Smooth-Encouragement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

30% — —

Tech

29% — —

Crypto

26% — —

Sports

15% 50% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+9	$9	98¢	$9	$-0	07-01 05:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$444	273	183	+90	open	—	04-19 04:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$249	132	122	+9	open	—	07-01 05:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	4	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	01-31 02:32
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	03-31 02:45
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	05-22 01:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	03-22 02:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	06-06 03:35
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	02-18 02:27
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	02-02 05:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	02-10 03:54
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	01-19 06:56
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$93	99	0	+99	Thunder	+$6	05-10 02:15
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$90	97	0	+97	open	—	05-03 01:22
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	1	$88	90	0	+90	open	—	04-29 02:58
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	03-22 02:23
ethereum above 1600 on march 18	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	03-16 03:30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	05-16 03:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	06-01 02:34
nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	1	$69	80	0	+80	open	—	03-13 23:39
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-06 05:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$68	69	0	+69	open	—	02-28 05:02
will googl reach 430 in february	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	02-18 02:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	07-01 05:25
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	01-16 04:42
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	06-21 04:51
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-22 02:22
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 2pt5	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	06-21 05:36
will bitcoin reach 104k december 29 january 4	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	01-01 04:33
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	24	0	+24	Cavaliers	$-10	05-11 03:22
bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	06-22 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:28:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x288838…
07-01 05:25:59	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x316254…
06-22 03:36:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69104e…
06-21 05:36:01	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 2pt5	Japan	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x7e4bdd…
06-21 04:53:56	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 2pt5	Japan	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xd3565f…
06-21 04:51:56	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x1db428…
06-21 02:29:31	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xe0c8d1…
06-15 10:31:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4c4510…
06-12 05:59:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa2c8e5…
06-12 05:58:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xe48e0f…
06-06 03:38:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xa39164…
06-06 03:35:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xc4f112…
06-05 02:28:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x0f1e07…
06-01 02:34:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3e9306…
05-28 02:50:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x085157…
05-22 01:38:28	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b1f18…
05-22 01:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6cac96…
05-22 01:35:23	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x1876c2…
05-18 01:25:12	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x87d861…
05-16 03:48:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2582d2…
05-11 03:22:32	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x769c40…
05-10 02:15:19	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0xc4215f…
05-03 01:22:32	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x69ac46…
04-29 02:58:04	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x78e6a7…
04-19 04:19:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x06b3cc…
04-19 04:18:58	nba phi bos 2026 04 19	76ers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe26e24…
04-19 04:18:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xcf8851…
04-13 04:59:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x799011…
04-06 02:59:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	92	97¢	$89	0xcaab01…
03-31 02:47:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x92e73a…
03-31 02:46:57	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf7f932…
03-31 02:46:35	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Jazz	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9b7fd4…
03-31 02:45:57	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xbe16dd…
03-27 02:37:13	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x0852cc…
03-22 02:23:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xc01d8c…
03-22 02:22:35	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Lakers	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x75269b…
03-22 02:22:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xcf0de4…
03-21 08:56:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xab2943…
03-21 08:56:01	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Lakers	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4237bc…
03-16 03:30:41	ethereum above 1600 on march 18	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe7c2ca…
03-13 23:39:29	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	Knicks	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x440468…
03-06 05:30:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x4e67d9…
02-28 05:02:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0xcb25cc…
02-18 02:27:27	will googl reach 430 in february	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xaa2749…
02-18 02:27:05	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x768eef…
02-10 03:55:09	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x6a237b…
02-10 03:54:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x893249…
02-02 05:56:22	nba hou ind 2026 02 02	Rockets	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc335a4…
02-02 05:56:00	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x7805ed…
02-02 05:55:24	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x8a9a6e…
01-31 02:33:30	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb40a59…
01-31 02:32:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0x01c4dd…
01-19 06:56:52	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0x70b703…
01-19 06:56:22	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x35090f…
01-16 04:44:06	nba lac tor 2026 01 16	Raptors	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4f6218…
01-16 04:43:12	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x32fe23…
01-16 04:42:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xed47d9…
01-16 04:42:40	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x34a775…
01-09 03:10:06	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x75612e…
01-09 03:08:56	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x284ff6…
01-09 03:07:54	will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x5ccc0c…
01-01 04:34:07	nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	Jazz	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x39224a…
01-01 04:33:05	will bitcoin reach 104k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5655a5…
01-01 04:32:19	nba uta lac 2026 01 01	Jazz	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5fa55f…
01-01 04:28:05	will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb28483…