Shiny-Underestimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-12 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% $-18

Crypto

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	4	$1.1K	738	734	+4	open	—	04-09 17:35
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	2	$685	361	361	+0	open	—	02-07 14:05
cru19wc ind19 afg19 2026 02 04	2	$654	327	327	+0	open	—	02-04 16:40
crint afg wst 2026 02 04	2	$653	327	327	+0	open	—	02-04 14:33
crint ind zaf 2026 02 04	2	$651	327	327	+0	open	—	02-04 16:45
crint gbr npl 2026 02 08	2	$641	339	339	+0	open	—	02-08 12:12
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	2	$641	332	332	+0	open	—	02-11 09:46
crint gbr ita 2026 02 16	4	$577	295	295	+0	open	—	02-16 12:54
crint aus omn 2026 02 20	1	$527	544	0	+544	open	—	02-20 13:11
crint aus zwe 2026 02 13	2	$507	396	396	+0	open	—	02-13 07:44
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	2	$395	264	264	+0	open	—	02-19 12:18
crint lka omn 2026 02 12	1	$353	365	0	+365	open	—	02-12 06:32
crint aus irl 2026 02 11	2	$329	353	0	+353	open	—	02-11 10:55
crint nzl usa 2026 02 05	1	$324	352	0	+352	open	—	02-05 16:33
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	1	$318	321	0	+321	open	—	02-15 15:54
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	1	$317	318	0	+318	open	—	02-15 12:29
crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	2	$315	326	0	+326	open	—	02-25 16:17
crint irl omn 2026 02 14	2	$314	317	0	+317	open	—	02-14 08:24
cru19wc aus19 eng19 2026 02 03	2	$314	349	0	+349	open	—	02-03 14:14
crint afg sco 2026 02 02	1	$313	314	0	+314	open	—	02-02 12:42
crint pak aus 2026 02 01	1	$313	313	0	+313	open	—	02-01 13:58
cru19wc ban19 zim19 2026 01 31	1	$313	313	0	+313	open	—	01-31 16:55
crint pak aus 2026 01 31	1	$312	313	0	+313	open	—	01-31 13:58
crint nzl are 2026 02 10	1	$311	312	0	+312	open	—	02-10 12:03
crint are irl 2026 01 31	1	$311	312	0	+312	open	—	01-31 09:20
crint can zaf 2026 02 09	1	$311	311	0	+311	open	—	02-09 16:04
crwpl20 ggw miw 2026 01 30	1	$309	311	0	+311	open	—	01-30 17:16
crint omn zwe 2026 02 09	1	$309	311	0	+311	open	—	02-09 11:35
crint ita sco 2026 02 09	1	$308	309	0	+309	open	—	02-09 08:25
crint nld usa 2026 02 13	1	$302	303	0	+303	open	—	02-13 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:38:27	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x657f36…
06-12 10:38:24	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x261079…
06-12 10:38:15	will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc02cf9…
06-12 10:25:58	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xf43fe7…
06-12 10:25:51	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xa1287e…
06-12 10:05:27	will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc713bb…
06-12 09:22:04	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1ba653…
06-12 08:45:24	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe26e9c…
06-12 08:44:43	will propr launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x29f399…
06-12 08:44:39	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x6bcf0e…
06-12 08:31:33	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc21be3…
06-12 08:27:18	will propr launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x103c1d…
06-12 08:23:33	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc45d83…
06-12 08:18:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x4a8182…
06-12 08:13:45	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x63f3fe…
06-12 08:09:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x07c59e…
06-12 08:04:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x35f24c…
06-12 05:57:27	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xf56feb…
06-12 05:34:55	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xeba19e…
06-12 03:56:03	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x0d320c…
06-12 03:42:12	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf368be…
06-12 03:31:09	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x3f9a9e…
06-12 03:03:33	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x371860…
06-12 02:56:43	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 11	West Indies	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0xfb4b66…
06-11 17:39:51	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 11	West Indies	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x08699b…
06-11 13:59:25	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Australia	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf84f03…
06-11 06:48:24	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xefb1ab…
06-11 06:37:06	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x30eb7e…
06-11 04:50:43	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Australia	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe734e2…
06-11 04:21:39	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb60e66…
06-10 17:02:27	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xebbcf5…
06-10 14:59:01	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xed1152…
06-10 06:44:00	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x540777…
06-09 17:27:28	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x81d274…
06-09 17:00:24	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x9bfb4f…
06-09 11:48:39	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x0ec70d…
06-09 11:48:03	Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xfba2b8…
06-09 09:45:52	Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x1d2220…
06-09 08:28:46	will reppo launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x27a7b5…
06-09 02:42:06	will phantom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x73a936…
06-08 23:50:58	will phantom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe6cbf7…
06-08 07:23:15	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeba189…
06-08 07:04:04	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6d4859…
06-08 06:58:58	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbb2159…
06-08 03:58:51	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9cd347…
06-07 16:12:06	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x95f71c…
06-07 15:26:19	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x58f2fd…
06-07 09:42:19	btc updown 5m 1780825200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4b6881…
06-07 04:37:19	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x0c68b4…
06-07 04:30:21	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x974d25…
06-06 08:29:24	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x90a65e…
06-06 07:38:27	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xcfbecd…
06-05 17:28:00	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x44bff4…
06-05 17:04:31	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x77fc39…
06-05 07:16:40	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x2a96fd…
06-05 07:15:22	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x9acf4d…
06-05 05:51:52	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2d5c62…
06-05 05:32:13	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3c356f…
06-04 06:49:37	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xe4dd4d…
06-04 06:48:07	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4d8564…
06-04 00:55:21	will reppo launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9bb751…
06-04 00:28:27	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdd8618…
06-03 20:12:10	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x853a48…
06-03 14:33:07	T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x09c24d…
06-03 14:07:53	ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	West Indies	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x073050…
06-02 16:41:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xfbb59d…
06-02 16:41:44	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x6f345b…
06-02 16:23:46	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x3c9c5e…
06-02 16:16:02	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x046458…
06-02 16:15:57	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5c0688…
06-02 15:22:15	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	England	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x113e42…
06-02 04:02:57	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x9ced82…
06-01 13:53:27	T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x304100…
06-01 11:37:41	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3991b9…
05-31 18:32:49	Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x845008…
05-31 18:32:35	Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x91da86…
05-31 18:32:32	Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x4b1823…
05-31 17:37:52	Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x269f10…
05-31 17:36:42	Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0c75da…
05-31 16:31:47	Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2f3d5e…
05-31 15:05:34	Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x1dc490…
05-31 13:42:31	Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2742c9…
05-31 07:54:46	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xc018a2…
05-31 03:38:04	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xdf3075…
05-30 12:09:21	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xebc657…
05-30 11:59:52	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xa32f14…
05-30 07:13:29	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8dd9ae…
05-29 16:00:43	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x95ff4b…
05-29 15:33:32	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x476dc1…
05-29 13:36:17	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0b2045…
05-29 05:50:47	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x2091bc…
05-29 05:49:47	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x7f8466…
05-29 05:40:17	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf6dbce…
05-29 05:28:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd3aa2d…
05-29 00:10:03	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xfff5e5…
05-29 00:07:41	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x878165…
05-29 00:07:41	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x3c17dd…
05-28 21:19:38	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb900a1…
05-28 17:17:19	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x4bcbc0…
05-28 16:31:24	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xa884b7…