(anonymous) 0xd540fe…527a9c
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$115
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$69
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-13 14:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
49% — —
Other
47% 0% $-5
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-10 16:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +23 $10 30¢ $7 $-3 05-12 05:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -8 $-5 70¢ $-6 $-1 05-10 12:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -11 $-5 51¢ $-5 $-1 05-13 14:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 05-13 13:13
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-10 16:50
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 05-10 14:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -69 $-5 7¢ $-5 $-0 05-10 12:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 $-5 24¢ $-5 +$0 05-10 12:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 72¢ $5 $-0 05-13 13:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -15 $-5 32¢ $-5 +$0 05-10 16:50
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -16 $-5 20¢ $-3 +$1 05-10 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +10 $5 29¢ $3 $-2 05-10 17:15
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +11 $5 3¢ $0 $-5 05-10 10:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -100 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-12 05:10