Muted-Cufflink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-24 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

42% 0% $-0

Other

29% 0% —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	14	$884	456	456	+0	open	—	04-15 11:15
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$581	299	299	+0	open	—	03-18 03:37
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	8	$580	298	298	+0	open	—	03-20 21:47
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$517	275	275	+0	open	—	03-22 23:22
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$468	239	239	+0	open	—	01-30 12:04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$466	244	244	-0	No	$-0	04-11 05:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$449	233	233	+0	open	—	02-06 21:43
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$305	157	157	+0	open	—	03-07 22:20
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$305	157	157	+0	No	+$0	03-07 13:52
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$300	159	159	+0	open	—	03-06 10:22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	6	$299	162	162	+1	open	—	04-16 05:39
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$296	152	152	+0	open	—	02-06 21:57
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$292	160	160	+0	open	—	03-23 05:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-10 16:01
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$291	151	151	+0	open	—	03-13 04:48
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$288	147	147	+0	open	—	03-14 16:24
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$274	141	141	+0	open	—	03-19 09:02
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$261	133	133	+0	open	—	03-18 08:26
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$253	131	131	+0	open	—	03-26 11:05
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$253	131	131	+0	open	—	03-23 12:47
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$252	129	129	+0	open	—	03-24 14:34
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$251	134	134	+0	open	—	03-26 18:11
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	03-27 01:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$248	128	128	+0	open	—	03-25 02:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$238	125	125	+0	open	—	03-30 01:52
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$238	121	121	+0	open	—	03-24 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$220	116	116	+0	open	—	05-06 15:09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$209	108	108	+0	open	—	04-21 02:43
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	04-28 02:01
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$187	98	98	+0	open	—	02-03 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 08:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0x7b74fe…
05-24 02:53:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x6e1920…
05-21 22:30:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0x4c2016…
05-21 15:28:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x34d0d2…
05-18 21:21:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0xf7673a…
05-18 16:19:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	92¢	$45	0x0aa4b2…
05-15 17:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0xd0d6a9…
05-15 13:07:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0x93ca51…
05-13 22:50:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xa5fc23…
05-13 15:49:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xc5fd21…
05-06 15:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xeaad6a…
05-06 07:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xd1e1d4…
05-05 19:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0x9c0d1c…
05-05 15:29:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xa0cfca…
05-04 12:38:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$46	0x9e05ee…
05-04 06:37:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe5cbfd…
04-28 02:01:26	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0xab47c4…
04-27 19:44:42	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x551e9b…
04-21 20:06:16	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xf90c48…
04-21 13:04:02	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x8d741f…
04-21 08:55:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xb72cf3…
04-21 03:33:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x1887f7…
04-21 02:43:56	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x07ff45…
04-20 18:40:56	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xc0ac8c…
04-20 18:13:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x6e665f…
04-20 10:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x2c20d0…
04-20 02:35:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xf2e128…
04-19 19:24:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x1403ce…
04-19 00:33:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$46	0x108826…
04-18 18:30:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xfb9f5f…
04-17 22:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x0ce73b…
04-17 14:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x961b12…
04-16 05:39:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x6b830a…
04-15 23:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x3cae82…
04-15 22:35:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xe92aaa…
04-15 14:26:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x8b720f…
04-15 11:15:50	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x0901d1…
04-15 05:55:14	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$45	0x17354c…
04-15 04:28:46	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xa47850…
04-14 23:08:56	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0xa50ad7…
04-14 13:27:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x33ad9d…
04-14 08:23:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xb384d5…
04-14 00:15:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	88¢	$46	0xcd6389…
04-13 16:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7186ea…
04-13 16:11:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x1f799c…
04-13 09:10:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x967c7c…
04-13 09:08:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x76c581…
04-13 03:06:41	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$63	0x7af2e3…
04-12 13:51:15	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x8d797d…
04-12 07:48:59	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x0b0ec4…
04-12 07:47:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x80335c…
04-12 03:47:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x75a8b5…
04-12 03:45:29	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$42	0xbb7f53…
04-11 23:42:57	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x813cfa…
04-11 23:42:47	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x8c45b3…
04-11 23:41:03	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x9bb51b…
04-11 15:40:29	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xf95a49…
04-11 15:35:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$57	0x60b356…
04-11 10:34:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x4b991d…
04-11 10:31:21	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x0cabe0…
04-11 05:29:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x1b8b26…
04-11 05:26:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0x6b0a0b…
04-10 22:25:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xc8f4ed…
04-07 17:20:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x456167…
04-07 09:04:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x1e1fd4…
04-06 00:34:17	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x58e763…
04-05 16:30:45	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x018b96…
04-02 02:49:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xf47bfc…
04-01 07:04:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x2d28a9…
04-01 02:32:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xaa4658…
03-31 21:27:45	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x3a30f4…
03-31 00:27:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xc84c2a…
03-30 20:15:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x58af66…
03-30 01:52:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	125	95¢	$118	0xe5e804…
03-29 21:44:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0xf09329…
03-29 08:56:16	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x80a6da…
03-29 02:46:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0xd70c26…
03-27 01:45:45	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0x7ea651…
03-26 18:52:43	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	112	97¢	$109	0x04caac…
03-26 18:42:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xdf341d…
03-26 18:11:15	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	134	93¢	$125	0xbeaf50…
03-26 11:09:15	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	134	94¢	$127	0xb0315f…
03-26 11:05:25	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x7f372f…
03-26 04:52:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0x45dc36…
03-25 02:07:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x26bccd…
03-24 22:03:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0xc31578…
03-24 21:14:47	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x530fd3…
03-24 15:01:35	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x34d953…
03-24 14:34:33	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0x2042b9…
03-24 08:57:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x07f808…
03-24 08:34:07	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x8f6951…
03-24 08:31:01	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x4e343e…
03-23 12:47:03	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	131	96¢	$125	0x83c7f2…
03-23 06:02:09	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x9aabc1…
03-23 05:11:47	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	145	91¢	$132	0xe2879d…
03-22 23:38:53	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	145	91¢	$132	0x2a5077…
03-22 23:22:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	132	92¢	$121	0x6335d2…
03-22 17:07:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	127	94¢	$118	0xb86dfb…
03-22 17:07:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdabec5…
03-22 01:49:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	144	93¢	$134	0x35ecb1…