Severe-Angel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$509

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-04 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 0% $-1

Other

29% — —

Politics

19% 100% +$16

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+167	$40	8¢	$14	$-26	06-04 15:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	167	0	+167	open	—	06-04 15:16
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$33	71	71	+0	open	—	04-21 18:27
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$30	64	64	+0	open	—	04-21 18:27
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	04-18 19:52
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	5	$14	146	0	+146	open	—	04-24 19:16
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	1	$12	29	0	+29	open	—	06-04 15:06
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$11	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 11:35
btc updown 5m 1774031100	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 18:28
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	04-25 17:44
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	+$16	05-02 01:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-13 23:41
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	3	$10	75	0	+75	open	—	04-24 19:13
btc updown 5m 1773883800	4	$10	11	10	+0	open	—	03-19 01:34
btc updown 5m 1774041000	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-20 21:13
btc updown 5m 1773884400	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-19 01:45
btc updown 5m 1773882900	3	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-19 01:20
wta rakhimo kostyuk 2026 03 20 set totals 2pt5	2	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	03-21 01:17
btc updown 5m 1774030800	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-20 18:22
btc updown 5m 1773884100	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 01:40
btc updown 5m 1773737100	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 08:46
btc updown 5m 1774056000	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	03-21 01:24
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	31	31	+0	open	—	05-13 10:22
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	34	34	+0	open	—	05-09 15:40
btc updown 5m 1774011300	1	$6	38	0	+38	open	—	03-20 12:56
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 01:10
will powell say inflation 60 times during march press conference	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	03-17 00:56
will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-17 00:56
btc updown 5m 1773736800	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 08:41
btc updown 5m 1774030200	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-20 18:13
btc updown 5m 1773736200	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 15:16:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x7bb0be…
06-04 15:06:10	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x32246e…
05-29 11:35:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x6c4b29…
05-29 11:35:35	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x4374c9…
05-29 11:35:32	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x76b65d…
05-29 11:35:28	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x82ca6e…
05-15 01:25:33	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xa5ac30…
05-15 01:10:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xa55d93…
05-13 23:41:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x54a635…
05-13 23:34:54	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9cbc64…
05-13 10:36:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xfd671f…
05-13 10:22:55	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x567570…
05-09 16:12:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3e8ee…
05-09 15:40:30	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0xf9561d…
05-09 15:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5b33dc…
05-09 15:15:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x4c756c…
05-09 15:14:50	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x3bd801…
05-08 18:42:47	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x86927a…
05-02 01:18:48	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd8c363…
05-01 15:49:52	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x52af7c…
05-01 15:42:40	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x89bcad…
04-25 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x77171a…
04-25 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x7ebc80…
04-25 20:18:14	Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Naomi Osaka	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xcec305…
04-25 17:44:34	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x08e565…
04-25 10:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb09cf7…
04-24 19:16:00	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x2f9f5b…
04-24 19:13:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x877fc5…
04-23 18:35:44	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4d5cf9…
04-23 17:57:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x864acd…
04-23 17:54:38	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1f5387…
04-23 17:53:16	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2537fc…
04-23 16:14:24	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xdbbaa3…
04-21 20:27:04	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x9caa1c…
04-21 20:13:28	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9a0f80…
04-21 18:27:18	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0xa588b3…
04-21 18:27:00	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	71	32¢	$23	0x1d464e…
04-19 15:00:54	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd29720…
04-19 15:00:46	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xb39faf…
04-19 13:41:22	btc updown 5m 1776606000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1f21e9…
04-19 13:20:08	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x817cb4…
04-19 13:02:06	btc updown 5m 1776603600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7a1712…
04-19 13:01:42	btc updown 5m 1776603600	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5981cb…
04-19 13:01:20	btc updown 5m 1776603600	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4eadba…
04-19 12:57:02	btc updown 5m 1776603300	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c76a1…
04-19 12:55:46	btc updown 5m 1776603300	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6db3f7…
04-19 12:52:18	btc updown 5m 1776603000	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe0dc47…
04-19 12:51:30	btc updown 5m 1776603000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x59cb1c…
04-19 12:49:30	btc updown 5m 1776602700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a7b9e…
04-19 12:38:48	btc updown 5m 1776602100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x276391…
04-19 12:27:10	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x191569…
04-19 12:25:42	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf96ced…
04-19 12:24:08	btc updown 5m 1776601200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb39135…
04-19 12:22:42	btc updown 5m 1776601200	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x830027…
04-19 12:19:30	btc updown 5m 1776600900	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x55550e…
04-19 12:18:22	btc updown 5m 1776600900	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xab4b21…
04-18 20:37:14	btc updown 5m 1776544500	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa2cca5…
04-18 20:34:26	btc updown 5m 1776544200	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4e072d…
04-18 20:21:46	btc updown 5m 1776543600	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe2ffce…
04-18 20:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776543300	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbafd7b…
04-18 19:52:12	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcb50bd…
03-21 01:41:03	btc updown 5m 1774057200	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2386c9…
03-21 01:32:39	btc updown 5m 1774056600	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa835b9…
03-21 01:31:03	btc updown 5m 1774056600	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2f20ed…
03-21 01:27:09	btc updown 5m 1774056300	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9c5699…
03-21 01:25:47	btc updown 5m 1774056300	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x192997…
03-21 01:24:59	btc updown 5m 1774056000	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x715ddf…
03-21 01:21:17	btc updown 5m 1774056000	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa8b812…
03-21 01:19:11	btc updown 5m 1774055700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x80f159…
03-21 01:17:31	wta rakhimo kostyuk 2026 03 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x1c43a7…
03-21 01:16:29	btc updown 5m 1774055700	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4d9ac2…
03-21 01:13:27	btc updown 5m 1774055400	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x026999…
03-21 01:08:01	wta rakhimo kostyuk 2026 03 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4bd229…
03-21 01:03:13	btc updown 5m 1774054800	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9dfd25…
03-21 00:56:37	btc updown 5m 1774054500	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x85e66b…
03-21 00:51:03	btc updown 5m 1774054200	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3a9764…
03-21 00:49:59	btc updown 5m 1774053900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x519826…
03-21 00:37:11	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbe3c64…
03-21 00:20:51	btc updown 5m 1774052400	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6d3317…
03-21 00:20:41	btc updown 5m 1774052400	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x64fbe1…
03-21 00:16:47	btc updown 5m 1774052100	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa377b9…
03-21 00:16:29	btc updown 5m 1774052100	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xad6fb1…
03-21 00:13:37	btc updown 5m 1774051800	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd5c418…
03-21 00:02:15	btc updown 5m 1774051200	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8c1f68…
03-20 23:59:13	btc updown 5m 1774050900	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xff17eb…
03-20 23:52:25	btc updown 5m 1774050600	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd81c35…
03-20 23:49:45	btc updown 5m 1774050300	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd5b289…
03-20 23:37:51	btc updown 5m 1774049700	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5761ed…
03-20 23:37:15	btc updown 5m 1774049700	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfbac76…
03-20 23:33:37	btc updown 5m 1774049400	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x25c389…
03-20 23:29:17	btc updown 5m 1774049100	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x55f50a…
03-20 23:27:33	btc updown 5m 1774049100	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x061d4e…
03-20 23:18:27	btc updown 5m 1774048500	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x335a1e…
03-20 23:11:17	btc updown 5m 1774048200	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x722f1c…
03-20 22:52:29	btc updown 5m 1774047000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x185f4b…
03-20 22:47:19	btc updown 5m 1774046700	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x824399…
03-20 22:46:15	btc updown 5m 1774046700	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9cc484…
03-20 22:42:31	btc updown 5m 1774046400	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x259832…
03-20 22:12:25	btc updown 5m 1774044600	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3d04ac…
03-20 22:06:29	btc updown 5m 1774044300	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6605da…