Juicy-Ephemera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-28 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 50% +$15

Tech

12% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	12	$588	738	674	+65	open	—	05-14 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$586	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 07:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 03:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 05:18
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	8	$312	741	341	+400	Lavked	+$4	05-13 13:26
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	7	$265	250	250	+0	TNC	$-0	05-13 19:46
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$160	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 12:42
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	5	$86	110	110	+0	open	—	05-06 13:09
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$78	250	250	+0	GamerLegion	$-2	05-13 19:04
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$66	71	71	+0	open	—	05-21 16:19
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	3	$57	51	51	+0	open	—	05-25 19:35
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	2	$43	41	41	+0	Red Feet	+$13	05-13 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 18:02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	3	$21	146	62	+83	Vitality	+$1	05-13 16:43
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	2	$7	72	72	+0	open	—	05-28 14:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	82	0	+82	open	—	05-06 14:41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$4	67	67	+0	Vitality	$-0	05-13 21:33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 09:27
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	325	0	+325	open	—	05-20 09:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	240	0	+240	open	—	05-20 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 14:11:23	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0xbbde29…
05-25 19:35:32	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xfc1ca0…
05-23 07:13:58	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0xc46fbf…
05-21 16:19:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	71	64¢	$46	0xdaadb6…
05-21 11:57:59	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb65ab6…
05-20 09:27:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	325	0¢	$1	0xf71a54…
05-20 09:27:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x137b55…
05-20 09:27:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x821c2d…
05-19 21:34:54	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa1e8e4…
05-14 19:28:10	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xc8926f…
05-14 19:27:25	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6fdd3…
05-14 19:11:08	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	250	29¢	$72	0x0a56e8…
05-14 19:02:27	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	77	45¢	$34	0x90a91a…
05-14 19:02:18	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xdca5d8…
05-14 19:02:15	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	173	45¢	$78	0x131637…
05-14 19:01:52	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x6c9a8e…
05-14 19:01:24	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	228	46¢	$105	0xbd35d6…
05-14 18:59:53	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0xd064e8…
05-14 18:58:15	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	174	47¢	$82	0x4face3…
05-14 18:56:42	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	125	45¢	$56	0x5ba957…
05-14 18:56:23	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xd8886f…
05-14 12:42:26	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0xbfed8a…
05-14 12:41:21	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	BUY	250	32¢	$80	0x11786b…
05-13 21:33:12	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0xab3b5f…
05-13 20:59:58	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfb0c9b…
05-13 19:46:55	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	74	53¢	$39	0xd49228…
05-13 19:46:25	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	33	53¢	$17	0x9f603f…
05-13 19:46:25	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x03bf6e…
05-13 19:46:21	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	59	53¢	$31	0xb5343c…
05-13 19:46:21	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	82	53¢	$43	0x02abc4…
05-13 19:46:04	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x78a6a5…
05-13 19:45:03	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	BUY	239	53¢	$127	0xcc35a7…
05-13 19:04:11	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x4cdbcb…
05-13 18:58:00	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x0495a1…
05-13 18:13:05	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Red Feet	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0xc8bcc9…
05-13 17:49:36	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Red Feet	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x1651ea…
05-13 16:43:43	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4b9979…
05-13 16:04:33	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0x2f912e…
05-13 15:34:16	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdc14dd…
05-13 13:26:38	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xac4faa…
05-13 13:25:16	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x56518a…
05-13 13:24:13	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	91	17¢	$16	0xc6c642…
05-13 13:22:47	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc80a05…
05-13 12:16:10	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	SELL	250	57¢	$142	0x6f7d54…
05-13 12:15:39	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x486fdc…
05-13 12:15:37	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x28bc05…
05-13 12:15:35	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x9de4ec…
05-06 14:41:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x391a08…
05-06 13:09:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x2d623a…
05-06 12:52:46	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3cb4e3…
05-06 12:33:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	39¢	$39	0x84ea94…
05-06 12:33:10	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xa6541d…
05-06 12:19:38	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x88e6cb…
05-02 14:27:58	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x4d9fed…
04-08 07:40:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xd37273…
04-08 05:45:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xa5d069…
04-08 05:18:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x33e78b…
04-08 05:04:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd75078…
04-08 05:04:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xd3e9d0…
04-08 05:04:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xcba1ab…
04-08 05:04:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x55a24d…
04-08 03:48:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x205ecb…
04-08 03:47:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc19ae8…
04-08 03:42:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0d5fdc…
04-03 12:00:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0x61848c…
04-03 12:00:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x455fa7…
04-03 12:00:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x330922…
02-25 18:02:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x300de8…
01-30 17:35:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc3c8ce…