Phony-Plot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-16 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

52% 61% +$13

Crypto

41% 71% +$4

Other

7% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 19:45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	8	0	+8	Cavaliers	$-5	05-13 21:12
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 14:39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Over	+$4	05-13 21:16
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 21:20
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:32
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-12 21:14
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$3	4	0	+4	Thunder	+$1	05-12 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$3	9	4	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:24
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	Over	+$2	05-12 21:15
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$2	4	0	+4	Cavaliers	+$2	05-11 18:10
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 13:57
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	05-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Down	$-2	05-05 19:50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$2	6	0	+6	Timberwolves	+$4	05-10 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 11:26
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	05-05 19:58
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$2	4	0	+4	Knicks	$-2	05-10 14:40
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$2	3	0	+3	Pistons	+$1	05-05 19:48
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$2	3	0	+3	Sabres	$-2	05-12 21:20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-06 09:13
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 11:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x84a0bc…
05-16 11:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x65c9d2…
05-14 21:20:38	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x65e626…
05-14 14:39:27	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe6432b…
05-14 14:39:13	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe1e5da…
05-14 13:57:31	Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	Karmine Corp GC	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0f0b3a…
05-14 13:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x0c8b9f…
05-14 13:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xafbc5e…
05-13 21:16:38	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9e4a58…
05-13 21:12:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x254886…
05-13 21:11:42	Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xb16f86…
05-12 21:22:51	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa989f0…
05-12 21:21:25	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x545bf3…
05-12 21:20:54	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa0bd14…
05-12 21:15:41	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9f8482…
05-12 21:15:11	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcadb7a…
05-12 21:14:52	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3de3c1…
05-12 05:16:11	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x997897…
05-11 18:11:07	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xafe4e1…
05-11 18:10:50	Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3022e6…
05-11 18:10:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc48399…
05-10 14:40:58	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1a7212…
05-10 14:40:28	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbe4732…
05-09 12:11:38	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x81669a…
05-09 12:11:10	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ad9d0…
05-08 16:59:33	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb2da55…
05-08 16:58:50	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x5c4e17…
05-08 09:46:16	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb3e11d…
05-08 09:40:38	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x68343d…
05-07 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf84c0…
05-06 09:15:56	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x72e26b…
05-06 09:13:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7e8444…
05-05 19:58:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7f1dc3…
05-05 19:57:10	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda6188…
05-05 19:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb96cbf…
05-05 19:48:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcfafb3…
05-05 19:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdd1c87…
05-05 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x687dcd…
05-05 19:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x070d5f…
05-05 19:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4415b8…
05-05 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xef09bd…
05-05 19:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9eed1d…
05-05 18:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x857b9b…
05-05 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb04cf5…
05-05 18:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xc78b21…
05-05 18:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x777460…
05-05 18:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x4fcec7…
05-05 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f0971…
05-05 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xf011f3…
05-05 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc62285…
05-05 18:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xce7001…
05-05 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91f229…
05-05 18:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf7bfc9…
05-05 18:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x84913d…
05-05 17:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x96793d…
05-05 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe237df…
05-05 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e3f33…
05-05 17:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x68c031…
05-05 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x35adc8…
05-05 17:36:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaf97e2…