Gray-Yahoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-10 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

28% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No		+45	$31	68¢	$31	$-1	06-10 06:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	1	$31	45	0	+45	open	—	06-10 06:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	3	$19	63	45	+17	No	+$0	05-08 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$6	7	4	+3	Down	$-2	05-08 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-09 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-08 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-08 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:53:31	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x680162…
05-09 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xef659f…
05-08 21:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xce522a…
05-08 21:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x361599…
05-08 21:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x374a84…
05-08 21:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x407846…
05-08 21:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x92d33c…
05-08 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x42c009…
05-08 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf8c5dd…
05-08 13:22:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x5cd0e5…
05-08 11:17:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x546782…
05-08 09:27:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x172749…