Severe-Buzzard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$610

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-11 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 72% $-11

Other

13% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$42	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$37	31	31	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$36	47	20	+28	Up	$-11	05-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 16:48
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$30	76	0	+76	open	—	07-11 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$30	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$21	15	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 16:51
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	07-03 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	7	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 20:09
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	06-20 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-11 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-11 16:36
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-15 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$8	6	5	+1	Down	+$1	05-13 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$7	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$5	6	2	+4	Up	$-0	05-13 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 22:26:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x3d9804…
07-03 22:53:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	16	52¢	$9	0x4f651f…
07-03 15:30:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x71ab1a…
06-20 18:21:34	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xffc9de…
06-20 18:11:50	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x79a2d1…
06-15 15:38:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0a3102…
06-11 22:09:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9af12e…
05-27 09:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7b83e6…
05-18 18:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x567218…
05-18 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7eb10e…
05-18 18:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe4711f…
05-18 17:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe333c3…
05-18 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2081c1…
05-18 17:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x29cba8…
05-18 17:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe293b7…
05-18 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa35a69…
05-18 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x60fd2a…
05-18 17:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x9c57dd…
05-18 17:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5642c2…
05-18 17:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x500f26…
05-18 17:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb71852…
05-18 17:33:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61fdbc…
05-18 17:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x361fb9…
05-18 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xa5680e…
05-18 17:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x201df3…
05-18 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xcaceec…
05-18 17:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa28909…
05-18 17:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xebb214…
05-18 17:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5dcbdf…
05-18 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xffa01a…
05-18 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd226e2…
05-17 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6199eb…
05-17 11:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xebbd20…
05-17 11:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x270435…
05-17 11:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xebfd8e…
05-16 12:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8131df…
05-16 12:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d01b6…
05-16 12:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4a0f7b…
05-16 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfc8dde…
05-16 12:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xede2e6…
05-16 12:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xe44fc2…
05-16 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9344bc…
05-16 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5ee26f…
05-16 12:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2aee60…
05-16 12:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc7e52a…
05-16 12:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xcf7b3c…
05-16 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6f704e…
05-16 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x45926f…
05-16 12:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x965e2f…
05-16 12:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d571d…
05-15 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x954c23…
05-15 11:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd9b6cc…
05-15 11:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x308d7b…
05-15 11:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfec82b…
05-15 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef488a…
05-15 11:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd6d7ef…
05-15 11:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xd41c12…
05-15 11:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x338dc5…
05-15 11:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xddd461…
05-15 11:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf93d37…
05-15 11:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa8892a…
05-15 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0c89ea…
05-15 11:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x96f785…
05-15 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3285fa…
05-14 20:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xf36542…
05-14 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x902e30…
05-14 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xebdb24…
05-14 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdf001b…
05-14 20:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x31947c…
05-14 20:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x204b1c…
05-14 20:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe97759…
05-14 20:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb83a8d…
05-14 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4d2b99…
05-14 20:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x963614…
05-14 20:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x64ea3e…
05-14 20:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b1598…
05-14 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f24ff…
05-13 20:20:20	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xc342f7…
05-13 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc5d09d…
05-13 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x38efbb…
05-13 20:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcdb6d8…
05-13 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5deddc…
05-13 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e8e2a…
05-13 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1a48bc…
05-13 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x24b3ac…
05-13 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfbcd11…
05-13 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0xfd6324…
05-13 20:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb0065d…
05-13 20:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x99160f…
05-13 20:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf22104…
05-13 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x22ae3c…
05-13 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x75f5fb…
05-13 19:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2cb30e…
05-13 19:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd6efcc…
05-13 19:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x75c043…
05-13 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x09e887…
05-13 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x275bb0…
05-13 19:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd0b5f6…
05-13 19:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x72fdb3…
05-13 19:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf86ace…