Vivacious-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-13 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 34% +$120

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$266	149	147	+2	open	—	04-25 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$128	105	99	+5	open	—	04-25 09:46
btc updown 5m 1776854700	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	04-22 10:49
btc updown 5m 1777039500	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	04-24 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$55	48	45	+3	open	—	04-26 23:36
btc updown 5m 1777030200	2	$41	33	32	+2	open	—	04-24 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$38	29	28	+1	open	—	04-25 10:16
btc updown 5m 1776854100	2	$37	64	0	+64	open	—	04-22 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$35	32	31	+1	open	—	04-26 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$34	0	35	-35	open	—	04-26 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$32	22	21	+1	open	—	04-26 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	21	20	+1	open	—	04-26 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 20:11
btc updown 5m 1777041000	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	04-24 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	04-29 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$30	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+1	open	—	04-25 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-27 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	04-29 19:52
btc updown 5m 1777038600	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-25 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$23	14	13	+0	open	—	04-25 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$21	47	0	+47	open	—	04-29 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$21	27	19	+8	Down	+$1	05-05 19:56
btc updown 5m 1776852300	2	$20	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	04-22 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-26 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	114	0	+114	open	—	04-26 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$19	28	13	+15	open	—	04-26 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb8d648…
05-13 17:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x526878…
05-13 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x20f583…
05-13 17:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x213a11…
05-13 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf22925…
05-13 17:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x813c99…
05-13 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4502f9…
05-13 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x542e74…
05-13 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcffb90…
05-10 09:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd7e995…
05-10 09:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf60f8c…
05-10 09:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x019a44…
05-10 09:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x05f7b5…
05-10 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2e338…
05-10 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfa21a2…
05-06 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9ccc62…
05-06 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1d60c4…
05-06 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x54af2c…
05-06 14:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfd31e7…
05-06 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x06827e…
05-06 09:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdfb2a4…
05-06 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe17c75…
05-06 09:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe18747…
05-06 09:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6424a0…
05-06 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x68e1c5…
05-05 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaf2946…
05-05 19:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xdef5e5…
05-05 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe8a67e…
05-05 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc6da85…
05-05 19:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf85a5f…
05-05 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xebd3ad…
05-05 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c5942…
05-05 19:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x474d94…
05-05 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaed25c…
05-05 19:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b289d…
05-05 19:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x11d423…
05-05 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ce362…
05-05 18:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1c5336…
05-05 18:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6211aa…
05-05 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86d0ab…
05-05 17:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xba74c2…
05-05 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2e81f3…
05-05 17:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8bea27…
05-05 17:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x41b671…
05-05 17:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x995809…
05-03 19:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe5e551…
05-03 19:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6984ef…
05-03 19:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x134ebd…
05-03 19:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbcfcbf…
05-03 19:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2f4da5…
05-03 19:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xec8f6f…
05-03 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd0d2ed…
05-03 19:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd31216…
05-03 19:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4c5598…
04-30 14:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb495f2…
04-30 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf599ee…
04-30 13:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x466876…
04-30 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x244f5e…
04-30 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3d18d3…
04-30 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb27e8b…
04-30 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x64bb59…
04-29 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x63d67d…
04-29 21:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x380125…
04-29 21:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4cf23b…
04-29 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd3c967…
04-29 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9e599a…
04-29 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe3fc50…
04-29 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x27884c…
04-29 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x61057b…
04-29 20:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa8124b…
04-29 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa8b37a…
04-29 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb7f59f…
04-29 20:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8e01c6…
04-29 20:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0fe063…
04-29 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb66007…
04-29 20:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa7340f…
04-29 20:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1608e6…
04-29 20:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa7d79c…
04-29 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x91e961…
04-29 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x65dd34…
04-29 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7bfb52…
04-29 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x7fc1c7…
04-29 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc7dc8c…
04-29 19:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe753de…
04-29 19:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb058e1…
04-29 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x689a4a…
04-29 19:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe789bb…
04-29 19:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x175d6e…
04-29 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb00cb3…
04-29 19:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0a04da…
04-29 19:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x55552e…
04-29 19:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x65557f…
04-29 19:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x99f77e…
04-29 19:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc98dca…
04-29 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa1874d…
04-29 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x934e61…
04-29 15:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7a7ab8…
04-29 15:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6990db…
04-29 15:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa9df08…
04-29 15:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb573ae…