Spicy-Nerve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-07 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

27% — —

Other

26% 100% +$1

Sports

24% 100% +$1

Crypto

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	03-23 08:38
nba mil uta 2026 03 19	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-19 05:42
nba phi atl 2026 03 07	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	03-07 12:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$7	20	+20	open	—	04-08 10:01
btc updown 5m 1773068700	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	03-09 08:23
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	03-16 07:22
btc updown 5m 1773460800	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	03-13 11:55
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	1	$6	15	+15	open	—	03-03 04:28
btc updown 5m 1772445900	1	$6	12	+12	open	—	03-02 10:02
btc updown 5m 1775096700	1	$6	11	+11	open	—	04-01 05:56
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	1	$6	17	+17	open	—	03-25 10:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	06-11 06:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-24 07:28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-03 03:28
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-20 07:23
nhl ott tb 2026 03 28	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-28 08:23
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-07 06:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-30 07:02
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-19 07:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-26 06:41
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$5	6	+6	Thunder	+$1	05-03 07:53
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	1	$5	6	+6	Shanghai Sharks	+$1	05-06 07:37
nba nop uta 2026 02 28	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	02-28 06:23
iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-30 04:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-13 06:20
kor poh any 2026 04 19 poh	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	04-19 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 06:48:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c4c32…
06-30 04:02:23	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d52a7…
06-24 07:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x72cf63…
06-20 07:23:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4d42f…
06-11 06:49:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xeb38bd…
06-03 03:28:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xe06cc9…
05-30 07:02:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x07efbd…
05-19 07:08:20	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x165397…
05-13 06:20:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xd07350…
05-06 07:37:00	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xa295e9…
05-03 07:53:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7c60fa…
04-26 06:41:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd74960…
04-19 06:22:06	kor poh any 2026 04 19 poh	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x131e31…
04-08 10:01:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xa7dda2…
04-01 05:56:55	btc updown 5m 1775096700	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xb29423…
03-28 08:23:35	nhl ott tb 2026 03 28	Lightning	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbc865d…
03-25 10:41:37	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xa59a00…
03-23 08:38:05	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x5a4c99…
03-19 05:42:31	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xb94de1…
03-16 07:22:47	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x32e2e6…
03-13 11:55:11	btc updown 5m 1773460800	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x82983b…
03-09 08:23:59	btc updown 5m 1773068700	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xfa57ae…
03-07 12:53:43	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x889bdd…
03-03 04:28:39	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x47489e…
03-02 10:02:03	btc updown 5m 1772445900	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x35b08b…
02-28 06:23:11	nba nop uta 2026 02 28	Pelicans	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x084e2d…