Unequaled-Guilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$5.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 04-21 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Sports

28% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$388	194	194	+0	No	$-0	04-13 15:13
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$274	138	138	+0	open	—	04-02 11:56
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$252	126	126	+0	No	$-0	04-03 00:34
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-21 19:16
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	02-15 22:10
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	03-02 04:53
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	02-27 03:35
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 17:09
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-14 07:33
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	04-03 06:15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-17 13:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-16 04:18
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	02-23 16:31
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-12 07:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	03-29 13:42
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$138	69	69	+0	No	$-0	03-18 14:37
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	04-06 12:30
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-15 11:43
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	03-01 15:33
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-19 19:26
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-28 03:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-25 17:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-14 03:09
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$126	63	63	+0	No	$-0	04-02 03:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-12 12:55
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	04-04 10:13
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-17 02:40
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	04-01 00:20
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-26 06:24
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-22 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 19:16:02	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xc24397…
04-21 11:35:50	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x937518…
04-20 03:02:52	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2764f6…
04-19 15:05:06	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xa58e51…
04-19 08:52:42	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x7e8fb4…
04-18 01:16:18	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x8bde6e…
04-17 22:45:00	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x11bfec…
04-17 13:11:30	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xc1681c…
04-17 09:26:14	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x886898…
04-16 04:18:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x835c87…
04-16 01:59:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa0be5d…
04-15 11:43:16	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x9987bf…
04-15 06:48:36	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x4f699c…
04-14 07:33:07	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x859cfa…
04-14 02:47:23	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x955c3a…
04-13 15:13:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xb6b4c6…
04-13 11:15:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x2ddef1…
04-12 07:37:05	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x2d387e…
04-12 03:49:31	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xaee1c7…
04-10 10:37:19	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xd3fe3b…
04-10 08:49:47	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x0a5db3…
04-08 06:36:43	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x49cee2…
04-07 23:25:33	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x115687…
04-07 20:17:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x0cd718…
04-07 19:03:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc8d597…
04-07 06:06:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x1b9eb2…
04-06 23:31:37	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9b6e84…
04-06 12:30:15	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xf6ea0e…
04-06 07:22:33	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x452bc7…
04-04 10:13:33	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe0a85d…
04-04 09:02:23	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x98f3e5…
04-03 06:15:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x77d6e3…
04-03 02:11:39	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x7d4faf…
04-03 00:34:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc51ad0…
04-02 19:55:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x15b407…
04-02 11:56:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x58da1e…
04-02 08:02:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd91b52…
04-02 03:58:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xc21088…
04-01 20:57:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x45e4bd…
04-01 13:03:31	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xdea962…
04-01 09:01:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x85954c…
04-01 00:20:03	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xfd5a7f…
03-31 20:30:01	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x03316a…
03-31 14:50:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe3691c…
03-31 10:58:51	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ae8e7…
03-30 15:34:03	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2bbdc…
03-29 13:42:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x4538d8…
03-29 09:57:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xcd32ee…
03-28 21:31:48	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x5c9ef2…
03-28 10:10:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xbf9f0c…
03-28 03:00:33	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x70e05f…
03-27 20:46:03	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xf68fd8…
03-26 06:24:47	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x982e80…
03-26 00:15:45	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x0713ff…
03-25 17:55:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x44b5e1…
03-25 11:46:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x76a51a…
03-25 05:35:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x734160…
03-24 23:24:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xdc481c…
03-24 17:09:51	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x47e3cb…
03-24 10:54:45	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd44c25…
03-22 03:24:19	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x8173f8…
03-21 20:53:13	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xab9f70…
03-19 19:26:13	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xd843ec…
03-19 12:16:21	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x928fa1…
03-18 14:37:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x6bd27a…
03-18 07:25:55	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x94ec0e…
03-17 02:40:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf57b72…
03-16 19:26:03	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x15543e…
03-14 03:09:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x88a1c8…
03-13 20:04:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x6a482b…
03-12 21:49:15	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Pacers	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xa3be60…
03-12 12:55:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x6fb463…
03-11 21:23:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x7407c8…
03-10 18:01:05	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x69f20e…
03-10 18:00:33	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xeef73c…
03-07 10:45:19	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Nets	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xadcb17…
03-07 10:44:33	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Bucks	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xf22f92…
03-05 14:54:19	nba lal den 2026 03 05	Nuggets	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x0a5502…
03-05 14:53:47	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Kings	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x002cf8…
03-04 14:31:27	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf3c2b0…
03-04 07:21:23	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2894d2…
03-03 21:05:17	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x6c314f…
03-03 21:04:47	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x6e415d…
03-03 21:04:13	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x34daa3…
03-03 11:39:29	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x99c26d…
03-03 11:39:09	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x27d9e2…
03-03 03:10:39	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbff56…
03-02 20:25:13	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa7a860…
03-02 12:21:03	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Rockets	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x2e49ac…
03-02 12:20:35	nba den uta 2026 03 02	Jazz	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x90414a…
03-02 12:20:03	nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	Warriors	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x09caa7…
03-02 04:53:03	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x917430…
03-01 22:12:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6bd2c7…
03-01 15:33:49	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xb530ea…
03-01 03:21:19	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x38a7da…
02-28 11:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc8fec3…
02-28 11:01:01	Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa31dc4…
02-27 03:35:32	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xcf4e39…
02-26 20:28:14	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf917a5…
02-23 16:31:56	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa0f124…