Outrageous-Kit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

644

Trades

2,983

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-05 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 56% +$37

Politics

16% 0% $-35

Sports

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 642 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	89	$2.7K	2,845	2,845	+0	Yes	$-35	04-26 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$100	84	81	+3	open	—	04-26 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$99	82	82	+0	open	—	04-25 18:06
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	6	$90	97	78	+19	open	—	04-30 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$79	84	81	+3	open	—	04-26 12:56
btc updown 5m 1776726900	2	$76	81	78	+3	open	—	04-20 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$51	101	0	+101	Down	+$51	05-06 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$46	47	20	+28	open	—	05-15 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$43	49	18	+31	open	—	05-15 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$41	60	26	+34	open	—	05-15 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$40	84	0	+84	open	—	04-26 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$40	84	0	+84	open	—	04-26 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-01 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 10:10
btc updown 5m 1776738000	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-21 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-01 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-25 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-01 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-01 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 09:45
btc updown 5m 1776720900	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-20 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776808200	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-21 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 01:45
btc updown 5m 1776775500	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-21 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-25 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-30 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 23:14:39	btc updown 5m 1780701000	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6d9a7c…
06-05 22:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780699800	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb61df7…
06-05 22:44:36	btc updown 5m 1780699200	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x71c5e3…
06-05 22:09:36	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3dc586…
06-05 21:49:40	btc updown 5m 1780695900	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xba1b64…
06-05 20:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb0c2f6…
06-05 20:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5219e0…
06-05 20:19:36	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x36102a…
06-05 19:39:37	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9c0677…
06-05 19:04:36	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf283cd…
06-05 18:39:36	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x68fbb3…
06-05 17:49:37	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5da64e…
06-05 16:19:36	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52b3a2…
06-05 15:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780674600	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf34ad1…
06-05 08:59:36	btc updown 5m 1780649700	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x34f3fd…
06-04 22:09:36	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x611a24…
06-04 14:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x082b28…
06-04 12:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad9dba…
06-04 05:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780549800	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcf3ed6…
06-04 00:09:36	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1a88ba…
06-03 19:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3f51dc…
06-03 16:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4e82df…
06-03 14:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9a18c2…
06-03 04:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x12fe3e…
06-02 23:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaa4e9a…
06-01 13:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf45a2d…
05-30 23:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x03e323…
05-30 23:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x921e18…
05-30 08:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xe1c3fc…
05-30 06:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa72f82…
05-29 23:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3211c6…
05-29 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x022ca9…
05-29 13:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6622ab…
05-29 08:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5d4142…
05-29 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9eb432…
05-29 02:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x72f5f4…
05-29 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x756029…
05-29 00:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa36354…
05-28 03:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe7e30d…
05-27 05:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x403207…
05-27 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x39a264…
05-26 19:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x48b545…
05-26 18:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x89ff14…
05-26 14:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7b26a5…
05-25 19:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1efd7e…
05-25 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x1f9788…
05-24 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe37fa3…
05-24 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e4b33…
05-24 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5e513a…
05-23 19:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6d0a20…
05-23 18:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9635e2…
05-23 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3707de…
05-23 05:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x33524f…
05-23 05:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x586ed5…
05-23 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x379bd9…
05-23 01:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfb4150…
05-22 22:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x662411…
05-22 22:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x33edef…
05-22 22:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdf2c82…
05-22 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5c429d…
05-22 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xf47bfc…
05-22 13:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd55254…
05-22 05:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xdfc5f8…
05-22 04:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb0a973…
05-22 02:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x88631e…
05-21 19:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfb0bb4…
05-21 16:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb33c0d…
05-21 13:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x12eebe…
05-21 10:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x67de0e…
05-21 10:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4a70ef…
05-21 08:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x88a57e…
05-21 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xefdd16…
05-21 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5c9d93…
05-21 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc69665…
05-20 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x22a65b…
05-20 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x65aea0…
05-20 21:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb89708…
05-20 21:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc65b88…
05-20 20:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x21ff59…
05-20 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xaaea42…
05-20 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xad63e2…
05-20 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x474e4e…
05-20 19:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x0ef4dd…
05-20 19:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x056c13…
05-20 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5b871a…
05-20 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd55765…
05-20 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xcd83ab…
05-20 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x90efbc…
05-20 19:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xfd67c6…
05-20 19:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0cc736…
05-20 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfb956d…
05-20 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x82b003…
05-20 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xe5c590…
05-20 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd5849f…
05-20 19:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4955fb…
05-20 19:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xe27695…
05-20 19:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf749aa…
05-20 19:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x19c597…
05-20 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc67a67…
05-20 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xce673e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	982	$281.7K	42,464	05-20 20:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	973	$244.0K	36,520	05-20 20:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	964	$306.9K	16,872	05-20 20:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	963	$240.5K	66,086	05-20 20:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	960	$753.5K	30,897	05-20 20:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	959	$251.3K	69,556	05-20 20:09
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	956	$2.21K	5,318	05-20 20:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	954	$306.6K	16,729	05-20 20:09