Unrealistic-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$409

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-03 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$2

Politics

42% 0% $-34

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	11	$6.0K	4,942	4,942	+0	open	—	03-15 19:16
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	9	$5.1K	2,760	2,760	+0	Yes	$-34	03-17 08:44
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$2.9K	1,478	1,478	+0	open	—	03-15 17:40
will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	3	$2.9K	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	03-15 18:10
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	4	$2.8K	1,529	1,529	+0	open	—	03-15 13:41
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	6	$2.6K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	03-15 11:34
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	3	$2.6K	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	03-15 12:36
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	3	$300	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	03-15 23:16
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	4	$272	1,827	1,827	+0	open	—	03-15 13:26
mls laf stl 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	3	$184	368	0	+368	open	—	03-14 03:13
cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	1	$145	308	0	+308	open	—	03-14 06:12
nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	1	$92	224	0	+224	open	—	03-14 03:48
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$34	36	0	+36	open	—	03-14 09:26
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	4	$28	420	336	+84	open	—	03-16 00:04
epl bur bou 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-14 09:39
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 15:43
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 03:31
itsb emp man 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-14 06:41
Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	06-03 04:00
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$15	17	0	+17	T1	+$2	05-13 06:24
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$12	96	96	+0	open	—	03-16 01:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:00:10	Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	Knicks	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x0456d0…
05-29 03:31:30	Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x55275f…
05-13 06:24:55	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3e5202…
04-27 15:43:26	SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcece2d…
03-17 08:44:01	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	178	88¢	$157	0x45d264…
03-17 08:39:11	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	491	91¢	$447	0x26ce7b…
03-16 15:15:37	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0xc4385b…
03-16 15:15:37	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	393	97¢	$381	0x900d0e…
03-16 01:07:23	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	96	6¢	$6	0x36dfb5…
03-16 00:58:23	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	96	6¢	$6	0xac4703…
03-16 00:28:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	917	95¢	$873	0xbc56ea…
03-16 00:28:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	269	95¢	$256	0x1c1b2a…
03-16 00:04:39	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x1ba725…
03-16 00:03:53	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	Yes	SELL	307	4¢	$11	0x63143e…
03-16 00:03:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x1cbf01…
03-16 00:03:15	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	Yes	BUY	417	4¢	$15	0x513bb1…
03-15 23:16:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	430	8¢	$36	0xf146b3…
03-15 23:16:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	1,482	8¢	$124	0x08a62b…
03-15 23:06:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	1,912	7¢	$140	0x804ad4…
03-15 22:56:15	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	1,573	92¢	$1,447	0x8ec1a6…
03-15 22:50:19	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	1,095	93¢	$1,015	0xd9a6c5…
03-15 22:50:19	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	479	93¢	$444	0x28c0c1…
03-15 19:16:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	SELL	1,426	90¢	$1,291	0xd3a22e…
03-15 19:16:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	SELL	189	90¢	$171	0xbf840e…
03-15 19:07:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	BUY	1,615	91¢	$1,470	0x18a3a7…
03-15 18:43:55	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xf91272…
03-15 18:43:45	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	SELL	1,557	92¢	$1,439	0x1ea7f9…
03-15 18:34:13	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	BUY	1,557	94¢	$1,457	0x4a767f…
03-15 18:10:41	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	SELL	1,456	100¢	$1,450	0x350806…
03-15 18:04:07	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	BUY	941	99¢	$933	0xf0d5fb…
03-15 18:04:07	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	BUY	515	99¢	$511	0xd3c5b4…
03-15 17:56:15	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	SELL	1,102	5¢	$58	0x963a4a…
03-15 17:56:15	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x3a4a76…
03-15 17:56:15	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	SELL	637	5¢	$34	0x36115b…
03-15 17:47:01	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,423	4¢	$63	0xe90748…
03-15 17:47:01	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	Yes	BUY	347	4¢	$15	0x657660…
03-15 17:40:41	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	1,478	98¢	$1,450	0x8c0971…
03-15 17:30:47	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1,478	98¢	$1,451	0xc52476…
03-15 13:41:11	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x37e085…
03-15 13:41:11	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	SELL	1,509	92¢	$1,394	0x048c10…
03-15 13:34:03	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	1,157	93¢	$1,074	0xdd657b…
03-15 13:34:03	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	372	93¢	$345	0xcc6c18…
03-15 13:26:55	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xe09462…
03-15 13:26:37	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xb7be34…
03-15 13:26:35	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	1,820	8¢	$136	0xc3cedd…
03-15 13:17:47	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	1,820	7¢	$135	0xbab36e…
03-15 12:36:17	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1,346	97¢	$1,308	0xbed38c…
03-15 12:29:09	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	268	98¢	$261	0xdae9b7…
03-15 12:29:09	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,078	98¢	$1,051	0x154ede…
03-15 11:34:41	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	731	94¢	$689	0xab0161…
03-15 11:34:41	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	636	94¢	$599	0x6beb6a…
03-15 11:34:41	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x4b19f3…
03-15 11:26:13	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	605	93¢	$564	0xad9c8b…
03-15 11:26:13	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	731	93¢	$682	0x857ac4…
03-15 11:26:13	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x2e1be2…
03-14 09:39:01	epl bur bou 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x4bc2b0…
03-14 09:26:17	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xff4fd3…
03-14 06:41:53	itsb emp man 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x4ac1e8…
03-14 06:12:57	cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	308	47¢	$145	0x16e0fd…
03-14 04:09:01	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdad5cb…
03-14 03:48:47	nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	224	41¢	$92	0x1617e2…
03-14 03:13:15	mls laf stl 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis City SC	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0xdceb95…
03-14 03:13:15	mls laf stl 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis City SC	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xad79be…
03-14 03:13:15	mls laf stl 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis City SC	BUY	213	50¢	$106	0x244cda…