Variable-Certificate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,748

lifetime

Volume

$8.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-17 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% +$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 357 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	21	$414	389	376	+13	open	—	05-21 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	19	$393	398	378	+20	open	—	05-21 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	22	$270	426	408	+18	open	—	05-21 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	15	$242	210	199	+11	open	—	05-21 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	17	$242	193	188	+5	open	—	05-21 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	15	$236	187	181	+5	open	—	05-21 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	11	$171	107	105	+2	open	—	05-21 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	12	$157	136	161	-25	Down	+$21	05-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	9	$153	85	84	+1	open	—	05-21 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	14	$147	124	135	-11	open	—	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	16	$135	124	120	+4	open	—	05-21 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	9	$120	83	82	+2	open	—	05-21 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	10	$116	131	130	+0	open	—	05-14 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$105	106	99	+7	Down	+$88	05-13 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	12	$92	104	104	+0	Down	+$22	05-13 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	7	$84	116	110	+6	Down	+$32	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	7	$76	139	59	+80	Down	+$64	05-13 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	14	$68	83	83	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$57	55	55	+0	open	—	05-15 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$53	96	96	+0	open	—	05-19 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$52	89	84	+5	open	—	05-14 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	8	$51	58	58	+0	open	—	05-15 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$50	107	100	+7	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	7	$49	59	57	+1	open	—	05-14 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$48	90	0	+90	open	—	05-19 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$47	45	45	+0	Up	+$13	05-13 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$47	45	44	+1	open	—	05-14 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	10	$47	56	55	+1	Up	+$7	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$46	42	42	+0	Up	+$30	05-13 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$45	69	36	+34	open	—	05-15 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 23:36:26	btc updown 5m 1781739300	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x6ad5cf…
06-17 23:36:04	btc updown 5m 1781739300	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xcf8536…
06-17 23:25:41	btc updown 5m 1781738700	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb5ff49…
06-17 23:25:35	btc updown 5m 1781738700	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x45d08c…
06-17 22:45:55	btc updown 5m 1781736300	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9e5968…
06-17 22:45:53	btc updown 5m 1781736300	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x09720c…
06-17 22:30:46	btc updown 5m 1781735400	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc301e8…
06-17 22:30:44	btc updown 5m 1781735400	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x18ba93…
06-17 22:30:34	btc updown 5m 1781735400	Down	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xfd9f24…
06-17 22:30:32	btc updown 5m 1781735400	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa69815…
06-17 22:30:28	btc updown 5m 1781735400	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xfe9f20…
06-17 22:25:59	btc updown 5m 1781735100	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x52218c…
06-17 22:25:59	btc updown 5m 1781735100	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0618e0…
06-17 22:20:34	btc updown 5m 1781734800	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xddf734…
06-17 22:20:25	btc updown 5m 1781734800	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6f2504…
06-17 22:05:40	btc updown 5m 1781733900	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4a2e87…
06-17 22:05:35	btc updown 5m 1781733900	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x9a14b7…
06-17 21:55:59	btc updown 5m 1781733300	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x90a748…
06-17 21:55:53	btc updown 5m 1781733300	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xcefe60…
06-17 21:10:47	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x260f81…
06-17 21:10:44	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x67be5e…
06-17 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x51f267…
06-17 21:10:32	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x353452…
06-17 21:01:16	btc updown 5m 1781730000	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x8485e0…
06-17 21:01:14	btc updown 5m 1781730000	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x21cbc8…
06-17 20:31:20	btc updown 5m 1781728200	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xc21714…
06-17 20:31:20	btc updown 5m 1781728200	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5fd8c4…
06-17 20:31:20	btc updown 5m 1781728200	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x44938d…
06-17 19:51:26	btc updown 5m 1781725800	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x411586…
06-17 19:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781725800	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf1b876…
06-17 19:45:49	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x54880e…
06-17 19:45:44	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x9a5ad3…
06-17 19:45:43	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcf47ab…
06-17 19:45:43	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x87c428…
06-17 19:45:43	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5c376c…
06-16 21:00:25	btc updown 5m 1781643600	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xdc0abd…
06-16 21:00:25	btc updown 5m 1781643600	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x29e591…
06-16 20:55:37	btc updown 5m 1781643300	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3d7aa0…
06-16 20:55:32	btc updown 5m 1781643300	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x220351…
06-16 20:25:55	btc updown 5m 1781641500	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7b0b98…
06-16 20:25:34	btc updown 5m 1781641500	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x1bbd58…
06-16 19:56:31	btc updown 5m 1781639700	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdab6bf…
06-16 19:56:11	btc updown 5m 1781639700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcccc9d…
06-16 19:56:07	btc updown 5m 1781639700	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1997c5…
06-16 19:41:17	btc updown 5m 1781638800	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xbb311f…
06-16 19:41:13	btc updown 5m 1781638800	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe4b98a…
06-16 19:25:46	btc updown 5m 1781637900	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x267732…
06-16 19:25:41	btc updown 5m 1781637900	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6b2e5c…
06-16 19:10:44	btc updown 5m 1781637000	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xaa97b2…
06-16 19:10:40	btc updown 5m 1781637000	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x907f96…
06-16 18:51:05	btc updown 5m 1781635800	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x93e61f…
06-16 18:51:05	btc updown 5m 1781635800	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x53298b…
06-16 18:46:05	btc updown 5m 1781635500	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x96f4c5…
06-16 18:46:05	btc updown 5m 1781635500	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x866b51…
06-16 18:46:04	btc updown 5m 1781635500	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa0f788…
06-16 18:06:19	btc updown 5m 1781633100	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9ff0e4…
06-16 18:06:13	btc updown 5m 1781633100	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xbf2ebc…
06-16 18:05:35	btc updown 5m 1781633100	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xebe740…
06-16 18:05:32	btc updown 5m 1781633100	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x14f9b2…
06-16 18:00:37	btc updown 5m 1781632800	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xdda0ba…
06-16 18:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781632800	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x90d9c4…
06-15 21:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781559900	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x804ae3…
06-15 21:45:27	btc updown 5m 1781559900	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x618f4c…
06-15 21:21:42	btc updown 5m 1781558400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x1f283e…
06-15 21:21:21	btc updown 5m 1781558400	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8b5a9b…
06-15 21:21:09	btc updown 5m 1781558400	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd4a50f…
06-15 21:21:07	btc updown 5m 1781558400	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb6ac9b…
06-15 21:16:30	btc updown 5m 1781558100	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd81c24…
06-15 21:16:18	btc updown 5m 1781558100	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4f5832…
06-15 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781557800	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x04cf69…
06-15 21:10:28	btc updown 5m 1781557800	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3c3b76…
06-15 21:06:25	btc updown 5m 1781557500	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7bfc93…
06-15 19:06:00	btc updown 5m 1781550300	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc1bdee…
06-15 19:05:42	btc updown 5m 1781550300	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x575c8f…
06-15 19:01:03	btc updown 5m 1781550000	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xd2ead8…
06-15 19:00:49	btc updown 5m 1781550000	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x53b45a…
06-15 18:21:42	btc updown 5m 1781547600	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x60de48…
06-15 15:20:33	btc updown 5m 1781536800	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x9b76c2…
06-15 15:20:30	btc updown 5m 1781536800	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xcafdc1…
06-15 03:50:45	btc updown 5m 1781495400	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x127dec…
06-15 03:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781495400	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x02aad2…
06-15 03:50:24	btc updown 5m 1781495400	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8642ef…
06-14 22:00:51	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc3ae4b…
06-14 22:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xc9f5b9…
06-14 22:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x4c264f…
06-14 21:58:21	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf15f74…
06-14 21:58:00	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2e933d…
06-14 21:57:24	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x45abcd…
06-14 21:57:21	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x664a31…
06-14 21:46:45	btc updown 5m 1781473500	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8166ba…
06-14 21:46:28	btc updown 5m 1781473500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb7fda9…
06-14 21:46:22	btc updown 5m 1781473500	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x48e48d…
06-14 21:40:36	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4c8c98…
06-14 21:40:33	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x7606ff…
06-14 21:40:33	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x60c1d6…
06-14 21:40:31	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xec39c4…
06-14 21:40:28	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xf8e485…
06-14 01:16:00	btc updown 5m 1781399700	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2e0537…
06-14 01:15:57	btc updown 5m 1781399700	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe06644…
06-14 01:15:52	btc updown 5m 1781399700	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x498575…