Misguided-Disdain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-08 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% +$7

Crypto

19% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+31	$15	0¢	$0	$-15	05-11 22:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$15	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-14 21:12
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	05-11 22:34
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-11 21:53
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$5	15	0	+15	9z	+$10	05-11 00:34
Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	05-11 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 11:57
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 08:30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 05:44
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 12:04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$3	5	0	+5	9z	$-3	05-10 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 11:52
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-17 20:06
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-11 23:13
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 12:24
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 05:44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-24 01:44
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-08 16:25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-20 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-14 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-14 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:25:54	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08	Monte	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf74317…
05-24 01:44:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7978ce…
05-23 05:44:32	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x924837…
05-21 05:44:25	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe80b53…
05-20 05:07:32	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd38226…
05-20 05:04:02	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe9e008…
05-20 05:02:56	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa747bc…
05-17 20:06:01	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8e4ed9…
05-16 12:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6a5fbe…
05-16 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed575c…
05-16 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc661cb…
05-16 11:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xdfa471…
05-16 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8f2e68…
05-16 11:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6806f1…
05-16 08:30:47	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x468e4b…
05-15 12:04:43	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	9z	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97ce07…
05-14 21:12:20	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x09be49…
05-14 05:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4423df…
05-14 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb17ca3…
05-11 23:13:51	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcab77b…
05-11 22:34:14	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb9e140…
05-11 21:53:26	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x2a9464…
05-11 21:34:58	Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x56bfca…
05-11 00:34:46	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x56cef3…
05-10 15:24:06	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa42e9b…