Deficient-Elimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$247

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	9	$20	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	9	$15	9	8	+1	Down	$-1	05-12 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$12	10	8	+2	Down	$-0	05-12 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$10	25	5	+20	Down	$-0	05-11 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$7	8	3	+5	Down	$-1	05-12 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$6	5	2	+3	Down	$-2	05-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-11 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	Down	$-0	05-11 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-12 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-11 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-11 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-12 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 11:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc1ad9…
05-12 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xe99685…
05-12 11:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x90d894…
05-12 10:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xf8b40f…
05-12 10:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x37d08d…
05-12 10:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x06db21…
05-12 10:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc3f020…
05-12 10:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2713d6…
05-12 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x305c6c…
05-12 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24509c…
05-12 09:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3b93f1…
05-12 09:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xccee8f…
05-12 09:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x10dbcf…
05-12 09:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3d8913…
05-12 09:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf63016…
05-12 09:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf755ca…
05-12 09:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x338632…
05-12 09:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf61849…
05-12 09:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe08207…
05-12 09:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd2e533…
05-12 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x143be3…
05-12 09:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x3748ef…
05-12 09:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9a581…
05-12 07:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x7c8187…
05-12 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfd4bc1…
05-12 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae89d0…
05-12 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfb236b…
05-12 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x91810a…
05-12 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x77b1c0…
05-12 07:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x248462…
05-12 07:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x42a8ef…
05-12 07:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf5ee3b…
05-12 01:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xa848b9…
05-12 01:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x195626…
05-12 01:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x336a44…
05-12 01:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x42ea98…
05-12 00:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x703a6a…
05-12 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x27f744…
05-12 00:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xed5300…
05-12 00:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbbfd0b…
05-12 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5ff406…
05-12 00:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcddb2c…
05-12 00:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xc91586…
05-12 00:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x25cf88…
05-12 00:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0f5186…
05-12 00:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x2a1e3c…
05-12 00:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x20dcaa…
05-12 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xdfaaad…
05-12 00:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x7a454f…
05-12 00:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x09f67d…
05-12 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd9960d…
05-12 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9d68f6…
05-12 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x5d1205…
05-12 00:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x531df7…
05-12 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf24cc7…
05-12 00:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xf1f0a8…
05-12 00:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb444ae…
05-12 00:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x137255…
05-12 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb4604d…
05-12 00:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xbee571…
05-12 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc684d9…
05-12 00:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x12d3c2…
05-12 00:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x00f149…
05-11 23:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcf0363…
05-11 23:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xe508bc…
05-11 23:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76495a…
05-11 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9fd044…
05-11 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x5c347b…
05-11 23:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8994f2…
05-11 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xcf6b6f…
05-11 23:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4ec56f…
05-11 23:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5b1379…
05-11 23:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f3d1a…
05-11 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5c050d…
05-11 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x41bf1d…
05-11 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf89772…
05-11 23:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x61de0c…
05-11 23:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe095dc…
05-11 23:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x196ba6…
05-11 23:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6b6aaf…
05-11 22:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xba3222…
05-11 22:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x5b0fac…
05-11 21:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdc3b05…
05-11 21:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x31a69a…
05-11 21:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6046ec…
05-11 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6137c4…
05-11 21:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4eda24…
05-11 21:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd595d3…
05-11 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x339261…
05-11 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa92284…
05-11 20:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3a019a…
05-11 20:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa06634…
05-11 20:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x38fcf3…
05-11 20:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa3b596…