Distant-Chord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

112

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-17 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 51% $-17

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$5	6	1	+4	open	—	05-14 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-09 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$4	46	0	+46	Down	$-4	05-12 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$4	6	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-13 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 21:19:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x658fcf…
06-17 18:06:10	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x7e5334…
06-17 08:54:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7bf9ec…
06-17 05:51:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb15c17…
06-17 01:46:37	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x60aff7…
06-11 22:29:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xdef16c…
06-04 05:15:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x124e30…
05-24 23:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x561a5c…
05-24 23:33:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xc315ce…
05-24 23:32:26	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x96d51f…
05-16 21:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x96320a…
05-16 21:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6fcc91…
05-16 21:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc3c5cb…
05-16 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe75ed2…
05-16 07:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd21d0a…
05-16 07:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x499238…
05-16 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7b4b32…
05-16 06:55:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x119191…
05-16 06:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3160af…
05-16 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9ff7c3…
05-16 06:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x589e1b…
05-16 06:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8cf57c…
05-16 06:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5c5a4a…
05-16 05:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x69d854…
05-16 05:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x630ac3…
05-16 05:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf2f56d…
05-15 05:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbd1a01…
05-15 05:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbce87d…
05-15 05:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7f6364…
05-15 05:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x428d0f…
05-15 04:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb63daf…
05-15 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfd3723…
05-15 03:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x85da3a…
05-15 02:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe40f83…
05-15 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x57b1f2…
05-15 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xbc218d…
05-15 02:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8b8960…
05-15 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xff6be4…
05-15 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xab9f71…
05-14 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x677838…
05-14 22:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x376a66…
05-14 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x078aa8…
05-14 22:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf53a65…
05-14 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xdf735e…
05-14 22:26:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0d9f95…
05-14 22:12:56	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x21a724…
05-14 22:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4fe9b3…
05-14 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8e9e6a…
05-14 21:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc9b9cc…
05-14 21:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe5a90a…
05-14 21:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xb92c1f…
05-14 21:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf5a581…
05-14 21:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf15a30…
05-14 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x559221…
05-14 20:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x88955b…
05-14 20:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x30177f…
05-14 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x98aa00…
05-14 20:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbb8bba…
05-14 20:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdcc9ae…
05-14 20:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe097fb…
05-14 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x6271c4…
05-14 20:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbdffce…
05-14 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac7fe5…
05-14 20:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x9e909d…
05-14 20:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x98a894…
05-14 20:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x881b5c…
05-14 20:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb754c4…
05-14 20:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0bf88e…
05-14 19:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xae3c80…
05-14 19:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa10b87…
05-14 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xe6a3b4…
05-14 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x98750c…
05-14 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23ac08…
05-14 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xded790…
05-14 15:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb2cb8e…
05-14 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb97eba…
05-14 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7e176e…
05-14 15:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf1c572…
05-14 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x35aa17…
05-14 15:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x191cda…
05-14 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x478fc7…
05-14 15:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x634987…
05-14 15:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9e595f…
05-14 15:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe858f6…
05-14 15:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0d927c…
05-14 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc2936f…
05-14 14:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x4b3336…
05-14 14:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x34d552…
05-14 14:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb2eea7…
05-14 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcbc281…
05-14 07:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbd9bec…
05-14 06:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3f4410…
05-14 06:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x8113a3…
05-14 06:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94c356…
05-14 06:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xbf800a…
05-14 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x969be0…
05-14 06:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x535662…
05-14 05:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf10f86…
05-14 00:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x5ade95…
05-14 00:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd9381d…