Exotic-Surrounds — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-19 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-1

Sports

38% — —

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$840	421	421	+0	No	$-0	04-05 11:05
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$820	411	411	+0	open	—	03-27 22:38
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$777	390	390	+0	open	—	04-13 18:47
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$770	386	386	+0	open	—	03-21 22:18
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	4	$748	375	375	+0	open	—	02-27 18:00
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$736	369	369	+0	open	—	04-17 02:25
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$632	317	317	+0	open	—	04-18 11:32
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	02-14 11:47
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-05 15:54
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	02-23 19:50
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 560 579	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-26 20:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$452	226	226	+0	open	—	03-18 12:28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	02-15 21:46
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$432	216	216	+0	open	—	02-25 07:17
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	03-28 09:15
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$424	213	213	+0	open	—	04-06 08:53
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	212	212	+0	open	—	03-15 02:07
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	02-17 22:25
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$410	206	206	+0	open	—	04-01 08:31
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$410	206	206	+0	open	—	03-28 16:47
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	04-08 02:43
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	02-10 06:21
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	02-13 09:53
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$370	186	186	+0	open	—	04-13 07:39
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	03-03 13:14
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$360	181	181	+0	open	—	04-16 13:05
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	03-15 16:42
Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$354	178	178	+0	open	—	02-27 10:41
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	04-15 08:07
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	04-08 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 19:46:20	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xb74c3b…
04-19 18:17:28	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x1eb73d…
04-19 10:07:52	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x7e0445…
04-19 04:30:32	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x915aef…
04-18 11:32:48	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0xe3b206…
04-17 20:56:44	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xafa070…
04-17 02:25:10	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x8abf9f…
04-16 21:52:26	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x994ed3…
04-16 13:05:14	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0xe0c061…
04-16 07:08:20	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x1e579b…
04-15 12:51:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x884737…
04-15 08:08:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x9eef84…
04-15 08:07:44	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x67309d…
04-15 06:35:08	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x06147e…
04-14 05:11:41	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xeeb8b4…
04-13 23:16:09	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x91925f…
04-13 18:47:53	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x4bd018…
04-13 14:25:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x8fbc46…
04-13 07:39:07	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0x5c6c13…
04-13 04:37:49	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x4ebe5d…
04-08 05:51:59	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0xd27bec…
04-08 02:43:39	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x6146ca…
04-08 02:43:21	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x14f124…
04-07 22:30:33	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xc80104…
04-06 08:53:35	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0xfea27f…
04-06 06:36:37	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x2ef931…
04-05 11:05:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x67831e…
04-05 09:47:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xc0e5cc…
04-04 21:46:25	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xfc5662…
04-04 17:39:29	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x2e2e44…
04-01 20:28:25	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x231791…
04-01 16:27:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x00879c…
04-01 08:31:05	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0xad9796…
04-01 01:14:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xb3d371…
04-01 01:14:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$164	0x4b3053…
03-31 21:20:33	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x8b106d…
03-31 10:43:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1a1d5d…
03-28 16:47:47	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x6a5927…
03-28 13:05:45	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xaa18a6…
03-28 09:15:55	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x6d0cde…
03-28 04:43:59	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x75bf1f…
03-27 22:38:43	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x52cbc2…
03-27 14:54:21	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x1dde2e…
03-27 08:45:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x8feb34…
03-27 02:32:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x22a9ac…
03-26 20:23:01	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 560 579	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x09830b…
03-26 14:10:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 560 579	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x8c8a6e…
03-22 23:09:23	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xc37357…
03-22 16:57:07	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x2a59a8…
03-21 22:18:31	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x0b5cff…
03-20 17:09:41	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x160ca1…
03-18 12:28:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x6b61a5…
03-18 04:55:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x9578af…
03-15 16:42:41	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xcaeebf…
03-15 02:07:43	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x53ae5d…
03-15 02:07:29	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x21f9de…
03-14 19:10:43	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x94917f…
03-13 10:09:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x518519…
03-12 17:52:39	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xfb48f4…
03-07 12:05:35	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8fde4b…
03-05 15:54:39	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xea2b07…
03-05 01:10:17	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xc35602…
03-03 22:51:21	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xcf043f…
03-03 13:14:43	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x66106b…
03-03 13:14:23	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x800d6b…
03-03 04:41:55	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x324878…
03-01 16:31:23	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x07f86c…
03-01 04:30:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x00ec1d…
02-27 18:00:03	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xdc2671…
02-27 10:41:33	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x83566a…
02-27 10:41:11	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x378ea9…
02-27 02:57:20	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x6a682b…
02-26 13:35:28	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xbfd5ae…
02-26 06:56:18	nba nop uta 2026 02 26	Jazz	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x084adb…
02-26 06:55:54	nba lal phx 2026 02 26	Lakers	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd6c983…
02-26 06:55:20	nba sac dal 2026 02 26	Mavericks	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x2a9a0e…
02-25 07:17:10	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x003933…
02-25 04:50:50	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x96904f…
02-23 19:50:00	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x172f64…
02-21 20:51:32	nba phi nop 2026 02 21	76ers	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x50b5e9…
02-20 22:17:22	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x5930d6…
02-17 22:25:29	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x846e66…
02-15 21:47:33	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x3aeb08…
02-15 21:46:49	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x1ca561…
02-15 00:05:03	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x55ea8c…
02-14 11:47:33	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xfdee27…
02-13 09:53:43	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xa8eddd…
02-13 09:53:27	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xffd329…
02-12 22:33:49	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x5382fc…
02-12 08:57:23	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x06826d…
02-11 18:13:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x2a4e39…
02-10 06:21:09	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x03e22b…
02-09 19:25:59	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xc17507…
02-08 08:24:29	nba nyk bos 2026 02 08	Knicks	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xed16e6…