Shabby-Rationale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-17 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% +$0

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-16 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-11 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$3	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-09 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	50	50	+0	open	—	05-10 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-10 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-11 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-09 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xee4a87…
05-17 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa40a9b…
05-17 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x20256e…
05-16 05:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x812346…
05-11 07:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x330c9b…
05-11 06:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2752d6…
05-11 06:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb7b5d0…
05-11 06:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0281cc…
05-11 06:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6e9f82…
05-11 06:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3c9d7e…
05-11 05:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x86885b…
05-11 05:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x6931d9…
05-11 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x410c49…
05-10 19:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8e653f…
05-10 19:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3163c4…
05-10 19:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x76ede7…
05-10 19:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x81ec76…
05-10 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x77e429…
05-10 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x878b99…
05-10 18:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x682022…
05-10 12:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd35cf1…
05-10 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf766e…
05-10 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1dc952…
05-10 12:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1586cd…
05-10 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3c17df…
05-10 09:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd11610…
05-10 09:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x07d952…
05-10 09:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2ad7c…
05-10 07:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf93053…
05-10 06:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb5a4b7…
05-10 05:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x63baa9…
05-10 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c6402…
05-10 03:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf5f8f…
05-10 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc8a214…
05-10 02:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0dc3fa…
05-10 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd84822…
05-10 02:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1b5c8a…
05-10 02:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50e68a…
05-10 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b9951…
05-10 02:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x73dc67…
05-10 01:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc13889…
05-10 01:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1433d5…
05-10 01:25:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4a6965…
05-10 00:39:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe8c89a…
05-10 00:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xc86aea…
05-10 00:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x740cd4…
05-10 00:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad42f8…
05-09 23:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1dfcbe…
05-09 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3dabf2…
05-09 23:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xde1452…
05-09 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x73225b…