgerton season 4	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	02-26 08:19
btc updown 15m 1770164100	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	02-04 00:24
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-03 23:30
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-03 23:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-03 23:30
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-04 01:14
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-04 01:14
will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-04 01:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-04 01:11
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-04 01:11
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-28 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 23:54:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x60694f…
05-11 23:46:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x62d219…
05-11 13:25:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x52f2d2…
05-11 13:23:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf2d022…
05-11 13:20:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x62bde4…
05-11 13:20:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xfa95aa…
05-11 13:19:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x80a618…
05-11 13:17:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x812997…
05-11 13:16:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x9b033f…
05-11 13:16:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x61c275…
05-11 13:14:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x834447…
05-11 13:13:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x149812…
05-11 13:06:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x21c960…
05-11 12:47:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x9dde82…
05-11 12:47:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0x2ea166…
05-11 12:47:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x1d00e4…
05-11 12:38:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5370c0…
05-11 12:36:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4597c4…
05-11 12:35:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x581bb6…
05-11 12:31:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9b82d0…
05-11 12:25:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x432371…
05-11 12:22:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xf31361…
05-11 12:22:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe18f73…
05-11 12:21:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x47c88e…
05-11 12:21:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe7f67f…
05-11 12:19:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0xa82fe7…
05-11 12:15:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xb6b136…
05-11 12:11:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0xcf1d1b…
05-11 12:05:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x55bdd3…
05-11 12:04:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x78ff6d…
05-11 12:03:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd280cf…
05-11 11:58:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x424052…
05-11 11:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4a286c…
05-11 11:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde343f…
05-11 11:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6cada0…
03-04 20:11:23	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xd880e6…
03-04 19:46:13	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xefbffa…
03-04 09:25:59	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xed6cba…
03-04 08:09:59	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x703855…
03-03 23:44:11	sol updown 5m 1772581200	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xed94eb…
03-03 23:35:03	btc updown 5m 1772580600	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xaf02b8…
03-03 23:30:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x388d47…
03-03 23:30:27	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x580c1d…
03-03 23:30:19	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe07069…
02-28 07:15:13	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	320	80¢	$256	0x32be05…
02-27 18:04:31	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	320	82¢	$262	0x6324a2…
02-27 04:20:12	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xd5736b…
02-27 03:49:02	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xe596a9…
02-26 08:19:48	will violet bridgerton get engaged in bridgerton season 4	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf58a7b…
02-24 23:17:44	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x380d2f…
02-04 01:14:28	will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfd29cc…
02-04 01:14:04	Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x96a9a8…
02-04 01:13:34	will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb2e2e…
02-04 01:13:18	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x4671bf…
02-04 01:12:04	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x5151b5…
02-04 01:11:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb2a9a6…
02-04 01:11:38	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fb8dd…
02-04 01:11:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfa2ce…
02-04 00:57:58	btc updown 15m 1770165900	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xb90e11…
02-04 00:57:22	sol updown 15m 1770165900	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x80d24c…
02-04 00:57:08	eth updown 15m 1770165900	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf70947…
02-04 00:42:46	btc updown 15m 1770165000	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xa5f321…
02-04 00:42:36	xrp updown 15m 1770165000	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x224e55…
02-04 00:41:52	sol updown 15m 1770165000	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ba5d5…
02-04 00:41:08	sol updown 15m 1770165000	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x88445e…
02-04 00:40:02	sol updown 15m 1770165000	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x506a0b…
02-04 00:24:12	btc updown 15m 1770164100	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x185a34…
02-04 00:23:58	sol updown 15m 1770164100	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x834860…
02-04 00:23:42	eth updown 15m 1770164100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf03f91…
01-28 11:45:21	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f1de7…