Insidious-Earthquake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$409

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,805

lifetime

Volume

$36.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-25 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

50% 75% $-7

Other

49% 0% $-403

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$4.9K	3,346	3,346	+0	open	—	06-26 05:16
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	75	$2.7K	3,752	3,772	-20	No	+$45	03-16 16:34
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$2.3K	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	06-27 04:56
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	11	$2.3K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	05-07 20:20
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	65	$2.2K	4,166	3,508	+658	open	—	05-19 19:53
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	67	$1.2K	5,994	4,020	+1,974	No	$-294	04-04 20:19
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	37	$1.2K	1,652	1,627	+25	open	—	02-01 10:24
efl mnc new 2026 02 04 mnc win	18	$1.1K	900	600	+300	open	—	02-04 20:52
over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	8	$1.1K	5,881	5,881	+0	open	—	07-23 19:18
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	63	$981	5,099	4,499	+600	open	—	05-23 22:53
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$753	559	559	+0	open	—	06-26 17:15
world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	104	$667	3,652	3,652	+0	open	—	07-06 12:46
will galatasaray advance to the round of 16	14	$640	386	386	+0	open	—	02-21 20:04
itc int com 2026 04 21 int	46	$600	2,209	1,678	+531	open	—	04-21 20:49
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$537	2,437	2,437	+0	open	—	04-15 19:43
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	189	$486	10,204	10,204	+0	open	—	07-15 22:27
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$454	998	1,000	-2	open	—	06-25 07:57
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	8	$445	385	384	+0	open	—	02-25 20:16
will elena rybakina win the 2026 womens australian open	3	$416	568	568	+0	open	—	01-29 12:12
over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	15	$413	3,170	2,020	+1,150	open	—	07-24 13:05
will juventus advance to the round of 16	7	$390	253	303	-50	open	—	02-25 21:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$367	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 23:45
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	6	$361	555	555	+0	open	—	02-01 10:24
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	21	$352	559	559	+0	open	—	06-26 17:42
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	22	$351	770	770	+0	open	—	07-20 15:26
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$329	310	310	+0	open	—	06-24 20:26
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$278	831	831	+0	open	—	04-15 21:13
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 lee	17	$277	1,950	1,950	+0	open	—	02-28 18:33
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$276	2,507	2,507	+0	No	$-84	04-15 21:11
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	4	$270	217	393	-176	open	—	02-25 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 16:19:51	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	430	16¢	$67	0x96c49e…
07-25 09:41:46	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x2dcb1d…
07-25 09:30:28	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xbf887a…
07-25 08:09:58	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xc78bf5…
07-25 07:41:13	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x4c5b75…
07-25 06:42:55	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x306698…
07-25 06:41:19	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	311	7¢	$22	0x37c435…
07-25 06:41:07	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	396	8¢	$30	0x2fc530…
07-25 06:40:18	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	651	13¢	$85	0x865900…
07-25 06:39:45	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xccab3e…
07-25 06:39:27	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xb4c833…
07-25 06:27:22	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x8f0052…
07-24 15:48:52	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	SELL	282	5¢	$14	0x71d911…
07-24 13:05:39	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	170	4¢	$7	0x304b87…
07-24 13:03:22	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	600	4¢	$24	0x31a684…
07-24 13:02:49	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x39d631…
07-24 13:01:25	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe1a588…
07-24 12:59:33	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	211	6¢	$13	0x006f33…
07-24 12:58:25	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x479f5e…
07-24 12:16:51	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x365364…
07-24 12:11:33	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	600	5¢	$27	0x156c4a…
07-24 10:21:27	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	170	8¢	$14	0x7d127c…
07-24 06:29:28	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x2d7210…
07-23 19:55:57	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xa7d0b7…
07-23 19:46:52	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$109	0xa4d7a9…
07-23 19:34:07	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	271	11¢	$30	0x94bd93…
07-23 19:32:48	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	SELL	256	2¢	$6	0x46b343…
07-23 19:31:54	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xfd5c60…
07-23 19:26:55	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x419dd1…
07-23 19:26:46	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	157	11¢	$17	0x4e7911…
07-23 19:23:51	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	460	11¢	$50	0xafe86c…
07-23 19:18:24	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	2,431	2¢	$58	0xf14077…
07-22 19:09:24	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	SELL	256	9¢	$23	0x290786…
07-22 13:17:21	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$13	0xc4c01c…
07-22 11:56:13	over 60m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129613	Yes	SELL	502	5¢	$23	0x117512…
07-22 11:52:34	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	1,500	8¢	$117	0x735556…
07-22 10:30:42	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	BUY	361	15¢	$54	0x25ae28…
07-22 10:19:24	over 60m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129613	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$53	0x2b43f1…
07-22 10:15:30	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	1,500	15¢	$232	0x158fbe…
07-22 10:02:40	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x5e8841…
07-22 09:34:31	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd913a7…
07-22 09:31:06	over 60m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129613	Yes	BUY	1,002	11¢	$106	0x09c6b0…
07-22 09:27:43	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	BUY	5,520	11¢	$613	0xed91bd…
07-22 09:27:24	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	BUY	513	36¢	$184	0x881434…
07-20 15:26:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x08872c…
07-20 15:24:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	85	22¢	$19	0x7166e4…
07-20 15:07:00	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x64bc26…
07-20 14:44:54	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xde7509…
07-20 14:31:30	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xae7b29…
07-20 14:16:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x579881…
07-20 13:53:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	139	27¢	$37	0xfa303d…
07-20 13:51:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	46	25¢	$12	0x90e01b…
07-20 13:48:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0xfd089c…
07-20 13:44:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	52	24¢	$12	0x4e5e6b…
07-20 13:44:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xbaf935…
07-20 13:44:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	64	24¢	$15	0x1c400b…
07-20 13:44:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x10b204…
07-20 13:33:36	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xbe83c1…
07-20 13:30:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	221	22¢	$49	0x77f17d…
07-20 13:29:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x22a891…
07-20 13:13:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	79	22¢	$17	0x897107…
07-20 13:11:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0xfbbe4e…
07-20 13:10:54	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x94b2b8…
07-15 22:27:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	302	1¢	$2	0x0b7898…
07-14 21:31:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	302	1¢	$4	0x52a140…
07-14 20:49:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$0	0x293ec5…
07-14 16:44:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0xe4b0f5…
07-14 16:30:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$2	0x586231…
07-14 16:27:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$1	0x670351…
07-14 12:47:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$4	0xab7070…
07-14 07:08:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x2bff13…
07-14 07:08:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	163	1¢	$2	0x4e2efa…
07-14 05:47:05	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	239	1¢	$2	0xc6918e…
07-14 02:21:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x48cce9…
07-14 02:20:53	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7a7d8…
07-14 02:20:32	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe64da3…
07-14 02:01:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$2	0xbd5a71…
07-13 10:51:50	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xd58098…
07-13 10:44:50	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	354	1¢	$2	0x521dab…
07-13 08:50:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0x6d5c4f…
07-13 08:40:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0xf318dc…
07-12 20:53:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$2	0xf16a80…
07-12 17:45:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$2	0x9d7074…
07-12 16:55:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	274	1¢	$4	0x2e5aeb…
07-12 16:07:56	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$2	0xbb75fb…
07-12 15:55:53	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x6bf2a7…
07-12 15:36:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x1df530…
07-12 13:07:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x8ac323…
07-12 10:09:35	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x555947…
07-12 09:50:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0xcbb07c…
07-12 09:20:41	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x6b4004…
07-12 08:49:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	301	1¢	$5	0x34aa6c…
07-12 07:54:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xa08209…
07-12 07:52:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x3cebda…
07-12 06:57:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xb9c0cd…
07-12 04:22:55	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	538	1¢	$5	0x319892…
07-10 09:43:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xfefda2…
07-08 05:06:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x83c6b9…
07-08 04:40:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	284	2¢	$6	0x0ba3bb…
07-07 14:41:32	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x124aad…