Raw-Fashion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-12 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 67% +$13

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	9	$26	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-26 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	3	$13	10	5	+5	open	—	05-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$11	15	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-05 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$10	15	10	+5	open	—	05-20 21:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 08:17
btc updown 15m 1781267400	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-12 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	+$4	05-13 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-28 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-25 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-25 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-12 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$3	7	1	+6	Down	+$4	05-05 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 21:05
btc updown 15m 1781595000	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-09 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 08:30:42	btc updown 15m 1781598600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d7416…
06-16 08:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781596800	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa2518c…
06-16 07:43:52	btc updown 15m 1781595000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x18ead8…
06-12 12:44:21	btc updown 15m 1781267400	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x862891…
06-12 12:30:13	btc updown 15m 1781267400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9b30f5…
06-03 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd630e3…
06-03 14:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x68bc94…
06-03 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5e6ff…
06-03 11:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xec972d…
05-29 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3cf5fd…
05-29 08:17:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x313a51…
05-28 21:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd46824…
05-28 19:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1368f8…
05-28 19:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcbcb53…
05-28 19:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbbbafc…
05-28 19:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdc9e1d…
05-28 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x28c43a…
05-28 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb71130…
05-28 10:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x049f02…
05-28 10:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1e52c1…
05-28 09:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe89ef6…
05-28 09:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd908b7…
05-26 17:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd27f8b…
05-26 15:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf5d1a4…
05-26 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6ccc74…
05-26 15:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2c84f1…
05-26 15:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5a8747…
05-26 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x14d48b…
05-26 13:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x320f45…
05-26 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x417b6f…
05-26 10:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x681f8f…
05-26 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa558e4…
05-26 09:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2df5a1…
05-25 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x64800f…
05-25 16:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd8e675…
05-25 15:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x413e82…
05-25 08:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3e9e5a…
05-20 21:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdee25a…
05-20 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfa8415…
05-20 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x436247…
05-20 21:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1170fe…
05-20 21:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x10cd4b…
05-18 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x24a76b…
05-18 13:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x863db6…
05-18 12:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5507e0…
05-18 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x547a95…
05-16 19:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc58c7a…
05-16 13:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x68e11b…
05-16 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5c64b5…
05-16 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x493cce…
05-14 07:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xef9251…
05-14 07:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46801d…
05-13 20:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdc4839…
05-13 19:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc946ce…
05-13 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd03835…
05-13 15:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb9359a…
05-12 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa65ad2…
05-12 11:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd8e902…
05-12 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ee85b…
05-09 19:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9744d5…
05-09 18:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x636076…
05-07 16:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x113127…
05-05 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa5a34e…
05-05 15:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdafa57…
05-05 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x856dd7…
05-05 12:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6aafbf…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe4eba8…
05-05 11:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x044182…
05-05 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x74da97…
05-05 11:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf3b9d…
05-05 11:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2f5b6e…
05-05 11:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x27dfab…
05-05 11:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc58a87…
05-05 11:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa03f35…
05-05 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2d0dfe…
05-05 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9a2fbc…
05-05 11:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x733ce3…
05-05 11:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1c0619…
05-05 11:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbfb7b4…
05-05 11:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xad8e6b…
05-05 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ef188…
05-05 08:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x2689aa…
05-04 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x560d6c…
05-04 15:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4c7e24…
05-04 15:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x30c42d…
05-04 13:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf4a683…
04-17 12:30:44	btc updown 15m 1776429000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd8f096…