Spirited-Lightning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-06 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	27	+27	Down	+$2	05-12 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$16	36	+36	Down	$-16	05-13 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	7	$14	44	+44	Up	+$30	05-13 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$6	467	+467	Up	$-6	05-13 17:12
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	2	$6	7	+7	open	—	06-23 14:47
bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	06-20 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Down	$-5	05-12 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	15	+15	Down	$-5	05-12 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	+$9	05-12 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	24	+24	Down	$-5	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	$-5	05-12 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	56	+56	Down	$-5	05-12 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	20	+20	Up	+$15	05-12 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Down	$-5	05-12 09:51
bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-26 13:54
bitcoin up or down on june 28 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-28 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 09:37
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3pm et	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-26 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 10:37
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-29 12:20
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-06 13:02
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 8am et	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-06 12:11
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-25 13:40
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-27 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 13:02:29	bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbe0b01…
07-06 12:11:16	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe99fe5…
07-06 10:24:04	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x688e6c…
07-01 10:26:40	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x91a17b…
06-30 13:20:26	bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3d372b…
06-29 12:20:29	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9c329…
06-29 01:22:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4d1deb…
06-28 13:42:25	bitcoin up or down on june 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc70a2…
06-27 15:12:13	bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb3288c…
06-26 19:30:13	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x51c96c…
06-26 14:10:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f1023…
06-26 13:54:21	bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa938cc…
06-25 13:40:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b9990…
06-24 20:13:10	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x365227…
06-24 17:23:43	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xa97cd0…
06-24 13:09:59	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x33e2a4…
06-23 14:47:23	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8bc134…
06-23 14:42:23	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x668dc5…
06-22 01:06:05	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 21	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe9d6b7…
06-21 15:28:52	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xee4f71…
06-21 15:18:44	bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb57633…
06-20 14:52:38	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x45a42f…
06-20 13:13:29	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb3766a…
06-19 09:28:55	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3dd11b…
06-17 18:12:41	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x816434…
06-17 14:43:43	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x083daa…
06-16 13:45:52	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc5af2…
05-29 14:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x319700…
05-27 06:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x069057…
05-26 14:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x336a39…
05-21 01:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x580eb6…
05-20 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x12adcf…
05-20 22:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1b370e…
05-20 21:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x320478…
05-20 16:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x317747…
05-20 16:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4448ac…
05-20 15:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7f2f62…
05-20 14:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe2ff0c…
05-20 14:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x14f069…
05-20 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc65bc8…
05-20 14:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x615961…
05-20 14:29:15	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x133682…
05-20 14:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1e8d9a…
05-20 14:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x9582bf…
05-20 14:21:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x06d9b0…
05-20 14:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5dd4d6…
05-20 10:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x651a7d…
05-20 09:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc26fdb…
05-20 09:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xca60b3…
05-20 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x381820…
05-20 07:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x976d05…
05-20 01:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x918646…
05-20 01:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x369012…
05-20 01:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd2e67d…
05-20 00:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xab6566…
05-20 00:06:04	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc2b234…
05-20 00:02:55	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x1bf169…
05-19 23:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x4cfac2…
05-19 20:34:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5ad803…
05-19 20:02:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9aca1a…
05-19 19:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb6ad50…
05-19 14:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x43a8da…
05-19 14:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x588563…
05-19 11:09:25	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0c4436…
05-19 03:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc43e60…
05-19 03:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfccbf7…
05-19 03:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x57e069…
05-18 20:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe1a06d…
05-18 20:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe85842…
05-18 12:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xff7a90…
05-18 12:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc73fe0…
05-18 03:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa69b51…
05-18 03:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x089fe3…
05-18 02:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x422a9c…
05-18 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa8a646…
05-18 01:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe63520…
05-18 01:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8c6f18…
05-17 22:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe0c87c…
05-17 22:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x35edc8…
05-17 17:55:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7fdc5d…
05-17 17:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6091bb…
05-17 17:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc0fadc…
05-17 17:30:36	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbcb808…
05-17 17:25:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x671ce8…
05-17 17:20:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe98795…
05-17 17:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x476f1b…
05-17 17:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x529ac1…
05-17 16:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x324b95…
05-17 16:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x47d70f…
05-17 16:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x05f501…
05-17 16:36:19	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5b17cf…
05-17 16:30:13	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2cc376…
05-17 16:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4e07a0…
05-17 16:21:56	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa98b90…
05-17 16:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc3493c…
05-17 16:10:53	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4f74bd…
05-17 16:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8cff56…
05-17 15:55:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x517c5b…
05-17 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc69198…
05-17 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd4d85e…