Ill-Caribou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-09 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% $-1

Other

22% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$2.4K	1,886	1,886	+0	open	—	03-29 21:19
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	8	$2.3K	3,408	3,408	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 17:35
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	3	$2.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	open	—	03-29 20:25
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$2.2K	1,154	1,154	+0	open	—	03-29 20:58
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,177	1,177	+0	No	$-1	03-29 20:04
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	3	$166	1,113	1,113	+0	open	—	03-29 20:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	4	$99	708	708	+0	open	—	03-29 20:36
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	3	$70	1,528	1,528	+0	open	—	03-29 15:19
CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 4.5	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-17 06:09
fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	04-18 03:22
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-09 12:54
will xrp reach 1pt4 on march 29	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-29 13:52
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 06:51
nba was por 2026 03 29	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	03-29 13:38
es2 alm rso 2026 03 29 spread away 1pt5	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-29 14:01
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 09:28
btc updown 15m 1769479200	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-27 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:54:33	Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x88c155…
05-29 09:28:39	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8ab307…
05-24 06:51:16	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf835c8…
05-17 06:09:03	CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x00d2b8…
04-18 03:22:24	fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x3f37fb…
03-29 21:19:46	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,201	95¢	$1,140	0x90bbb9…
03-29 21:16:16	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	693	95¢	$658	0x46b464…
03-29 21:16:14	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	247	95¢	$234	0xaa361a…
03-29 21:16:14	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	261	95¢	$248	0xa19808…
03-29 20:58:20	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	124	96¢	$119	0x6c6337…
03-29 20:58:20	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,030	96¢	$987	0x1d6b48…
03-29 20:54:28	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,154	95¢	$1,092	0x8c9cae…
03-29 20:47:16	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	685	6¢	$38	0x932a3e…
03-29 20:43:38	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	685	6¢	$38	0xeb8642…
03-29 20:36:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	116	7¢	$8	0xf56159…
03-29 20:36:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	592	7¢	$41	0x46652d…
03-29 20:32:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	299	7¢	$21	0xebf2b1…
03-29 20:32:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	409	7¢	$29	0x80b58e…
03-29 20:25:44	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,180	95¢	$1,119	0x0da0a4…
03-29 20:22:06	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,024	95¢	$970	0xff514b…
03-29 20:22:06	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	156	95¢	$148	0x5ec26b…
03-29 20:14:52	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	561	7¢	$41	0xd68b74…
03-29 20:14:52	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	552	7¢	$40	0x02ada3…
03-29 20:11:20	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	1,113	8¢	$85	0x0ce1d2…
03-29 20:04:28	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1,177	92¢	$1,086	0x2f6328…
03-29 20:00:10	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1,177	92¢	$1,088	0xcfdfb3…
03-29 17:35:24	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	1,105	97¢	$1,072	0xb7f452…
03-29 17:32:02	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	526	97¢	$510	0xfb13d4…
03-29 17:32:02	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	579	97¢	$562	0x6c7191…
03-29 15:19:36	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,446	2¢	$29	0xf41b7e…
03-29 15:19:36	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x212f03…
03-29 15:16:38	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,528	3¢	$40	0x8308dd…
03-29 14:35:54	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,345	3¢	$43	0xbfffdd…
03-29 14:35:54	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	958	3¢	$31	0x907c6e…
03-29 14:31:44	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1,345	3¢	$43	0x9d36f6…
03-29 14:31:42	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	116	3¢	$4	0xe117ec…
03-29 14:31:42	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	842	3¢	$27	0x8dd945…
03-29 14:01:10	es2 alm rso 2026 03 29 spread away 1pt5	UD Almería	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xae4eba…
03-29 13:52:24	will xrp reach 1pt4 on march 29	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x1f8e2e…
03-29 13:38:40	nba was por 2026 03 29	Trail Blazers	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x84dbad…
01-27 02:12:07	btc updown 15m 1769479200	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6e55e1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	8	$24.3K	670	04-30 16:12
Sturdy-Garbage 0xcb29…b0b6	8	$5.65K	33	04-18 03:22
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	8	$2.71K	273	04-25 17:06
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	8	$1.18K	482	04-22 22:58
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	8	$1.08K	218	04-28 10:31
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	7	$7.90K	672	04-30 07:49
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	7	$7.62K	921	03-28 20:45
(anonymous) 0x94b2…9398	7	$1.57K	13	06-09 12:54