Sarcastic-Anarchist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-06 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

33% 50% +$14

Politics

31% — —

Tech

24% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by february 14	6	$460	512	512	+0	open	—	02-12 08:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$447	278	278	+0	open	—	03-22 14:48
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	7	$409	282	282	+0	open	—	03-02 12:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$387	352	352	+0	open	—	03-23 18:12
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$320	215	215	+0	open	—	02-27 19:07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	7	$305	288	288	+0	open	—	02-28 06:27
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	4	$292	393	393	+0	open	—	03-24 08:32
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$289	218	218	+0	open	—	02-19 14:22
btc updown 5m 1772219700	2	$258	753	314	+440	open	—	02-27 19:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$251	233	233	+0	open	—	02-28 08:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$208	182	182	+0	open	—	02-05 09:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$199	237	237	+0	open	—	02-26 13:07
iran strike on israel by february 28	4	$188	114	114	+0	open	—	02-28 06:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$160	161	161	+0	open	—	06-27 15:52
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$140	112	112	+0	open	—	02-10 12:14
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	2	$105	59	59	+0	open	—	02-01 18:04
btc updown 5m 1771497900	4	$92	148	48	+100	open	—	02-19 10:50
lal elc bar 2026 01 31 bar	2	$76	43	43	+0	open	—	01-31 22:10
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	6	$74	3,908	41	+3,867	open	—	02-06 23:42
btc updown 5m 1772285100	4	$57	63	62	+1	open	—	02-28 13:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	1	$55	126	0	+126	open	—	03-01 10:35
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	3	$52	534	440	+94	open	—	06-28 16:31
us strike on somalia by february 28	2	$49	2,370	0	+2,370	open	—	02-05 09:53
btc updown 5m 1774289700	3	$31	30	29	+0	open	—	03-23 18:17
btc updown 15m 1769861700	1	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	01-31 12:23
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 00:43
btc updown 5m 1771498500	3	$27	37	16	+21	open	—	02-19 10:56
btc updown 5m 1772284800	4	$27	38	37	+0	open	—	02-28 13:24
btc updown 15m 1772284500	3	$26	53	13	+40	open	—	02-28 13:27
btc updown 15m 1771497900	2	$20	28	27	+0	open	—	02-19 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:09:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1bdd75…
07-06 18:42:22	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9d3893…
07-02 18:53:20	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf13540…
07-02 18:52:47	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2bba45…
07-02 18:52:31	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdb353a…
07-01 16:12:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x149727…
06-28 16:33:16	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe042c3…
06-28 16:32:37	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x616762…
06-28 16:31:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x3ced1a…
06-27 15:52:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	161	68¢	$110	0xdbb479…
06-27 15:52:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	440	6¢	$27	0x11611f…
06-26 07:35:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	440	4¢	$20	0xa86245…
06-21 07:23:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xa9ce09…
06-21 07:19:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x1132e0…
06-20 09:27:34	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6387c4…
06-20 00:02:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xbd7aa6…
05-30 16:02:51	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x574516…
05-10 19:03:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x680b3e…
05-06 19:20:35	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xf74fee…
03-24 08:32:57	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	78	25¢	$20	0xfc4239…
03-23 19:27:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	78	80¢	$63	0x2e47f1…
03-23 19:27:15	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	315	20¢	$62	0x1856d5…
03-23 18:21:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	315	47¢	$147	0x14c106…
03-23 18:17:25	btc updown 5m 1774289700	Up	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0xd342ea…
03-23 18:16:25	btc updown 5m 1774289700	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x74d5f5…
03-23 18:15:43	btc updown 5m 1774289700	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x92cf94…
03-23 18:13:59	btc updown 5m 1774289400	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9eef10…
03-23 18:12:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	352	38¢	$132	0x5eaec9…
03-22 14:51:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	352	72¢	$255	0x5e109b…
03-22 14:48:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	261	98¢	$255	0x709229…
03-07 10:37:27	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x54474c…
03-05 18:42:13	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	166	2¢	$4	0x08123e…
03-05 18:40:43	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	166	4¢	$7	0x0edb0a…
03-02 12:30:29	btc updown 5m 1772454300	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x44bb4f…
03-02 12:29:59	btc updown 5m 1772454300	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc48b07…
03-02 12:28:03	btc updown 5m 1772454300	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8b81d0…
03-02 12:27:43	btc updown 5m 1772454300	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x3765f0…
03-02 12:27:03	btc updown 5m 1772454300	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x727f50…
03-02 12:24:41	will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xf0c4f6…
03-02 12:22:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xe4b6fa…
03-02 12:19:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	278	65¢	$182	0xb69ee2…
03-02 12:18:35	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	188	96¢	$182	0x644298…
03-01 10:35:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	126	44¢	$55	0x5744ee…
03-01 10:35:21	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	63	88¢	$55	0xfc555c…
02-28 13:27:33	btc updown 15m 1772284500	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xbfe4de…
02-28 13:27:03	btc updown 5m 1772285100	Up	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0x13d447…
02-28 13:26:27	btc updown 5m 1772285100	Up	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x4cb489…
02-28 13:26:09	btc updown 5m 1772285100	Down	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x8b646a…
02-28 13:25:35	btc updown 5m 1772285100	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x566724…
02-28 13:24:03	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x6adabc…
02-28 13:22:07	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x2b0a2b…
02-28 13:21:49	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x989db0…
02-28 13:21:13	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x370ddc…
02-28 13:19:53	btc updown 15m 1772284500	Up	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x4dc011…
02-28 13:18:31	btc updown 15m 1772284500	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x49df32…
02-28 08:19:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd3779d…
02-28 06:29:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf3eb0d…
02-28 06:27:25	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	136	2¢	$3	0x577aaa…
02-28 06:19:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x971f77…
02-28 06:18:55	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x035f88…
02-28 06:18:07	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xa4ea1e…
02-28 06:14:41	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xfa9bcd…
02-28 00:50:25	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xc911a5…
02-28 00:43:39	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x965e64…
02-28 00:36:01	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	126	76¢	$96	0xc7b8fc…
02-27 19:21:11	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	55	85¢	$47	0xb0a601…
02-27 19:18:45	btc updown 5m 1772219700	Up	SELL	314	15¢	$47	0xf58a33…
02-27 19:18:33	btc updown 5m 1772219700	Up	BUY	753	28¢	$211	0x7f551b…
02-27 19:07:43	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0x8242c5…
02-26 13:07:26	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	183	58¢	$105	0xf7f949…
02-26 13:07:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x14cdfe…
02-26 13:07:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	237	44¢	$104	0x68b892…
02-25 15:58:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	237	40¢	$95	0xa0b1e0…
02-25 15:52:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbfe0c3…
02-25 15:48:26	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	105	91¢	$96	0xa3712f…
02-22 16:50:06	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x2faf04…
02-22 16:48:54	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6f9408…
02-22 16:45:50	bitcoin up or down february 22 10am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc1c2ba…
02-22 15:10:20	bitcoin up or down february 22 10am et	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5663b3…
02-22 08:38:18	btc updown 5m 1771749300	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0xd69fbe…
02-22 08:37:30	btc updown 5m 1771749300	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x100596…
02-22 08:37:20	btc updown 5m 1771749300	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x347e91…
02-22 08:36:04	btc updown 5m 1771749300	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7e2417…
02-22 08:30:00	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0x163cf8…
02-19 16:06:24	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	215	51¢	$110	0xe1763d…
02-19 16:05:38	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfc46d4…
02-19 16:04:28	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	143	72¢	$103	0xc1ee31…
02-19 14:34:22	btc updown 5m 1771511400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c8c12…
02-19 14:32:58	btc updown 5m 1771511400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcd7dfd…
02-19 14:32:24	btc updown 5m 1771511400	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x9f5e6e…
02-19 14:31:34	btc updown 5m 1771511400	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc4b3e0…
02-19 14:30:42	btc updown 5m 1771511400	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb1554…
02-19 14:28:36	btc updown 5m 1771511100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0e91ed…
02-19 14:25:56	btc updown 5m 1771511100	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x342dc2…
02-19 14:24:36	gpt 5pt3 released by february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0xce22c6…
02-19 14:22:02	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0x63b82c…
02-19 11:02:28	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x61ff6e…
02-19 10:56:52	btc updown 5m 1771498500	Up	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x7bb8fb…
02-19 10:56:16	btc updown 5m 1771498500	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf7b926…
02-19 10:55:56	btc updown 5m 1771498500	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xdd7f4c…