Ornate-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% +$85

Sports

31% 100% +$1

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	19	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-01 08:19
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$941	480	480	+0	open	—	01-16 09:51
Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$930	470	470	+0	open	—	01-20 07:19
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	7	$866	510	510	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	12	$698	986	726	+260	MOUZ	+$105	05-12 05:18
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	12	$656	654	654	+0	magic	+$12	05-13 05:45
wti up or down on june 23 2026	4	$612	400	400	+0	open	—	06-23 07:44
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	8	$601	520	520	+0	open	—	05-21 06:41
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	8	$587	535	535	+0	open	—	05-01 05:46
wti up or down on june 18 2026	5	$583	431	431	+0	open	—	06-18 08:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	12	$531	300	300	+0	open	—	06-15 07:51
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	2	$490	395	395	+0	open	—	04-09 06:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$483	350	350	+0	open	—	04-16 07:09
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$466	400	400	+0	open	—	06-08 07:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	7	$466	306	306	+0	open	—	04-21 07:21
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08	6	$466	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 07:38
lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game2	3	$457	300	300	+0	open	—	06-13 06:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$455	300	400	-100	Down	$-29	05-08 05:42
spy up or down on june 29 2026	4	$453	300	300	+0	open	—	06-29 07:50
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	2	$432	900	900	+0	open	—	04-07 06:25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	11	$403	471	471	+0	open	—	05-20 06:11
nba phx phi 2026 01 20	4	$396	396	396	+0	open	—	01-20 07:30
nba sas hou 2026 01 20	2	$395	500	500	+0	open	—	01-20 07:43
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 06:32
nba hou det 2026 01 23	2	$364	0	736	-736	open	—	01-23 08:05
nba was cha 2026 01 24	2	$364	0	710	-710	open	—	01-24 06:32
nba cha orl 2026 01 22	2	$364	0	720	-720	open	—	01-22 15:54
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$351	249	249	+0	open	—	04-22 05:47
nba sac det 2026 01 25	2	$348	0	660	-660	open	—	01-25 06:17
nba was bkn 2026 02 07	2	$346	0	690	-690	open	—	02-07 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 07:13:59	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x69a71e…
06-30 08:31:35	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x8b291e…
06-30 07:10:20	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	90	63¢	$57	0x625b64…
06-30 07:10:11	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x83c485…
06-29 07:50:08	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x7e17c6…
06-29 06:55:46	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x2e40ef…
06-29 06:55:40	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xe260aa…
06-29 06:55:19	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	114	76¢	$87	0xf30b17…
06-26 05:21:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x5ed455…
06-26 05:20:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	73	94¢	$69	0xd4691e…
06-26 05:16:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3e0d87…
06-25 09:21:43	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xa64a82…
06-25 08:05:35	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7a6327…
06-24 07:31:52	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	189	71¢	$134	0x0e03ea…
06-24 07:24:55	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xdb6691…
06-24 07:23:38	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x3c821a…
06-24 07:23:32	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	189	68¢	$128	0x6177f1…
06-24 07:16:19	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x4fbc62…
06-23 07:44:28	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xeb76b4…
06-23 07:36:05	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xa5ba36…
06-23 07:24:07	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x610a8a…
06-23 07:19:52	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xa9eab0…
06-22 07:14:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x6e22e4…
06-22 06:56:10	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x5ab37c…
06-22 06:55:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x854c9f…
06-22 06:53:20	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x27e10c…
06-18 08:36:20	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x972bae…
06-18 08:33:22	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	231	69¢	$160	0x7b8d23…
06-18 08:25:08	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	199	68¢	$135	0xb195ad…
06-18 08:23:11	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x37e4d0…
06-18 08:16:16	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xf007f9…
06-18 08:00:55	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x6ca65c…
06-18 07:58:38	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x608c9f…
06-16 07:45:46	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x673ec7…
06-16 07:43:28	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4bd33a…
06-16 07:42:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe0628f…
06-16 07:42:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xde6689…
06-16 07:42:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x5e1b32…
06-16 07:42:16	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x39d91d…
06-15 07:51:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x96c829…
06-15 07:31:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7c8dc1…
06-15 07:31:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xbfa059…
06-15 07:31:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x94c1c0…
06-15 07:31:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x611265…
06-15 07:31:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x203787…
06-15 07:31:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xe0a01b…
06-15 07:31:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x8694b1…
06-15 07:31:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x5b40af…
06-15 07:31:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x265124…
06-15 07:31:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0xb9cdb5…
06-15 07:31:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x766c12…
06-15 07:15:33	spy up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	178	92¢	$164	0x975cb8…
06-15 06:57:13	spy up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	193	91¢	$176	0x6dbe1c…
06-13 06:38:21	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game2	Gen.G	SELL	280	74¢	$207	0x181212…
06-13 06:37:58	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game2	Gen.G	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x61068a…
06-13 06:37:24	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game2	Gen.G	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x5e033c…
06-09 06:09:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	78	49¢	$38	0x374ca4…
06-09 06:02:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0x54db9d…
06-09 06:00:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	91	42¢	$38	0x19f3e5…
06-09 05:59:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	104	42¢	$44	0xe29c69…
06-09 05:54:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xdd4d09…
06-09 05:54:13	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	116	42¢	$49	0xfb6024…
06-09 05:54:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	84	42¢	$35	0x16d7a2…
06-08 07:04:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xdbfdfd…
06-08 06:57:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xd800ca…
06-08 06:51:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	183	60¢	$110	0xcf926c…
06-08 06:47:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xb2ac9f…
06-08 06:41:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xaa4878…
05-30 07:00:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x00858d…
05-30 06:51:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x22c25e…
05-30 06:45:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x011769…
05-26 06:47:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa9a13f…
05-25 06:35:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa4c41c…
05-24 06:34:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	63¢	$139	0xd938f3…
05-24 06:30:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	63¢	$139	0xbffb20…
05-22 05:52:50	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	SELL	187	10¢	$19	0xc09390…
05-21 06:41:35	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	SELL	256	58¢	$148	0x315ec1…
05-21 06:27:56	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	99	57¢	$57	0x1af87b…
05-21 06:27:37	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x37d1a8…
05-21 06:27:00	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x575792…
05-21 06:27:00	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	153	57¢	$87	0x32be6d…
05-21 06:20:00	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	SELL	260	59¢	$153	0x2fd6d4…
05-21 06:19:18	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	101	57¢	$57	0xea9875…
05-21 06:19:18	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	159	57¢	$91	0x690ff7…
05-20 07:06:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	No	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xbaadbb…
05-20 06:29:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x5179c4…
05-20 06:11:39	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	SELL	471	45¢	$212	0x5d1ef3…
05-20 06:07:49	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x7ac4b7…
05-20 06:07:48	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0xdf5f7f…
05-20 06:07:48	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x39fc9e…
05-20 06:06:31	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xa2ab8b…
05-20 06:06:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xee5b16…
05-20 06:06:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x872073…
05-20 06:06:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	158	45¢	$71	0x58b5a6…
05-20 06:06:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1b74a5…
05-20 06:06:15	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xad9dbb…
05-20 06:06:13	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x3063d1…
05-20 06:01:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	SELL	94	7¢	$7	0x5d8d56…
05-20 06:01:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	SELL	166	6¢	$10	0x90d31a…
05-20 05:49:04	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0xf8fb79…